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The Social and Economic Impacts of the Ebola Virus Disease in Africa. Implications for Africa’s Integration and Transformation. The need for an assessment. Meaningful full assessment can only be done once the outbreak is contained The assessment shall. Short term.
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The Social and Economic Impacts of the Ebola Virus Disease in Africa Implications for Africa’s Integration and Transformation
The need for an assessment • Meaningful full assessment can only be done once the outbreak is contained • The assessment shall Short term • Contribute to the preparation of countries’ policy responses for the post epidemic recovery • Contribute to the dissemination of country-based primary information on the epidemic and its implications • Support ongoing economic and social planning efforts that accompany the current health response Medium and long term
Understanding the Continental Consequences of the Ebola Outbreak
Social Consequences Economic Consequences Africa's Integration and Transformation Migration Intra African and Intercontinental Trade Incremental Costs to Governments and Society Decrease in Educational Outcomes Decrease on Health Outcomes Reduced Outcomes on Social Protection Household Income, Food and Nutrition Incremental Costs to Health Systems Agricultural Industry Mining Knowledge Transfer / Meetings Transport Trade Tourism Not tending to Regular Pathologies – malaria, vaccinations, etc. Changes in Production Patterns Changes in Capital Flows Incremental Dropouts Increased Pressure on Health Systems Gender Increased Labor Absenteeism Changes in Domestic Consumption Patterns Changes in International Consumption Patterns Investment Patterns Reduced School Attendance Increased Morbidity Increased Mortality Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak Uncertainty Cohesion Stigma Governance / Security Risk Perceptions
Methodology -Sector Specific Analysis with a Holistic Approach
Increasing resiliencies from all sectors • Priority: focusing on the emergency (current health response) as it will impact all sectors of the economy • The need for policy responses in all affected sectors
Time Line • AUC Summit January 2015 – • Presentation of Initial Results