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2020 GHG? Gas tax? Car insurance?

2020 GHG? Gas tax? Car insurance?. Will SoCal meet 2020, 2035 GHG transp tgts? Raise gas tax by $5/gal  28% less driving? Save $ on car insurance when you drive less? But pay more for 20,000 miles per year Cuts driving ~3.5% Eliminate free workplace parking?

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2020 GHG? Gas tax? Car insurance?

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  1. 2020 GHG? Gas tax? Car insurance? Will SoCal meet 2020, 2035 GHG transp tgts? Raise gas tax by $5/gal  28% less driving? Save $ on car insurance when you drive less? But pay more for 20,000 miles per year Cuts driving ~3.5% Eliminate free workplace parking? Pay $2 to drive alone and park at work Receive $4 for transit, carpool, bike, telecommute Cuts commute 23% Large iMobility component.

  2. ULTra PRT iMobility – Steve RaneyPersonal Rapid Transit - video “Best airport transfer devices ever” “Awesome sci-fi system” “quicker, easier and greener.” “Geek transportation par excellence!” “Soooo cool!!  Addicting!!”

  3. 3 PRT companies, 4 customers Amritsar, North India tourist site Heathrow & Amritsar – private sector funded. 2getthere – Masdar Eco-city, Abu Dhabi Vectus – Suncheon, S Korea

  4. Guideway

  5. Under the road, on the berm

  6. Train, HSR first mile Walk Bike, scooter Centralized Cars: share, rent, ride home Bus AndroidPooling first mile Short carpool pick up • Improved match-making • Shared pkng, AndroidPooling Long carpool first mile PRT system LAST MILE mid-day trips Comprehensive, Integrated iMobilityDoor to Door Delivery services, Personal activities, Business services • Web/wireless coordination • Supportive policy context • Scale!

  7. PRT last mile market research Predicts large change in commute away from drive alone Ability to re-develop lonely parking spaces  real-estate “upside” Value of time at lunch is 2X hourly salary Use PRT to go to lunch? Starbucks? .

  8. SoCal PRT applications Anaheim – Metrolink/HSR to Disney LAX – rental cars & hotels Irvine Spectrum – last mile from Metrolink Long Beach circulator Warner Center Circulator.

  9. Anaheim Rapid ConnectionPRT beats ~$700M, 3.5 mi, 5-station APM APM – automated people mover.

  10. Anaheim: PRT vs. APM PRT vs. APM: 4X faster, 6X stations, ¼ cost PRT serves residents, APM is for tourists only Status: studies underway.

  11. Thank You.

  12. ULTra London Heathrow Term. 5 BAA: privatized, owns LHR + 4 airports US retail contracts: Baltimore, Logan, Pittsburg Grupo Ferrovial acquired for $20B 2 year Transport study: low emissions, space efficient high level of service, value Bus & APM lost “PRT: only practical soln: 60% travel time savings, 40% operating cost savings” Small starter system, then expand Held PRT competition: ULTra won => negotiation BAA took equity interest in ULTra PRT.

  13. ULTra LHR Terminal 5 N Parking to T5 2.4 mi of track 21 vehicles 500,000 pax/year expected T5: 10th largest “airport” in Europe

  14. 2 Business T5 Parking Stations(2 berths)  T5 (6 berths)

  15. Cost function = f { System size (larger is cheaper because of fixed costs) Station Density (more stations/mile => higher cost)  Peak hour trip demand (more demand => more vehicles) Guideway: Elevated At-grade Tunnel Culvert Cantilever Bi-directional Seismic requirements “Curviness” Stations: “fancy” costs more Vehicle customizations. Desired average passenger wait time (shorter wait => more vehicles) }. $7M - $13M Cost per mile

  16. PRT capacity

  17. Automated transit (APMs): 100X safer than driving & at-grade transit US / ASCE APM Standards Airport APMs: same safety standard BAA & ULTra PRT on the ASCE committee 361 ULTra hazard cases Earthquake, truck crashes into column, falling debris, fire, bad people, extreme weather, vehicle fails on guideway, slipping on stairs, etc.. Safety / Safety Certification

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