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CURRENT SCENARIO OF POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION IN INDIA. AJIT KUMAR ED(BD). Agenda. Brief About NTPC Electricity Generation Scenario , Options & Challenges New Technologies Electricity Transmission Scenario of Transmission system Important Initiatives
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CURRENT SCENARIO OF POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION IN INDIA AJIT KUMAR ED(BD)
Agenda • Brief About NTPC • Electricity Generation • Scenario , Options & Challenges • New Technologies • Electricity Transmission • Scenario of Transmission system • Important Initiatives • Indian Power Sector- Challenges and Mitigation • Conclusion
NTPC Limited - An overview 29 MARCH 2010
Journey so far 36014 39674 20249 20249 11333 11333 Today Shareholding 2010 1975 1997 2004 • Became a Maharatna Company • GOI further divested 5% equity NTPC incorporated (wholly owned by GoI) Listed on Indian Stock Exchanges (GoI holding 89.5%) Became a NavratnaComapany As on 31.12.2011
NTPC - Stature The Largest Power Generator in the Country One of the largest Indian companies in terms of market cap #1 Independent Power Producer (IPP) in the world (Platts-250 ranking – 2011) 10th largest power generator in the world, 3rd largest in Asia. 348th largest company in the world (FORBES ranking – 2011)
Group NTPC 20 Joint Ventures and 5 Subsidiaries For Synergistic Business Diversification
Turnaround of Taken-over Power Plants 2000 1978 1992 1995
Excellence in Project Management Commercial Operation Time in Months • Commissioned 2490 MW in FY11 – Highest ever in one year. • Commissioned 2660 MW from Apr’12 to Nov’12 • IPMA award for Simhadri project in the year 2005. • IPMA award for Vindhyachal project in the year 2008. • IPMA award for Dadri Project Stage-II in the year 2011
Financial Performance COMPARISION – YEAR ON YEAR COMPARISION – Three Quarter Period Total Income PAT Rs. Crores Total Income Rs. Crores PAT 6630 45252 41242 6321 9103 57399 8728 8.9% 4.9% 49234 4.3% 16.6% Market Cap ~ Rs. 145000 Cr. Net Worth ~ Rs. 67000 Cr. Total Assets ~ Rs. 125000 Cr. Capex for FY13 - Rs. 20995 Crores
Ranked 6th in the Aon Hewitt Best Employers in India 2011. Human Capital – Continuously Improving Productivity FY07 FY11 Sales Per Employee Up 67% PAT Per Employee Up 31% 7.99 MUs 9.27 MUs Rs.1.38 Crs Rs 0.29 Crs Rs. 0.38 Crs Rs. 2.30 Crs Generation Per Employee Up 16% 2011 10% • Talent pool of ~25,000 employees • Planned interventions at various stages of career • Systematic training- 7 days training per employee per year • Power Management Institute (PMI) – Playing a pivotal role in individual and organizational learning. • Leadership Development Centre to identify and groom potential leaders. • Training Simulators for 660 MW / 500 MW / 200 MW coal and gas based plants • Featured amongst the Great Places to work in India for last six years consecutively
Today ~39674 MW 2032 ~ 128000 MW Coal Gas Nuclear Hydro Renewables Planning for accelerated growth
ELECTRICITY GENERATION SCENARIO
India: Installed Power generation capacity 12 % 3 % 19% 66% Installed capacity : 209 GW RES :Renewable Energy Sources Status as of Oct 2012 Source : CEA
Per Capita Consumption-Global scenario Values are in KWh
Electric Power- Demand projections Source : Central Electricity Authority (CEA), India 1 GW(gigawatt) = 1O6 KW(kilowatt)
The task ahead • India’s growing economy requires adequate supply of energy • Per capita consumption of electricity of 800 Kwh is lower than world average of 2200 Kwh • Energy deficit ~ (-7%) & Peak Demand Deficit ~(-9.4%) • T&D Losses ~ 25 to 50% • India’s installed electric power generation would have to increase to 861 GW by 2030 to sustain economic growth of 8-9%. • India needs to effectively tap all sources of Power Generation
Coal Based Power Installed capacity : 17624 MW Indian Coal Quality Issues with Coal based Power • High ash content (25-45%) • Low sulphur (< 0.5%) • Low calorific value~3000Kcal/kg • CO2 emissions • Ash disposal • Coal transportation bottleneck through rail Need for Clean Coal Technologies • Supercritical/Ultrasupercritical • Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle • Carbon Capture & Sequesterization
Impact Area Efficiency Improvement CO2 Reduction Affordability Supercritical Technology • 660/800 MW units planned for all future coal based projects • Parameters adopted • 247 kg/cm2 535/565 and 565/593 deg C • Supercritical technology mandatory for Ultra Mega Projects • Many more supercritical units in pipeline.
Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle Gas Cleanup Combined Cycle Gasifier Raw Gas Clean Gas Coal Power • High efficiency ~ 43-45 % • Potential for achieving even higher efficiency ~ Using advanced class Gas Turbines( Up to 50 %) • Potential for Green House Gas(GHG) Reduction • Low water consumption: Since 2/3 of power is generated from Gas Turbine India pursuing demo project of 100 MW- Feasibility study done by Nexant USA through USAID
Gas based power • Installed capacity – 18903 MW • Gas Availability for power generation to be enhanced. • Expanding gas pipelines/LNG terminals • Advanced class Gas turbines : Thermal efficiency of 60%
Nuclear Power Projections - 2030 Projections - 2020 63000 MWe (cumulative) Under Construction 21780 MWe (cumulative) Current Capacity 4800 MWe (*) 4780 MWe (*) at Kudankulam, Kakrapar, Rawathbhata
Nuclear Power - Positive developments • Signing of Indo-US Civil Nuclear agreement • Nuclear Supplier Group (NSG) waiver • India can now import fuel and technology even for existing nuclear plants • Govt of India is in discussions with advanced technology suppliers • NTPC and NPCIL have formed a JV company for setting up nuclear plants • BHEL and L&T are augmenting nuclear manufacturing capabilities through colloborations.
Nuclear power - Challenges • Issues related to Nuclear Civil liability bill • Fuel policy of Govt of India • Availability of Nuclear sites • Availability of Skilled Manpower • Augmentation in domestic manufacturing capabilities • Amendment of Atomic Energy Act to allow wider • participation
Hydroelectric Power • Installed capacity – 39,000 MW • Estimated potential – 148,000 MW • Land acquisition issues • Resettlement and Rehabilitation issues • Regulatory delays affecting clearances • Impact on eco system and submergence of forest land • Financing issues for projects with large gestation period • Constraints related to transmission capacity particularly from NE states
Solar Power • Estimated potential– 2.5 trillion MWp • Installed capacity – 1000 MWp Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission has been launched by Govt of India in Jan-10 to boost the development of Solar Power. TARGETS UNDER JNNSM
Wind Power • Installed capacity – 17,000 MW • Estimated potential – 45,000 MW • Identification of high wind potential sites • Improvements in technology to increase availability • Focus on new growth avenues • Offshore Wind turbines • Large capacity Wind Turbines( > 3 MW) • Small capacity Turbines ( < 600 KW) • Improved grid infrastructure in unconnected high potential areas
Biomass Power • Installed capacity – 2000 MW • Estimated potential – 16000 MW • Unorganized biomass market • Addressing issues related to transportation and storage issues for biomass
Transmission System • Present installed capacity - 294000ckm • 220kV Transmission Line - 150000ckm • 400kV Transmission Line - 125000ckm • HVDC 800/600kV Line - 3600ckm • HVDC 500kV Line – 7400 ckm • 765kV Transmission Line - 7600ckm • Present Inter regional Capacity – 38650MW • Expected by 2017 - 75000MW • Estimated Additions of Transmission Network in 12th Plan – 155000 to 180000ckm Source: CEA & Planning Commission reports
Transmission System and Its Growth Source: CEA & Planning Commission reports
Transmission System and Its Growth +/- 600 kV / 800 kV
Important Initiatives • Implementing HVDC lines for Interregional links • Development of 1200kV UHVAC Test Station at Bina • Smart Grid • GPS/GIS (Global Positioning/Information System) based survey techniques • High temperature endurance conductor • Controlled switching of circuit breakers • Multi circuit and Compact towers to reduce corridor requirement. • High rise towers to avoid tree cutting and hindrance in monuments
New Technologies • Ultrasupercritical Technology ( 700 deg C) • Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle • HV Transmission system – AC & DC • Energy Storage systems • Smart Grid & Smart Networking • Solar Thermal- High temperature and grid parity • Solar Photo Volataic – High Efficiency solar cells • Fuel cells
Conclusions GROWTH IN POWER GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION CAPACITIES REQUIRE • Adoption of New and Efficient Technologies • Investing in Research and Development • Availability of large scale skilled/unskilled manpower • Extensive Engagement with Society • Sensitivity towards Environment • Sustainable Growth
Thank You NTPC Limited ( A Government of India Enterprise) Lighting every third bulb in India www.ntpc.co.in
Performing at global levels Electricity Generation Billion Units Highest capacity utilization # 40 40