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Marten Middeldorp

The transitional labour market Using microdata to analyse individual labour market decisions in a regional context. Marten Middeldorp University of Groningen, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, Department of Economic Geography, PO Box 800, 9700 AV Groningen

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Marten Middeldorp

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  1. The transitional labour market Using microdata to analyse individual labour market decisions in a regional context Marten Middeldorp University of Groningen, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, Department of Economic Geography, PO Box 800, 9700 AV Groningen CBS Micro data user meeting, 16th of May 2013, The Hague

  2. | 2 Contents Introduction Theoreticalandmethodological background First results Issues Synthesis + discussion

  3. | 3 Introduction: research questions What are the career paths of school-leavers, employedandunemployedandwhat are determinants of success(on the labour market)? How can regional labour market dynamics be defined in terms of inflow to, outflow from and mobility within companies, sectors and regions en how can this be linked to job opportunities and job seekers in a region and economic growth potential of a region? How can the results be used to formulate regional labour market policies?

  4. | 4 Introduction: analytical model

  5. Background: Types of mobility (RWI/CBS, 2012)

  6. Background: Methodological choices Characteristics: Person / Job / Region Carrière lijn Target groups: School-leaver Employed Unemployed Transities Transities Transities 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Cohort2 Cohort3 Einde volgperiode Cohort1

  7. | 7 Background: Methodological choices • Three target groups: school-leavers, employed, unemployed • Three cohorts (okt. 2006 / okt. 2008 / okt. 2010) • Careerpath: consecutivetransitions (e.g. job (flex) -> job (fixed) -> unemployed -> job (fixed)) • Success: • no unemploymentduringmeasuredperiodand/or having a job at end of measuredperiod, • highersalary (comparedto start and/or other persons)

  8. Background: transitions (Primary Source of Income) (P)Retired Education (Self-)Employed Other Unemployed / benefits

  9. First results: PSI / VIB(Primary Source of Income / Voornaamste Inkomstenbron)

  10. First results: 2006 -> 2010

  11. First results: Employment/Unemployment-ratios

  12. Issues: jobs • How todefine a ‘job’ with CBS microdata? • Goals: measuring job-to-job-mobility, measuringtenure • Currently a ‘job’ gets a new case if the characteristics of the job change • How to handle the SBI’93 – SBI’08 conversion? • Whatdefinition of localitytouse? (GEMSTPL or GEMHV)

  13. Issues: school-leavers • How todefine a ‘school-leaver’ with CBS microdata? • Notjustthosewithdiplomas, but alsothosethat end education without a degree • End dates of educationneedtobe close to have comparablecareerpaths

  14. Thank you for your attention!

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