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Industrial Applications of Experimental Design. John Borkowski Montana State University University of Economics and Finance HCMC, Vietnam. Outline of the Presentation. Motivation and the Experimentation Process Screening Experiments 2 k Factorial Experiments Optimization Experiments
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Industrial Applications of Experimental Design John Borkowski Montana State University University of Economics and Finance HCMC, Vietnam
Outline of the Presentation • Motivation and the Experimentation Process • Screening Experiments • 2k Factorial Experiments • Optimization Experiments • Mixture Experiments • Final Comments
Motivation • In industry (such as manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, agricultural, …), a common goal is to optimize production while maintaining quality and cost of production. • To achieve these goals, successful companies routinely use designed experiments. • Properly designed experiments will provide information regarding the relationship between controllable process variables (e.g., oven temperature, process time, mixing speed) and a response of interest (e.g. strength of a fiber, thickness of a liquid, color, cost…). • The information can then be used to improve the process: making a better product more economically.
Motivation The resulting economic benefits of using designed experiments include: • Improving process yield • Reducing process variability so that products more closely conform to specifications • Reducing development time for new products • Reducing overall costs • Increasing product reliability • Improving product design
Defining Experimental Objectives • The first and most important step in an experimental strategy is to clearly state the objectives of the experiment. • The objective is a precise answer to the question “What do you want to know when the experiment is complete? • When researchers do not ask this question they may discover after running an experiment that the data are insufficient to meet objectives.
2. Screening Experiments • The experimenter wants to determine which process variables are important from a list of potentially important variables. • Screening experiments are economical because a large number of factors can be studied in a small number of experimental runs. • The factors that are found to be important will be used in future experiments. That is, we have “screened”the important factors from the list.
2. Screening Experiments • Common screening experiments are • Plackett-Burman designs • Two-level full-factorial (2k) designs • Two-level fractional-factorial (2k-p) designs • Example: Improve the hardness of a plastic by varying 6 important process variables. Goal: Determine which of the six variables have the greatest influences on hardness.
Example 1: Screening 6 Factors Response: Plastic Hardness Factor Levels Factors -1 +1 (X1)Tension control Manual Automatic (X2)Machine #1 #2 (X3)Throughput (liters/min) 10 20 (X4)Mixing method Single Double (X5)Temperature 200o 250o (X6)Moisture level 20 % 30 %
Interpretation of Results • The most influential factor affecting plastic hardness is temperature, followed by throughput and machine type. • To increase the hardness of the plastic, a higher temperature, higher throughput, and use of Machine type #2 are recommended. • Tension control, mixing method, and moisture level appear to have little effect on hardness. Therefore, use the most economical levels of each factor in the process. • A new experiment to further study the effects of temperature, throughput and machine type on plastic hardness is recommended for further improvement.
2kFactorial Experiments • A 2k factorial design is a design such that • k factors each having two levels are studied. • Data is collected on all 2k combinations of factor levels (coded as + and - ). • The 2k experimental combinations may also be replicated if enough resources exist. • You gain information about interactions that was not possible with the Plackett-Burman design.
Example 2: 23 Design with 3 Replicates(Montgomery 2005) • An engineer is interested in the effects of • cutting speed (A) (Low, High rpm) • tool geometry (B) (Layout 1 , 2 ) • cutting angle (C)(Low, High degrees) on the life (in hours) of a machine tool • Two levels of each factor were chosen • Three replicates of a 23 design were run
Experimental Design with Data Factors • A : cutting speed • B : tool geometry • C : cutting angle
ANOVA Results from SASA: cutting speed B: tool geometry C: cutting angle
Maximize Hours at B=+1 C=+1 A= -1B: tool geometry C: cutting angle A: cutting speed Layout 2 High Low
3. Optimization Experiments • The experimenter wants to model (fit a response surface) involving a response y which depends on process input variables V1, V2, … Vk. • Because the exact functional relationship between y and V1, V2, … Vk is unknown, a low order polynomial is used as an approximating function (model). • Before fitting a model, V1, V2, … Vk are coded as x1, x2, …, xk. For example: Vi= 100 150 200 xi = -1 0 +1
4. Optimization Experiments The experimenter is interested in: • Determining values of the input variables V1, V2, … Vk. that optimize the response y (known as the optimum operating conditions). OR • Finding an operating region that satisfies product specifications for response y. • A common approximating function is the quadratic or second-order model:
Example 3: Approximating Functions • The experimental goal is to maximize process yield (y). • By maximizing yield, the company can save a lot of money by reducing the amount of waste. • A two-factor 32 experiment with 2 replicates was run with: Temperature V1: Uncoded Levels 100o 150o 200o x1 Coded Levels -1 0 +1 Process time V2: Uncoded Levels 6 8 10 minutes x2 Coded Levels -1 0 +1
True Function: y = 5+ e(.5x1– 1.5x2)Fitted function (from SAS)
Predicted Maximum Yield (y) at x1= +1 , x2= -1(or, Temperature = 200o , Process Time = 6 minutes)
Central Composite Design Box-Behnken Design(CCD) (BBD)Factorial, axial, and Centers of edges andcenter points center points
Example 4: Central Composite Design (Myers 1976) • The experimenter wants to study the effects of • sealing temperature (x1) • cooling bar temperature (x2) • polethylene additive (x3) on the seal strengthin grams per inch of breadwrapper stock (y). • The uncoded and coded variable levels are - -1 0 1 . x1204.5o 225o 255o 285o 305.5o x2 39.9o 46o 55o 64o 70.1o x3.09% .5% 1.1% 1.7% 2.11%
Ridge Analysisof Quadratic Model(using SAS)Predicted Maximum at x1=-1.01 x2=0.26 x3=0.68
Further interpretation: • The predicted maximum occurs at coded levels of x1=-1.01 x2=0.26 x3=0.68. These correspond to sealing temperature of 225o, cool bar temperature of 57.3o, and polyethelene additive of 1.51%. • Note how flat the maximum ridge is around this maximum. That implies there are other choices of sealing temperature, cool bar temperature, and additive % that will also give excellent seal strength for the breadwrapper. • Pick that combination that minimizes cost.
5. Mixture Experiments • Goal: Find the proportions of ingredients (components) of a mixture that optimize a response of interest. 3-in-1 coffee mix has 3 components: coffee, sugar, creamer. What are the proportions of the components that optimize the taste? • Major applications: formulation of food and drink products, agricultural products (such as fertilizers), pharmaceuticals.
Mixture Experiments • A mixture contains q components where xi is the proportion of the ithcomponent (i=1,2,…, q) • Two constraints exist: 0 ≤ xi ≤ 1 and Σxi = 1
Mixture Experiment Models • Because the level of the final component can written as xq = 1 – (x1 + x2 + + xq-1) any response surface model used for independent factors can be reduced to a Scheffé model. Examples include:
4-Component Mixture Experiment with Component Level Constraints (McLean & Anderson 1966)Goal: Find the mixture of Mg, NaNO3, SrNO3, and Binder that maximize brightness of the flare.
6. Final Comments • Screening experiments • 2k and 2k-p experiments • Optimization experiments • Mixture experiments • Other applications: • Path of steepest ascent (descent) to locate a process maximum (minimum). • Experiments with mixture and process variables. • Repeatability and reproducability designs for statistical quality and process control studies.