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SAROPS Search And Rescue Optimal Planning System SMC/Watch Duties, Rescue 21, Etc. J. R. Frost U. S. Coast Guard Office of Search and Rescue (CG-534). SMC/Watch Duties. SAR, especially Search, is HARD—not easy “Information Sparse” Environment Aggressive Pursuit
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SAROPSSearch And Rescue Optimal Planning SystemSMC/Watch Duties, Rescue 21, Etc.J. R. FrostU. S. Coast GuardOffice of Search and Rescue (CG-534)
SMC/Watch Duties • SAR, especially Search, is HARD—not easy • “Information Sparse” Environment • Aggressive Pursuit • Use All Available Information—What Does It All Mean? • Investigate, Investigate, Investigate • Follow Lines of Evidence • Think “Outside the Box” • Keep Facts Separate From Assumptions • Avoid “Scenario Lock” and “Scatterbrained” Ideas • Take the Survivor’s Side • Do Not Give Up Easily—ACTSUS Tough Decision
Rescue 21 • FM “Lock-on” Properties • Audio Files—Squelch Broken to Not Broken • Strongest Signal at Receiver Always “Wins” • Voice Signals From Multiple Transmitters & Directions May Be In The Same Audio File • Tropospheric Ducting • Can Cause “Over The Horizon” Reception From Very Distant Transmitters
Rescue 21Voice vs. DF Reception • RFF DF Antenna Configurations & Heights • Top Mount vs. Side Mount • DF Receive Usually Above Voice Receive • Voice Receive Antenna Is “High Gain” • Pre-Amplifier Between Antenna & Receiver • DF Receive Antenna Is “Low Gain” • No Pre-Amplifier Between Antenna & Receiver • Voice & DF Reception Ranges Are Usually About The Same • Antenna Heights Are Tabulated
Rescue 21Voice/DF Correlation • Voice & DF Sub-systems Independent • Voice & LOB Are Correlated When Both Sub-systems Receive A Signal— • At The Same RFF • On The Same Frequency • At The Same Time • Cannot Absolutely Guarantee Each Sub-system Is “Hearing” Same Transmitter • R21 Does Not “Fingerprint” Transmitters
Rescue 21What Does It All Mean? • LOBs Must Always Be Evaluated For: • Relevance • Does The Associated Audio File Contain Signals From Multiple Sources? • If Multiple LOBs, Which Go With Which Signal? • Do The LOBs Make Sense In Light Of Other Information, Including RangeRings? • Reliability • Direction Relative To Tower for Side-Mount DF Antennas • Signal Quality
Rescue 21What Does It All Mean? R21 Best VHF-FM System Yet BUT… R21 IS NOT INFALLIBLE!
Actual R21 Mayday Sector Charleston MISLE Case #520353 040954Q SEP 10 “Jacksonville…Mayday, Mayday, Mayday. We are going down off the coast of … Captain Bulldog, this is Coast Guard Sector Jacksonville, over…and a half miles out. Thirty-eight foot Fountain. If we…Maritime Center, Maritime Center, this is Hood. Do you read me?”
Second LOB (213T) Found That Was Also Associated With Audio File
A-1 (Helo), B-1 (Helo), B-2 (Boat) Completed with NEGRES POS for 38-ft Boat = 99%, POS for PIW w/o PFD = 21% ACTSUS 041849Q SEP 10
Actual R21 Mayday Sector Charleston MISLE Case #520353 • Why NEGRES? • Failure To Detect Search Object That Was Present In The Areas? • No Detectable Search Object Present In The Areas? • Searching In The Wrong Place? • Why ACTSUS Less Than 9 Hours After Distress Broadcast? • About one hour before sunset
Mt Pleasant & Port Royal Reception Ranges For 30-ft Transmitter Antenna
Mt Pleasant, Port Royal & McClellanville Reception Ranges For 30-ft Transmitter Antenna
Range Ring Analysis See USCG Addendum 3.4.15.3(a)(3)c and 3.4.15.3(a)(4)c.
LOB & Range Ring Analysis Scenarios See USCG Addendum 3.4.15.3(a)(3)c and 3.4.15.3(a)(4)c.
LOB Scenario Weight = 1 (Very Unlikely) Range Ring Analysis Scenario Weight = 10 (Almost Certain)
SAROPS Search Plan for 1 Hour After Mayday Conditional POS: 38-ft Cuddy Cabin 73%, Swamped 36%, PIW 5%
Distress Incident Position 041000Q SEP 10 (Reconstructed From Survivor Debrief)
Capsized Boat, 7 Survivors Located and Rescued 050600Q SEP 10 (4 Adults, 3 Children, Ages from 5 to 62. Adrift 20 Hours.)
Case had been re-opened based on overdue report from wife of O/O 042206Q SEP 10. Searches conducted thru the night.
