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Evaluation of V2I Technologies. How to Adjust Cost-Benefit-Analyses (CBA) to ITS?. Dipl.- Ing . Wolfgang Niebel. German Aerospace Center (DLR), Institute of Transportation systems. Content. Evaluation Cost-Benefit-Analyses V2I Technologies C ooperative ITS
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Evaluation of V2I Technologies How to Adjust Cost-Benefit-Analyses (CBA) to ITS? Dipl.-Ing. Wolfgang Niebel German Aerospace Center (DLR), Institute of Transportation systems
Content • Evaluation Cost-Benefit-Analyses • V2I Technologies Cooperative ITS • Adjustments CBA with Microsimulation • Results ? • Outlook Future Research Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Introduction l = 1 km q = 15.000 veh/d v = 20 km/h t = 3 min • • • Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Introduction l = 1,7 km q = 15.000 veh/d v = 50 km/h t = 2 min t = 1 min • • • Evaluation of V2I Technologies
CBA in Road Projects Evaluation of V2I Technologies
V2I Technologies in • Cooperative ITS + ADAS (ACC) GLOSA Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Adjustments: Scale of Model Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Adjustments: Cooperative ITS Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Adjustments: Extrapolation „Modellingtrafficas a stochasticalsystem [ratherthanasdeterministicchaos] seemsmore plausible tome.“ (Prof. Dr. Dr. Reinhard Selten, Nobel Prize Economy 1994) Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Extrapolation I: Stochastics nsim= 17 n =1.088 nclassx=14+1 nclassy=7+1 Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Extrapolation II: Probability 14,3% 14,3% 14,3% 28,6% 28,6% Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Extrapolation III: Load Curves Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Extrapolation IV: Relevant Hours Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Results I Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Results II Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Outlook • Extrapolation othercriteria? • Bayesian Network q(t-1)v(t) • Travel time : workdays sundays • Differentprobability distribution? Evaluation of V2I Technologies
Acknowledgements The KOLINE project was granted by the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology (BMWi) according to a decision of the German Federal Parliament within the 3rd transport research framework “Mobility and Transport Technologies”. Project partners: • TU Braunschweig • Institute of Transportation and UrbanEngineering • Institute of Control Engineering • Institutfür Automation und Kommunikatione.V. Magdeburg (ifak), • TransverGmbH Munich, • Volkswagen AG Wolfsburg (VW) Evaluation of V2I Technologies