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IAM – ILN Regional Meeting

Join the International Association of Movers (IAM) and the USA & Global Outlook at the IAM regional meeting in Belfast, Northern Ireland. Learn about the current trends and challenges in the moving industry and network with professionals from around the world.

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IAM – ILN Regional Meeting

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  1. IAM – ILN Regional Meeting Belfast, Northern Ireland May 18 – 20, 2015

  2. IAM and the USA & Global Outlook Looking IN – Looking OUT Terry Head – President International Association of Movers May 19, 2015

  3. Who is IAM? • The largest international trade association & advocacy group for household goods forwarders, movers, logistics & service provider • Membership includes 2,300+ companies & individuals in more than 180 countries and territories • Founded in 1962 to represent the interests of military TSPs; scope broadened to include commercial business in 1970s • Annual Meeting is world’s biggest & best networking opportunity for business development in moving industry

  4. IAM & It’s Affiliates

  5. IAM MEMBERSHIP – May 15, 2015 • Core: 1788 • USA – 328 Overseas - 1460 • Governing: 117 (106 in USA) • Supplier: 70 • IAM -YP: 329 • Student Members: 6 • Industry Veterans: 20 • Total: 2,330 Members in 180 Countries • 190 Members recently dropped • 68 Voluntarily – 122 for Non-payment of Dues

  6. 2015 IAM 53rd Annual Meeting & Expo October 18 – 21 Manchester Grand Hyatt Hotel San Diego, California Hotel Reservations Now Open Attendee Registrations and Exhibits/Sponsorship Sales Open Late May

  7. Future IAM Annual Meetings • 2016 – New Orleans, Louisiana • 2017 – Long Beach, California • 2018 – Washington, DC • 2019 – Still to be determined • 2020 – San Diego, California • 2021 – Orlando, Florida

  8. U.S. & Global Outlook Let’s First Take - A Look Back

  9. Looking BACK: • One of the WORST • U.S. Winters on Record • East Coast – Mid-Atlantic & North East • Closed Roads – Impaired Air/Rail Service • Draught Continues on the West Coast

  10. Looking BACK: • U.S. West Coast • Port Congestion • Negotiation of New Labor Contracts • Increased Seasonal Goods Demand • Lack of available Chassis • Clogged Transportation Networks • Continues to impact Cargo Flows - Imports

  11. Looking BACK: • Over – the – Road Capacity • Constantly Evolving/Changing Regulations • EOBRs, CARB, Hours of Service, CSA • The Driver “Shortage” • HHG – Containers & Alternative Transportation • Increasing ‘e-Commerce’ Activity • Further Economic (Freight) Growth will strain capacity – Crumbling USA Infrastructure

  12. Looking Ahead Positives and Negatives on U.S. and Global Economies, Trade, Mobility & the HHG Industry

  13. Looking AHEAD: • Reduced Fuel & Energy Prices • OPEC’s “Game of Chicken” • How Much? How Long? • 2013 - $98 a barrel - 2014 - $59 average • Dec. 2015 predicted = $85 a barrel • U.S. Economy – Where is it headed? • More Hiring – Lower Unemployment – Low Inflation Rate

  14. Looking Ahead: the Positives • Stronger U.S. Dollar • More Consumer Spending (up 3.3% in 2015) • Increased Housing Investments • Increased U.S. Government Spending • COD & National Account Business Returning • Drawdown in US Military – Short term gains

  15. Looking Ahead: the Negatives • US Federal Reserve – Increased Interest Rates – When? How Fast? How Much? • U.S. Stock Market Slowdown / Pullback? • Stronger U.S. Dollar • Widening US Trade Deficit • Negative impact on USA Manufacturing

  16. Global Economic Outlook • Rough Seas Ahead – But Don’t Abandon Ship, Yet! • 2014 Global Growth (2.6%) less than anticipated or predicted • 2015 Growth expected to be slightly higher at 3.0% • Economies sputtering in Euro Zone and Japan • China – Undergoing carefully “managed slowdown” • USA – Good, but not Great

