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Explore the key trends, factors, and strategic reasons behind Malaysia's Outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) experience, examining push and pull factors, investment types, and institutional influences. Gain insights into the Malaysian OFDI landscape and its implications.
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Outward Foreign Direct Investment: The Malaysian Experience Emeritus Prof. Dr. Mohamed Ariff and Greg Lopez Malaysian Institute of Economic Research
Presentation Outline • Key OFDI Trends • Key Factors • Push Factors • Pull Factors • Strategic Reasons • Conclusion MIER
OFDI as a % of South, East and SE. Asia Total FDI Stock Source: UNCTAD MIER
OFDI as % of GDP Source: UNCTAD MIER
OFDI Flows 1980 - 1992 US million Source: UNCTAD MIER
OFDI Flows 1993 - 2005 US million Source: UNCTAD MIER
OFDI - Top Ten Locations (1993 -2005) RM million MIER Source: BNM, various years
Trends - Destination (1999 - 2005) MIER Source: BNM 2006
Trends - Sectors MIER Source: BNM 2006
Trends - Investment Type • Malaysian controlled companies (GLCs & RCCs) - 61% of OFDI (1999 - 2005) • Mainly through equity & joint ventures • Funded internally (62%) MIER
Trends - Investment Type • OFDI by NRCCs - 39% (1999 - 2005) • NRCCs investment were essentially extension of inter - company loans to related companies abroad (91%) MIER
Structural Push Factors • Economic growth - RGDP grew at 6.5% on average from 1957 - 2005 • GDP per capita (at current prices) grew on average at 7.0% (1957 - 2005) • Gross domestic savings increased from 29% of GDP in 1981 to 43% in 2005. MIER
Push Factors - Tight Labour Market Unemployment MIER Source: Nambiar 2007
Push Factors - Private Sector Development • No. of listed companies on the MSE grew at an average of 5.6% per annum (1981 - 2001). • KLCI grew at an average of 3.1% per annum (1981 - 2001) • Prior to crisis, MSE was the 4th largest in Asia (market capitalisation) MIER
Cyclical Push Factor • Recession of 1985 and Financial Crisis of 1998 • Market saturation in certain sectors MIER
Institutional Push Factors • Government policies • Economic Nationalism and affirmative action (1970 - 1980s) • Tax exemption, tax incentives & special funds (1991 - present) MIER
Key Determinants • Rising cost of labour especially in relation to the cost of labour in the region • Wealth accumulation (individuals & companies) • Raise capital cheaply in the MSE MIER
Structural Pull Factors • Low cost of factor (labour, raw material) prices in the region (labour intensive companies - manufacturing & textiles); • Markets; • Resource seeking (PETRONAS, plantation companies MIER
Institutional Pull Factors • Investment and Trade Agreements • Investment Guarantee Agreements; • ASEAN Free Trade Agreement; • The WTO Agreement; • Institutions • MIDA, MATRADE and EXIM Bank • MASSA & MASSCORP MIER
Strategic Pull Reasons • South - south co-operation • Diversifying markets (moving away from the U.S., E.U. and Japan) • Access to resources (oil & gas) MIER
Findings • No conclusion can be made as the nature of the study is limited • Two trends can be identified • State led • NRCCs (inter - company loans) • State involvement in OFDI significant • GLCs are significant players • Other push and pull factors similar to general reasons for OFDI • More in depth research using firm level data is needed. MIER