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It’s About Time: Investing in Transportation to Keep Texas Economically Competitive. José Weissmann. UTSA Bridge needs TTI Mobility needs CTR Pavement needs. First 2030 – Unconstrained Funds – 2010 Report. 2011 Report Committee. Primary 2030 Report Researchers.
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It’s About Time: Investing in Transportation to Keep Texas Economically Competitive José Weissmann
UTSA Bridge needs TTI Mobility needs CTR Pavement needs First 2030 – Unconstrained Funds – 2010 Report
Committee Accomplishments2011 • Scenarios describe possible “futures” • Transportation infrastructure – roads & bridges • Urban and rural mobility • Effect on economic competitiveness & quality of life • Possible funding options • Guiding principles for projects/programs • How Texans will pay for transportation • Information for future decisions
Committee ScenariosConditions, Funding and Letter Grade F - Unacceptable Conditions – What will happen if policies do not change? Conditions deteriorate & congestion grows rapidly D - Worst Acceptable Conditions – Preserve enormous infrastructure investment, but congestion grows rapidly C - Minimum Competitive Conditions – Conditions equal to or better than median of peer cities & states B - Continue 2010 Conditions – Maintain current quality & congestion levels F – Unacceptable Conditions D – Worst Acceptable Conditions C – Minimum Competitive Conditions B – Continue 2010 Conditions
Average Annual Transportation Costs per Household, 2011 to 2035
Capture existing revenue • $100+ million/year from a variety of truck fees • Transfers to DPS: $600 million per year • System-wide sources • Fuel tax • Vehicle registration fee • Targeted options • Toll roads • Project-specific incentives • Public-private partnerships • Area approaches • Local option vehicle registration fees • Local option fuel tax Examples of Revenue Options
Committee Conclusions • Certain – Texans will pay more for transportation in the future • Uncertain – the answer to “how?” and “how much?” • Local and state officials should select projects • Transportation Action Principles should guide investment decisions • Many funding options are available . Pay more & suffer ? OR Pay less & solve ? Doesn’t seem like a difficult choice
Ohio bridge collapse 1967 46 victims Congress passed law, 1970 Started in 1978 600,000 records Inspection frequency, 2 years Database - 116 Items per bridge Helps allocate $ 4.7 billion to States (2007) Available Data for Bridge AnalysisNational Bridge Inventory (NBI)In Texas: BRINSAP
Texas Record Count 8.5%(More than 50,000 records) NBI Total 600,000 records
Texas Deck Area 11.3%(38.5 million m2) (414.4 million ft2 ) NBI Total 340 million m2 (3.7 billion ft2 )
HBP (Highway Bridge Program)Allocations for FY2007 Texas: 7.6% of $4.8 Billion = $362 Million Texas Deck Area 11.3%
Limit 8 t Texas Bridge Data
Historical Data Data available 1995 - 2010
TxDOT Goals • Not structurally deficient (2030 Committee goal) • Not functionally obsolete • Not substandard for load only (2030 Committee goal) 2030 Goals • Forecast number of deficient bridges under constrained funding • Forecast User Costs associated with deficient bridges
The F Grade Scenario • Grade F 460 million/yr • Grade B 590 million/yr Percent of Deficient Deck Area • Public Impacts • Detours • Ride Quality
Questions ? Questions ??