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Financial Crisis 2007-2010. Student Name Student ID Fong Kwok Ki 09009388 Cheng Tsz Hong 09020055. Financial Crisis2007-2010. 1.Background 2.Causes why the financial crisis would occur 3.Consequences of the financial crisis 4.How the government reacts .
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Financial Crisis 2007-2010 Student Name Student ID • Fong Kwok Ki 09009388 • Cheng Tsz Hong 09020055
Financial Crisis2007-2010 • 1.Background • 2.Causes why the financial crisis would occur • 3.Consequences of the financial crisis • 4.How the government reacts
Background • The global financial crisis of 2008 is the worst of its kind since the Great Depression • Began with failures of large financial institutions in the United States • Rapidly evolved into a global crisis resulting in a number of bank failures
What is financial Crisis? • The term financial crisis is applied broadly to a variety of situations • 1 Banking panics and recessions • 2 Speculative bubbles and crashes • 3 Currency crisis • 4 Sovereign defaults
Causes • 1. Easy credit conditions • Lower interest rates encourage borrowing • Banks borrowing to finance investments • potential returns from investments↑ overleveraged creates a higher risk of bankruptcy • created demand for various types of financial assets • raising the prices of those assets • bubbles burst financial crisis
Sub-prime lending • refers to the credit quality of particular borrowers • weakened credit histories and a greater risk of loan default than prime borrowers • Higher demand and price of house real estate pricing bubbles financial crisis • Subprime mortgage payment delinquency rates increased rapidly to 25% by early 2008 • losses of banks are so much greater than the loans
2.Asset-liability mismatch • A situation in which the risks associated with an institution's debts and assets are not appropriately aligned • The mismatch between the banks' short-term liabilities and its long-term assets one of the reasons bank runs occur or go bankrupt. • E.g. Bear Stearns failed in 2008 • unable to renew the short-term debt it used to finance long-term investments in mortgage securities.
3. Deregulation • Insufficient regulation to guard against excessive risk-taking in the financial system • E.g. the deregulation of credit default swaps • Regulators allowed depository banks such as Citigroup to move significant amounts of assets and liabilities off-balance sheet into complex legal entities (structured investment vehicles) • For masking the weakness of the capital base of the firm or degree of leverage or risk taken • weakened in parts of the financial system.
4. Fraud • Companies have attracted depositors with misleading claims about their investment strategies • Embezzled the resulting income • Caused large losses at financial institutions • Contributing to the financial crisis
1. Investors have suffered losses • Stock price ↓ • Wealth ↓ • Consumption, investment ↓ • Contractionary effect on economy • Wealth will further decrease
2. Reducing export of developing countries • GDP of developed countries ↓(e.g. US) • Purchasing power ↓ • Import ↓ • Exporting countries will suffer (e.g. China) • GDP of exporting countries drop further • Economic situation worsen
3. Global Contagion • Global Economic shock • European bank failure • Investors lost confidence • Various stock indexes ↓ • Market value of equities and commodities ↓ • Badly affect the stability of the financial system
4. Company shutting down • Company is hard to borrow money • Turnover is likely to drop • Drop in allowance ,wages or even dismissed • Unemployment ↑ • Income of people ↓ • Investment , consumption ↓ • Business volume dropped further
1. Reduce the interest rate • Interest rate = opportunity cost of investing and consuming • Interest rate ↓ • More people are willing to borrow money • opportunity cost of investing and consuming ↓ • Consumption , investment ↑ • Expansionary effect on economy
2. Reduce the discount rate • Discount rate ↓ • Commercial banks borrow money ↑ • Reserve of banks ↑ • Source of capital for company ↑ • Investment tends to increase
3. Increase the government expenditure on infrastructure • Provide job opportunities • Unemployment ↓ • Income ↑ • Consumption ↑ • Improving the economic environment
4. Reducing tax rate & Increasing Transfer payment • Disposable income ↑ • Stimulate consumption & investment • Improve the economic environment
5.Establish fund for the company to borrow money • Stable source of capital • Borrow money easily • The underfinanced problem can be resolved • Not needed to close down • Reduce the pressure on unemployment