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Part I Brief Introduction of North Carolina Accountability System

Tough Accountability Situation Great GCS Achievement 2006-07 P resentation for Guilford Education Alliance Gongshu Zhang, Ed.D. Chief Officer, Accountability and Research, GCSNC October 17, 2007, Greensboro. Part I Brief Introduction of North Carolina Accountability System.

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Part I Brief Introduction of North Carolina Accountability System

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  1. Tough Accountability Situation Great GCS Achievement2006-07Presentation forGuilford Education AllianceGongshu Zhang, Ed.D. Chief Officer, Accountability and Research, GCSNC October 17, 2007, Greensboro GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  2. Part IBrief Introduction of North Carolina Accountability System GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  3. North Carolina School Accountability Index • Federal NCLB • AYP: Adequate Yearly Progress • NC ABCs (2) PC: Performance Composite (3) Growth: Annual Expected Growth GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  4. For being AYP, all 21 targets of this school must be met. Miss one target, even one student, the school will not be in AYP status. GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  5. ABCs PC Number of all proficient students for all EOG/EOC tests Number of all tested students for all EOG/EOC tests GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  6. ABCs Growth Sum of all students’ growth C scores in EOG/EOC tests Number of all tested students for all EOG/EOC tests GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  7. Part IIWe Have Been Experiencing Tough Accountability SituationSince 2005-06 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  8. (1)Two Major Changes and Their Consequences2005-06 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  9. Change 1 EOG Math Proficiency Standards Were Greatly Raised in 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  10. Consequence 1Greatly Reduced EOG Math Percentage Proficiency: 2006 vs. 2005 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  11. Consequence 2 Reduced Percentage of Schools Made AYP in 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  12. Consequence 3Greatly Decreased ABCs Performance Composite for Elementary and Middle Schools in 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  13. Change 2 New ABCs Growth Model Were Started in 2006 New ModelRaw ScoreScale Score(Standardized T Score)Modified Standardized Z Score: CExpected Growth(1) Adjustment of Regression to Mean Old ModelRaw ScoreScale Score(Standardized T Score)Expected Growth(1) Adjustment of True Proficiency (2) Adjustment of Regression to Mean GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  14. Trend in Percent of Schools Meeting Expectations EOG Reading Grade 6 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  15. Trend in Percent of Schools Meeting Expectations EOG Reading Grade 5 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  16. Consequence 1Model Design Reduced Percentage of Schools Made ABCs Growth in 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  17. (2)Additional Two Major Changes and Their Consequences2006-07 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  18. Change 1. State Raised EOC Proficient Standards in A1, A2, GM & E1 in 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  19. Change 2. True 9th Grader Cohort Method Is Taking Place 2007One cohort - Four years/Many data points Backward Calculation 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 6-2007 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Graduate N_EarlyGdG9_2004cohort +N_GdG9_2004cohort N_20thdayenrollment_G9_2004cohort +N_moving_in_G9_2004cohort ─ N_death/moving_out_G9_2004cohort Nin Nin Nin NEG NG_2006 NE_G92003 Nout Nout Nout • A high school, as whole, may still be able to reach/exceed State standard (threshold). • High school subgroups may not easily meet the graduation targets for SH purposes. GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  20. Consequence 1Greatly Decreased ABCs Performance Composite for High Schools in 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  21. Consequence 2 Further Reduced Percentage of Schools Made AYP in 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  22. Consequence 3Model Design Increases Percentage of Schools Made ABCs Growth in 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  23. (2)Further Major Changes and Their Consequences2007-08 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  24. Change 1. State will raise EOG Reading proficiency standards in 2007-08 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  25. Change 2. The Third Stage of AYP Targets Were Started in 2008 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  26. If we don’t take special measures immediately the consequences will be: Consequence 1. Percent of elementary and middle schools making AYP in 2008 will be further reduced. Consequence 2. Percent of elementary and middle schools making ABCs growth in 2008 will be reduced. Consequence 3. ABCs Performance Composite (PC) will be further reduced for elementary and middle schools. Consequence 4. Percent of high schools making AYP in 2008 will be reduced. GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  27. Part IIIWork Harder and SmarterGCS Made Great Achievement in 2006-07 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  28. (1)On NCLB AYP GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  29. Difficulty Index NC Mean DI = 0.21, Max = 0.38, Min = 0.09 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  30. Elementary Schools: Percentage of AYP - 2006 and 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  31. Elementary Schools: Percentage AYP Gain - 2007 vs. 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  32. Middle Schools: Percentage of AYP - 2006 and 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  33. Middle Schools: Percentage AYP Gain - 2007 vs. 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  34. High Schools: Percentage of AYP - 2006 and 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  35. High Schools Percentage AYP Gain: 2007 vs. 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  36. All Schools: Percentage of AYP - 2006 and 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  37. All Schools: Percentage AYP Gain - 2007 vs. 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  38. (2)On High School Graduation Rate GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  39. Graduation Rate: 2007 vs. 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  40. High Schools Graduation Rate: 2006 and 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  41. Gain of High Schools Graduation Rate: 2007 vs. 2006 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  42. All Regular High Schools Made Graduation Rate AYP: 2006-07 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  43. All Middle College & Academy High Schools Made Graduation Rate AYP: 2006-07 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  44. (3)SAT Result GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  45. Scholastic Aptitude Test – SAT • Assess the individual’s current readiness for college work to use in the admission, placement, and counseling for college students. • Assess broadly applicable intellectual skills and knowledge that develop slowly over time through the individual’s experiences both in and out of school. • Tie to common curricular objectives, not to the content of any specific course or field of study. GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  46. SAT Participation Rate: 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  47. Total SAT Reading and Math Score: 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  48. SAT Participation Rate: 2007 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  49. Total SAT Reading and Math Score: 2007Participation Rate -- GCS vs. Nation = 70.7: 48.0 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

  50. Total SAT Reading and Math Score: 2007 Participation Rate -- GCS vs. Nation = 48.0 : 48.0 GZHANG GCSNC C:\Presentation\2008\GEA_10172007

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