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Topdanmark. Half-Yearly Results 2000. Main events. In spite of DKK 400m reserve strengthening the result for the first half of 2000 was a DKK 312m profit (1999 half-year: DKK 354m)
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Topdanmark Half-Yearly Results 2000
Main events • In spite of DKK 400m reserve strengthening the result for the first half of 2000 was a DKK 312m profit (1999 half-year: DKK 354m) • After adjusting for hurricane claims / Eureko gain the post-tax profit rose 42% to DKK 504m (1999 half-year: DKK 354m) • The technical result increased 115% to DKK 404m • The profit forecast of DKK 550-600m for 2000 remains unchanged
Trend in results DKKm 34% 85%
Strengthened reserves • Estimated hurricane claims on a national scale of DKK 12-15bn against DKK 8bn in the 1999 accounts • Six times greater than the claims suffered on the previous worst storm on Danish records • Topdanmark increased reserves by DKK 400m in the first half of 2000 • Reserves strengthening due to • Revaluation of individual claims • Increase in damage restoration costs • More claims
Life assurance • 16.2% improvement in regular premiums • 1.5% decrease in single premiums • 9.2% overall improvement in premiums in the first half of 2000 % % 1) 1) Affected by certain agreements recognised as income sooner than in previous years
Life assurance Prospects • Separation of risk and savings parts • Savings part • Unit-linked policies • Focus on risk part • Change in profit limitation • Sub-supplier to external savings units • Establishment of Nykredit Livsforsikring • Provision of services via the Internet
Can money be made on non-life insurance? Assumptions • Shareholders’ funds 50% of premium income • Combined ratio 95% • Technical interest rate 3% • Return on shareholders’ funds 7% Return on operations • Income 100 • Technical interest 3 103 • Expenditure 95 8 ~ ROE = 16% Return on shareholders’ funds 7% ROE before taxation 23%
Market shares and premium growth - non-life insurance * 1999 market shares estimated on the basis of a general growth of 4.5% ** Growth in premium income excl. acquisitions *** Incl. acquired companies the market share was about 18.5% **** Estimated on the basis of a statement in the accounts. The accounts do not disclose sufficient information for calculating growth in premium income
Non-life insurance Prospects • Increase in premium rates for certain sectors • Focus on critical illness / health insurance • Services and sales via the Internet • Listing of if… on the stock exchange? • Increase in reinsurance expenses
Reinsurance • Reinsurance ceiling on storms increased from DKK 800m to DKK 3bn • Additionally just over DKK 300m relating to Danske forsikring • Causing DKK 47m of additional expenditure in 2000 • Causing additional expenditure when the basic cover of DKK 800m is to be renegotiated in August 2001 • Increase in premium rates matching the increase in reinsurance expenses
In the long term e-commerce will change insurance business models. E-commerce to ensure that Topdanmark utilises the potential of the new economy - The winners will be those organisations which manage to optimise the operations of the traditional business and are capable of making a controlled transition to e-business - Number of companies e-business volume Transition strategies Traditional business model E-business models .dead 5-10 years time
Financial strategy Distribution strategy Product strategy HR strategy E-commerce strategy The e-commerce strategy is part of Topdanmark’s overall goals and strategies Topdanmark’s objectives and goals • Goals: • to improve its position in the Danish insurance market • to ensure that its expense ratio is lower than the general market level • to ensure that its premium growth is higher than that of the market • to ensure that the Topdanmark share reflects insurance risk rather than investment risk • to ensure that Topdanmark is a both attractive and liquid share • to be able to attract and keep qualified employees • Objectives: • to carry out nation-wide, Danish life and non-life insurance and pension fund business • to be attractive to customers by being an independent and pre-eminent insurance group • to ensure that its shareholders achieve a long-term, competitive, stable return Development strategy • Organic growth, but also including close co-operation with alliance partners and acquisitions, should the opportunity arise • Insurance risk rather than investment risk • Multi-string • Life and non-life insurance and pension fund products • To be a dynamic company encouraging personal and career development
Objectives, goals and strategies for e-commerce in Topdanmark It is Topdanmark’s e-commerce goals to: It is Topdanmark’s e-commerce strategy to: It is Topdanmark’s e-commerce objective to: • support Topdanmark’s business sectors, including alliance partners, with e-commerce solutions • improve the quality of customer contact via e-commerce • develop e-commerce solutions contributing to continuously optimising its use of resources and improving its volume of business • ensure that e-commerce supports a multi-string distribution strategy • primarily use e-commerce for keeping and increasing Topdanmark’s competitive advantages, including: • enhanced market position • progressively lower expense ratio • improved customer loyalty among profitable customers • optimising of loss ratio • offer customers the opportunity to buy and serve themselves via the Internet, including: • buying selected existing products • self service including claims handling • perhaps new product concept targeted at the Internet • support prospect generating activities among both existing and new customers • provide sales and services to large commercial customers via specially designed solutions • provide sales and services through indirect sales channels via specially designed solutions • cooperate with established portals rather than self develop • develop e-commerce solutions for re-use across customer segments and distributions channels
In its first stage e-commerces focuses on • Self-servicing of both B2C and B2B segments • Integration of e-commerce into existing processors • Increased focus on additional sales via the Internet • Initially the sale of existing products • Discussion about separate product concept • Portal cooperation preferred rather than self developing
Share buy-back programme • Share buy-back programme for 2000: • DKK 200-350m • To date this year Topdanmark has bought back shares for DKK 162m • Remaining share buy-back programme: • DKK 38-188m • The share buy-back programme will be resumed after the publishing of the 2000 half-yearly results