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Ethnic Diversity and Peace

Ethnic Diversity and Peace. Myounghwa Lee ml7529a@student.american.edu American University School of International Service. Research Question & Hypothesis. Research Question. How can different level of military readiness and ethnic diversity affect the likelihood of internal conflict?.

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Ethnic Diversity and Peace

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  1. Ethnic Diversity and Peace Myounghwa Lee ml7529a@student.american.edu American University School of International Service

  2. Research Question & Hypothesis Research Question How can different level of military readiness and ethnic diversity affect the likelihood of internal conflict? Research Hypotheses Hypothesis 1. Higher security density → Higher level of insecurity Hypothesis 2. Higher ethnic diversity → Higher level of insecurity

  3. Literature Review Ellingsen Data: Correlates of War, Polity III, National Capabilities Factors turning multiethnicity as a cause of conflict Majority threshold of 80% Type of governance Caprioli & Trumbore Level of socioeconomic development Data: Minorities at Risk, Militarized Interstate Dispute Higher domestic ethnic discrimination → Higher level of interstate hostility and disputes

  4. Data & Descriptive Statistics Unit of Analysis Country Source of Data MAR, WDI Online, Global Peace Index Dependent Variable Rankings in Global Peace Index Independent Variable X1: Density of Military Force X2: Number of Minority Groups X3: Size of Ethnic Minorities

  5. Bivariate Analysis

  6. Regression Analysis

  7. Findings & Implications Hypothesis 1 Not supported by data collected No association between security force density and peace • Points overlooked • High security force density due to small population: Singapore, Oman • Low security force density due to decentralization: Nigeria Hypothesis 2 Very weak association between multiethnicity and peace • Points to be further considered • Countries under conflict settings due to different reasons: Sudan

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