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Pathways for Carbon Transitions (PACT) Kick-off meeting, October 7, 2008. Maurizio Sajeva – Suvisanna Mustonen. Finland Futures Research Centre. Futures Studies Pioneer in Finland wide range of fields in scientific research
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Pathways for Carbon Transitions (PACT) Kick-off meeting, October 7, 2008 Maurizio Sajeva – Suvisanna Mustonen Pathways for Carbon Transition (PACT) - Kick-off meeting
Finland Futures Research Centre • Futures Studies Pioneer in Finland • wide range of fields in scientific research • multidisciplinary basis, as well as services for training and development. • research and development projects • participatory network based and individually planned for organisations and clients. • Research themes • Foresight, environment, innovation, creativity, culture and the knowledge society. • Pioneer in futures of media and communications, food consumption and safety • Futures studies and foresight especially useful in long-term and strategic planning • Centre for Responsible Business • The Centre for Responsible Business (CeReB) at Turku School of Economics (TSE) specialises in multidisciplinary research, education and development projects Pathways for Carbon Transition (PACT) - Kick-off meeting
FFRC’s research groups • Future of Education and Learning • Future of Environment and Energy • the development of environmental indicators • modelling in sustainable development and • energy- and climate-related research (social sciences orientation) • collaboration with the public and private sector and with top-level international research facilities. • Future of Food Consumption • Future of Media and Communications • Future of Regional Development and Foresight • Future of Safety Field • Future of Socio-cultural Phenomena Pathways for Carbon Transition (PACT) - Kick-off meeting
Suvisanna MustonenM.Sc. Electrical engineering, Tampere University of Technology , Finland (1998); Ph.D. candidate at TUT Finland Futures Research Centre 2005 Researcher • - Energy issues in developing S-E Asia, rural off-grid electrification • Tampere University of Technology 2003-2005 • - power generation, environmental issues, energy economics • Empower Oy, Finland, Estonia • Nordic and Baltic electricity markets • CO2 emissions trade and green certificate markets Maurizio SajevaEconomics and business administration - University ‘La Sapienza’ of Rome - University of Jyväskylä, Finland (1999); Ph.D. studies at the University of Tampere Finland Futures Research Centre 2008 Project LeaderScientific Officer at European Commission - DG Joint Research Centre, 2003-2008- qualitative knowledge assessment of complex socio-technological systems- stakeholders' assessment- risk governance- economic and business indicators- innovation and competitiveness issuesEconomic and trade research at Italian Trade Commission, representative Office in Helsinki of the Italian Institute for Foreign Trade, 2000 – 2002 Pathways for Carbon Transition (PACT) - Kick-off meeting October 7, 2008
TSE contribution in PACT Task 4.2.risks and governance in the transition process towards post carbon societiesObjectives : understanding the risks associated with the technologies and infrastructures deployed in post-carbon societies and the mechanisms of governance of these risks; feed-up chronology for related inputs for VLEEM and POLES models Rationale assess the risks and acceptability related to new urban / land-use schemes, new infrastructures and new technologies moving to a post-carbon society: scenario of high complexity and criticality, entire economic systems changed in favour of carbon free energy infrastructures Pathways for Carbon Transition (PACT) - Kick-off meeting
Work content • Identification of major technologies and infrastructures: analysis of current technologies and future changes • Characterisation of risk and uncertainties related with future changes: main criticalities (stakeholder micro level and national/societal macro level) • Stakeholders’ identification and assessment: study of their perception of changes and future impacts (actors’ behaviour and risk acceptability) • Socio-economic analysis : evaluation of economic operators’ expectations related to the perceived risks and opportunities coming from the adoption of alternative urban models and road transport paradigms. Different scenarios for different stakeholders Pathways for Carbon Transition (PACT) - Kick-off meeting
Work content • Modelling a risk governance process (joint integrated management) for giving a broader perspective of the whole scenario and accommodating different preferred policies towards a common goal with a clear determination of roles and responsibilities. • Methodological aspect: multi-criteria models, qualitative evaluation schemes, cost-effectiveness analysis, as well as by the use of frames of meaning for stakeholders assessment, Futures research methodologies (Scenarios, Delphi, etc.) Pathways for Carbon Transition (PACT) - Kick-off meeting