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Role of Biomass in the Energy Market of Western Balkans, Moldova and Ukraine.

This project explores the potential of biomass in the energy market of Western Balkans, Moldova, and Ukraine. It examines the technical available potential, competitive uses, availability constraints, and costs of biomass. The study analyzes data from national statistics, recent literature, and national experts to estimate the biomass potential and its current use in relation to the potential. The outcomes provide recommendations for future work, including improving statistical coherence, harmonization with the EU, cost analysis, and the development of bankable projects.

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Role of Biomass in the Energy Market of Western Balkans, Moldova and Ukraine.

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  1. Role of Biomass in the Energy Market of Western Balkans, Moldova and Ukraine. Potentials & Future Integration to the Energy System. Centre for Renewable Energy Sources – CRES C. Perakis Funded by: 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  2. Project team 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  3. Biomass potential estimation Approach Technical Available Potential Competitive usesAvailability constrainsCosts Bottom up Theoretical Potential Reference year: 2008 Wastes Fuelwood Residual Biomass Energy Crops WoodIndustry Residues AgroIndustryResidues • Data sources • National statistics • Recent literature • National Experts ForestResidues AgroIndustry WoodIndustry Fuelwood AgriculturalResidues Composition/ Availability Energy crops(types, yields) Cutting/ Thinning Yield, Residues / • Biomass feedstocks • Residual biomass • Fuelwood • Energy crops • MSW (organic fraction) Forestry - Wood Crops, Yields Crop Land Set aside LandPasture , Forests MSW Land Use

  4. Countries’ biomass technical potential (PJ) 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  5. Current biomass use in relation to the potential 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  6. Biomass potentials as % of TPES 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  7. Relative contribution of agriculture & forestry to the biomass potentials as % of TPES 37% 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  8. Biomass potential estimation at a regional (NUTS 3) level Moldova Livestock residues Technical potential (PJ) 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  9. Bio-energy demand analysis • Biofuels for road transport • 10% share (energy content) by 2020/15% by 2030 • Mix of 1st & 2nd generation Co-firing • 5% by mass of current use of solid fuel PP and DH units • Woody biomass & energy crops • Biogas • Decentralized CHP • No pumping to natural gas grid • Livestock residues • CHP • Decentralized CHP units • Woody biomass, straw, energy crops 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  10. Example of preliminary outcomes for BioFuels in Moldova • Road Transport Bio-fuels • Projections using data for CEE countries from EC’s “EU Energy Trends to 2030” • Targets equal ~2,5 PJ for 2020 and 3,4 PJ for 2030 • Land requirements for own production: • Scen1 – 80,4 kha • Scen 2 – 69 kha

  11. Conclusions • Fuelwood and residual biomass potential ranges from 4 – 521 PJ in the under study countries. • Agricultural biomass is dominant in UA, MD, SR and forest biomass in BA, ME, while in the rest both sectors contribute similar potentials. • Biomass potential ranges from 9 – 17% of TPES with the exception of Moldova (43%) • Regional level of analysis gives the opportunity to identify areas with high biomass concentration for future investment. • Current potential from residual biomass could contribute significantly to co-firing or existing DH plants in the immediate future. • Biofuels from conventional crops (1st gen.) not well developed but with good potential for 2020. 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  12. Recommendations for Future work • Improve statistical coherence for energy, agriculture and forestry. • Harmonization with EU27 • Cost analysis for well defined biomass to energy and fuel chains. • Account for competition and alternative markets • Value of co-products • Improved energy systems modeling analysis. • Bankable projects in the short and medium term. 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

  13. Thank you 3rd International Scientific Conference on Energy & Climate Change Athens, 7-8 October 2010

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