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vision: To increase Manitoba’s renewable energy use to 50% (from the present 30%) by 2030 without increasing global GHGs. . www.50by30.org. Why 50 by ‘30?. spend more of our money here reduce our greenhouse gases grow our green industries. no single sector can do this alone.
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vision: • To increase Manitoba’s renewable energy use to 50% (from the present 30%) by 2030 without increasing global GHGs. www.50by30.org
Why 50 by ‘30? • spend more of our money here • reduce our greenhouse gases • grow our green industries no single sector can do this alone
Why 50 by ‘30? • spend more of our money here • reduce our greenhouse gases • grow our green industries we can lead Canada
How 50 by 30? Where will we get the money? WE’RE ALREADY SPENDING THE MONEY • $1b - natural gas • $4b - gasoline & diesel IN MANITOBA, RENEWABLE ENERGY IS LOCAL ENERGY electric heat electricity industrial natural gas gasoline & diesel
To date energy use 270 PJ 229 PJ 1990 2008 PJ: petajoule
To date energy sources 270 PJ 229 PJ renewables fossil fuels 1990 2008
To date wind biomass solar geothermal energy sources 270 PJ 229 PJ hydro natural gas oil coal 1990 2008
To date energy sources
source: http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm To date energy sources
link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AgKYB9UmpEe3dFRZMW1WVllBZmJSSTE1LXNHMjR2MXc&single=true&gid=13&output=html To date energy sources
To date energy sources
To date • Ground-Source Heat Pumps
To date energy uses
To date greenhouse gas emissions 11.6 MtCO2e 10.6 MtCO2e 1990 2008 MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
If current trends continue greenhouse gas emissions ~13 MtCO2e 11.6 MtCO2e 10.6 MtCO2e 1990 2008 2030 MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
If current trends continue energy uses
If current trends continue energy ~333 PJ 270 PJ 229 PJ 1990 2008 2030
If current trends continue energy sources ~333 PJ 270 PJ 229 PJ renewables fossil fuels 1990 2008 2030
If current trends continue energy sources wind biomass solar geothermal ~333 PJ 270 PJ 229 PJ hydro natural gas oil coal 1990 2008 2030
If current trends continue energy sources wind biomass solar geothermal ~333 PJ 270 PJ hydro 229 PJ natural gas oil coal 1990 2008 2030
If current trends continue energy sources
If current trends continue energy sources ~333 PJ 270 PJ 35% renewables 229 PJ hydro natural gas 60% fossil fuels oil coal 1990 2008 2030
A Green Plan • energy sources ~333 PJ ~312 PJ 270 PJ 50% renewables 229 PJ 50% fossil fuels 1990 2008 2030
A Green Plan energy sources ~312 PJ 270 PJ 50% renewables 229 PJ 50% fossil fuels 1990 2008 2030
A Green Plan hydro wind biomass solar geothermal energy sources coal, propane & derivatives natural gas refined oil products (gas & diesel) ~312 PJ 270 PJ hydro 229 PJ natural gas oil coal 1990 2008 2030 wind biomass solar geothermal
A Green Plan energy sources
A Green Plan energy uses
If current trends continue greenhouse gas emissions ~13 MtCO2e 11.6 MtCO2e 10.6 MtCO2e 1990 2008 2030 MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
A Green Plan greenhouse gas emissions ~13 MtCO2e 11.6 MtCO2e 10.6 MtCO2e ~ 9 MtCO2e 1990 2008 2030 MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
A Green Plan • estimate of new capacity needed
A Green Plan Where will we get the money? WE’RE ALREADY SPENDING THE MONEY • $1b - natural gas • $4b - gasoline & diesel IN MANITOBA, RENEWABLE ENERGY IS LOCAL ENERGY electric heat electricity industrial natural gas gasoline & diesel
A Green Plan So what do we do? examples • Vermont http://www.vtenergyplan.vermont.gov/ • North Dakota http://www.communityservices.nd.gov/energy/empower-north-dakota-commission-information/ • Germany http://www.bmu.de/english/current_press_releases/pm/48295.php
A Green Plan • So what do we do? Every plan has three areas of types of action • Reduce demand • Increase efficiency • Increase renewables
A Green Plan • So what do we do? Every plan has three areas of areas of focus • Heating & Cooling • Transportation • Electricity
A Green Plan • So what do we do? Each participant needs a plan Reduce Increase Increase demand efficiency Renewables Heating & Cooling Transportation Electricity
Discussion www.50by30.org
A Green Plan • So what do we do? Every plan has three elements
A project of the Manitoba Environmental Industries Association • Directed by a Steering Committee consisting of leaders from: • MEIA • University of Manitoba • GeoXergy • Southern Comfort Mechanical • Solar Solutions • Golder Associates • DLF Consulting • International Institute for Sustainable Development • Climate Change Connection • Providence University College • Green Action Centre • Assiniboine Community College • Members from industry, civic organizations, universities, businesses, and environmental NGOs Who/What is 50 by ‘30?
Feed-in-tariffs • Payment for renewable energy from third-party producers (P. Gipe, wind-works.org) • Advantages • Promotes • Rapid development of distributed and renewable energy • Equality of opportunity in remote communities • Disadvantages (?) • Prices paid should be based on cost of production rather than market rate for electricity. Achieving provincial renewable energy targets
Existing models • Ontario • Established under the Green Energy and Green Economy Act in 2009 • Germany • Established in 1990 • 51% of renewables owned by German citizens Achieving provincial renewable energy targets
Providence College • Biomass heating system • Willow Ridge • distributed geothermal heating system • Carpathia School • Solar wall • Car-share program Manitoba examples
Currently about 30% of our energy is from renewable sources 2007
Currently we spend about $5.8 Billion per year on energy • $3.6B on gasoline & diesel • $0.8B on natural gas heat 2007
educe fuel consumption from personal transport by at least the amount of increase due to goods transport at CenterPort"