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Vivien Foster Cecilia Brice o-Garmendia, World Bank

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Vivien Foster Cecilia Brice o-Garmendia, World Bank

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    1. Vivien Foster & Cecilia Briceńo-Garmendia, World Bank

    2. Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic: a multi-stakeholder effort Project grew out of 2005 Gleneagles Summit, Commission for Africa Report and subsequent formation of Infrastructure Consortium for Africa. Multi-stakeholder project reporting to a Steering Committee chaired by African Union and including representation from African Development Bank, NEPAD, Regional Economic Communities and donors. World Bank implemented project using Trust Fund resources from EU, France, Germany, UK, and the Public Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility Unique research effort to address previous almost complete absence of data on the subject. Three year program with primary data collection on five infrastructure sectors in 24 African countries. Country coverage will increase to 40 countries in a second phase currently underway.Project grew out of 2005 Gleneagles Summit, Commission for Africa Report and subsequent formation of Infrastructure Consortium for Africa. Multi-stakeholder project reporting to a Steering Committee chaired by African Union and including representation from African Development Bank, NEPAD, Regional Economic Communities and donors. World Bank implemented project using Trust Fund resources from EU, France, Germany, UK, and the Public Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility Unique research effort to address previous almost complete absence of data on the subject. Three year program with primary data collection on five infrastructure sectors in 24 African countries. Country coverage will increase to 40 countries in a second phase currently underway.

    3. Key Message #1 ICT developments have been a major boost to African growth in last decade

    5. The mobile sector has also proved to be a major fiscal cash cow

    6. The mobile sector has also proved to be a major fiscal cash cow

    7. Key Message #2 The ICT revolution is Africa’s big infrastructure success story

    8. Population in range of GSM signal grows tenfold in less than a decade

    9. Dramatic expansion in area served though closely following population centers

    10. And 180 million new subscribers added, almost all of them prepaid

    11. Key Message #3 The market alone can get Africa almost all the way to universal access

    12. Market could viably reach 92% population, many countries currently far off this target

    13. Market could viably reach 92% population, but in many countries falls short of potential

    14. Most of Africa will be covered by mobile networks

    15. Key Message #4 But the reform is not yet complete and prices for mobile services remain high

    16. Price of mobile services in Africa many times higher than in South Asia

    17. Most African markets could support more than three mobile operators but many have less

    18. Key Message #5 The fixed line segment is stagnant and relatively inefficient

    19. Modest increases in fixed line subscription, market even shrinking in South Africa

    20. Many fixed line incumbents remain public, with low levels of efficiency

    21. Key Message #6 In many countries, the government still owns the fixed operator

    22. Only one country has fully privatized its telco. Half remain fully government-owned

    23. Only one country has fully privatized the incumbent, half remain fully government-owned

    24. Key Message #7 Broadband is the next big challenge for ICT in Africa

    25. Cost of dial-up internet access prohibitively expensive by global standards

    26. Broadband price gap is even greater keeping broadband penetrations rates particularly low

    27. Key Message #8 Reforms are needed to allow broadband companies to compete

    28. Limited capacity public internet access could be provided by market

    29. Limited capacity public broadband access could be provided by market

    30. Limited capacity public broadband access could be provided by market

    31. Key Message #9 Competitive access to submarine cables can slash cost of international communications

    32. Telephone calls to US very expensive, (and intra-African calls even more so)

    33. Countries with submarine access benefit, and those with competitive access even more so

    34. Privately financed submarine cable networks are growing quickly

    36. Key Message #10 More terrestrial fiber-optic cable infrastructure will also be needed

    37. Evolution to fiber networks is essential for mass-market, low-cost broadband

    38. Fiber networks do exist but their impact on the market has historically been limited

    39. Countries which have fully liberalized have seen a rapid growth in fiber networks

    40. Countries which have fully liberalized have seen a rapid growth in fiber networks

    41. Can combine competition on profitable routes with government support for non-viable routes

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