  17. Factors Driving Global Outlook: • Soft Commodity Prices – Impacts Shipping Rates • US Economic & Corporate Taxation Policies • Persistent low interest rates • Both drive increased M&A (Moving) activity • Increasingly divergent monetary policies – major economies • Sharp decline in oil prices • Helps offset headwinds, but hurts oil exporting countries

  18. M & A Generates Moves • Merger & Acquisition activity becoming major reason why companies relocate staff • 63% of USA companies will initiate at least one acquisition or merger in 2015 – 36% as Divestiture • Industries expecting highest number of M&A activity: • Technology, Media, Telecommunications, Health Care, Life Sciences, Pharmaceuticals, Financial Services and Energy • Regions where M&A activity is likely: • USA 56%, Western Europe 29%, China 29%, N. America 27% and Asia (excluding China) 15% • Source: KPMG 2015 M&A Outlook Survey

  19. Mobility Trends in the USA • Home Sales drive Domestic Moving

  20. U.S. Mobility Trends • Why do People Move? • Humans – Naturally Migratory • Every Year – One in Nine Americans Move • Career Opportunities • Closer to Family • Lure of a Climate • Cheaper Cost-of-Living

  21. Atlas InternationalNorth America Migration Study

  22. U.S. Mobility Trends • People No Longer “Age in Place” • By 2040, 80 Million Americans will be 65+ years • Double the number in 2010 • Reasons for Moving: Affordable healthcare, housing, transportation, cost-of-living, crime rate, employment opportunities for older workers, intellectual stimulation, weather

  23. Ten Best Job Markets in the USA Today 6. Austin, Texas 7. Baton Rouge, Louisiana 8. Springfield, Missouri 9. Irvine, California 10. New Orleans, Louisiana • Salt Lake City, Utah • Omaha, Nebraska • Madison, Wisconsin • Minneapolis – St. Paul, Minnesota • Des Moines, Iowa

  24. Mobility Trends Around the World • International Trade • drives • International Moving

  25. Stronger U.S. Dollar • Currency Swings – “Get-out-of-jail-free” excuse • USA = Island of relative strength in the global economy • Drawing foreign cash into U.S. investments • Pushes the U.S. Dollar even higher

  26. U.S. TRADE • Widening US Trade Deficit • Travel Abroad is more affordable • Imported goods are cheaper for Americans • 25 Million Containers Inbound in 2014 (up 4.6%) • “The CHINA EFFECT” • 35% of U.S. Imports originate in China

  27. Future Trade opportunities? • NAFTA – North American Free Trade Agreement • Europe – Not likely as US Dollar stays strong • India – Promising market for USA & European Exports • ASEAN – Association of Southeast Asian Nations • Cuba – Opportunities abound, but on very small scale • FDI – Foreign Direct Investments in USA • and Abroad

  28. Global Mobility Trends Expatriate & Corporate

  29. What is an Expat? • Expat: an expatriate person transitive verb • 1. to withdraw (oneself) from residence in or allegiance to one's native country intransitive verb • 2. to leave one's native country to live elsewhere; also to renounce allegiance to one's native country

  30. Expatriates across the world • Over 50 million Expats worldwide • Likely to reach 57 Million by 2017 • Saudi Arabia has most followed by India, China, and the U.K. • 76% are Workers, Students, Retired Expatsand Corporate Transferees

  31. Ten Best Job Markets in the World Today 6. Laos 7. Philippines 8. Paraguay 9. Tajikistan 10. Panama • Saudi Arabia • Thailand • Kuwait • Somaliland Region • Qatar

  32. International Moving • Top Five “Saddest Countries” • Togo • Benin • Central African Republic • Burundi • Rwanda • All five are in Africa

  33. International Moving • Top Five “Happiest “ Countries • Norway • Denmark • Australia • New Zealand • Sweden • Five of top ten in Scandinavia • USA ranks #15, Ireland #18 & U.K. #21

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