SAROPSCorrecting Frequent User Errors • TIME Issues • SAROPS Is A Time-Based Simulation • Tip: When Adding SRUs, Move Time Slider To Desired CST If Not Already There. • Tip: Searches May Be Planned For Any Period of Time Contained Between Drift Start Time and SIM End Time + 12 Hours Without Re-running SIM. • Always Use Planner! It Helps Avoid Errors From Time Mismatches, Eases Tracking Of Previous Searches. • Avoid Using “Patterns Tool” Outside of “Runs.”
SAROPSCorrecting Frequent User Errors • Uncertainty Issues • Zero Position Error Is Never A Good Idea. • Very Small Position Error Is Usually Not A Good Idea. • Zero Time Error Is Often Not A Good Idea. • Non-zero Default Uncertainties for Positions (1.0 NM Probable Error) and Times (+/- 1.0 Hours) Are Coming.
SAROPSCorrecting Frequent User Errors • Search Planning Epochs • Change Search Epochs (Go To Subsequent Search) At Day/Night Boundaries, or • Change Search Epochs Every 12 Hours, or • Change Search Epochs When Desired. • Avoid Search (Pattern) Assignments That Contain Sunset or Sunrise Whenever Feasible. • New Interactive Planner Will Address Many Planning Issues Now Handled Awkwardly.
SAROPSCorrecting Frequent User Errors • Search Object Types • Use Multiple Search Object Types Initially As Appropriate, Not Always Just One. • Do Not Wait For Searches For Larger Search Objects To Fail Before Considering Smaller Search Objects. • Adjust Search Object Type Weights To Reflect Relative Likelihood Of Each Type • Use Check Boxes On SRU Properties Screen To Force Optimization Of Searches For Search Objects At Highest Risk.
SAROPSCorrecting Frequent User Errors • Search Object Types (Continued) • Leeway Is Important! • Choose Search Object Types Carefully • Leeway Differences Will Eventually Separate Objects By Type • Detection Properties (Primarily Size) Are Important! • Choose and Enter Dimensions Carefully • Get Actual Dimensions Whenever Feasible • Adjust Dimensions for Swamped/Capsized Boats (Next Version of SAROPS Will Provide Automatic Adjustment)
SAROPSCorrecting Frequent User Errors • Environmental Data • Deploy SLDMBs Early And Often! • The Only Wasted SLDMBs Are The Ones Not Used! • “Activate” Deployed SLDMBs • Use SLDMB Trajectories To Select Best EDS Surface Current Product • Edit Area of Interest (AOI) • Default AOI Buffer Is Generous—Reduced Dimensions More Appropriate In Most Cases • At Tools>Options>SAROPS>Run Parameters, Adjust AOI Buffer Speed Down To 2 or Even 1 Knots As Search Extends Beyond One Day (24 Hours)
SAROPSCorrecting Frequent User Errors • Save & Export Cases Early & Often • Get Help Earlier Rather Than Later • Small Problems Tend to Compound • SAROPS Help Desk, CG-534 • Practice, Practice, Practice • General Proficiency • Learning What SAROPS Can Do • Learning More About How SAROPS Works
SAROPSScenario Review • Scenario Definition: Description of events up to and including the possible distress incident positions and times. • Scenario Analysis & Development Is A Critical Success Factor! • Last Known Position (LKP) • Distress Incident Position & Uncertainty • Distress Incident Time & Uncertainty
SAROPSScenario Review • LKP + Dead Reckoning (LKP + DR) • Distress Incident Time Known (No Uncertainty) • Previous Position/Time & Uncertainty For Each • Course/Speed & Uncertainty For Each Since Previous Position • Area • Bounded Region Containing Distress Incident • Distress Incident Time & Uncertainty
SAROPSScenario Review • Voyage • Must be Complete From a Place of Safety to a Place of Safety • Each “Particle” Given Its Own Unique Voyage Plan • Ordered List of Positions and Areas Connected by Transit Legs with Min, Cruise, and Max Speeds • Loiter or “Dwell” Times & Uncertainties Allowed at All Intermediate Locations • Distress Occurs After Departure, Before ETA • Loitering at Departure and Destination (“Safe”) Locations NOT Allowed
SAROPSScenario Review • New Line of Bearing (LOB) • Statistical Distribution of Distress Incident Positions Based On Bearing Uncertainty and Minimum and Maximum Ranges from Observer’s Position • Ellipses for R21 “Fixes” (a.k.a. “Areas of Uncertainty”) • New Flare • Bounded Region (“Area”) Containing Estimated Location of an Observed Flare’s Source • Bounds are Based on Min/Max Bearings & Min/Max Ranges from Observer’s Position
SAROPS TEAM U.S. Coast Guard CG-534CG-761CG-64C3CENOSCNational SAR SchoolR&DC Contractors Northrop GrummanMetronApplied Science Associates Other Federal USNNOAANGA Thank you! Questions? J. R. Frost John.R.Frost@uscg.mil +1 202-372-2081