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Budget 2009

Budget 2009. Presentation to the Portfolio Committee on Finance by IDASA. 16 February 2009. Structure of the presentation. Fiscal policy Aspects of social spending. Fiscal Policy in Budget 2009. Impact of the global contraction on SA budgeting. Growth and Tax Revenue in 2008/09

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Budget 2009

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  1. Budget 2009 Presentation to the Portfolio Committee on Finance by IDASA 16 February 2009

  2. Structure of the presentation • Fiscal policy • Aspects of social spending

  3. Fiscal Policy in Budget 2009

  4. Impact of the global contraction on SA budgeting • Growth and Tax Revenue in 2008/09 • Growth and Tax Revenue in 2009/10 • The 2009/10 Main Budget Deficit

  5. Total Expenditure Trends in 2009/10 • Main Budget Expenditure • Expenditure as a share of GDP

  6. Fiscal Policy: An Evaluation • Tax options • Real spending • Spending as a share of GDP • Debt sustainability

  7. The MTEF Growth Assumptions • Growth for 2010/11 and 2011/12 • Debt Implications

  8. Aspects of Social Spending

  9. Social Grants • Beneficiary Numbers • Social Transfers as a Share of Consolidated Expenditure

  10. Total Social Spending • Trends in Consolidated Spending • Health and Education

  11. Unevenness of Capital Spending by Government Departments • Uneven spending • Tendency to spend late in the year

  12. 60 50 40 percentage % Q1 30 %Q2 Cumulative 20 10 0 EC FS LIM MPU KZN NW WC GAU NC Provincial Health Departments: 1st and 2nd quarter capital expenditure as a percent of total capital budget

  13. 90 80 70 60 % spentQ1 50 % spent Q2 Percentage 40 Cumulative 30 20 10 0 EC FS LIM MPU KZN NW WC GAU NC Provincial Departments of Education 1st and 2nd quarters capital expenditure as a percentage of total capital budget2008/09

  14. Thank you

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