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Investing in Stocks and Bonds. #12. The Risks Of Investing. Business Financial Market Purchasing Power Interest Rate Liquidity Event. Returns from Investing.
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The Risks Of Investing Business Financial Market Purchasing Power Interest Rate Liquidity Event
Returns from Investing Current income bond interest, stock dividends, rent on real estate Capital gains increase in market value Interest-on-interest returns must be reinvested for compounding
The Risk-Return Trade-Off If you want greater return you will most likely have to accept greater risk Amount of risk is directly related to expected return
What Makes A Good Investment? Future return Approximate yield Desired rate of return
Approximate Yield where CI = average annual current income FP = expected future price of investment CP = current market price of investment N = investment period
Investing in Common Stock Each share represents equity or part ownership in the company Investor participates in firm’s profits Stock ownership is residual firm’s obligations paid first
The Dow and the NASDAQ, 1999-mid 2009
Common stockholders usually receive one vote per share Most small shareholders assign their votes to a proxy assign stockholder’s voting rights to another Voting Rights
Cash dividends and long-term capital gains are both taxed at maximum 15% 5% if in 10 and 15% tax bracket5 Gains are not taxed until realized Basic Tax Considerations
Determined by firm’s board of directors Cash dividends usually paid quarterly Can be paid even if company shows a loss Dividends
Dividends • Cash dividends - most common and most desirable • Stock dividends - new shares given to current shareholders • Dividend Yield = • Annual dividend per share • Market price per share
Key Measures of Performance Book Value - amount of stockholder’s equity in a firm • Good when • book value steadily increases • market value exceeds book value Book Value = Total assets – (liabilities + preferred stock)
Key Measures of Performance Net Profit Margin - one of the most widely used measures of corporate performance • Relates net profit to sales • The more money the company earns, the higher the net profit • Stable or increasing net profit margins are a good sign
Key Measures of Performance Return on Equity – shows firm’s overall profitability from stockholders perspective • Ratio of net income to common equity • Reflects company’s management of assets, operations, and debt • Better ROE = better financial condition and competitive position of firm
EPS = Net profit after taxes – Preferred dividends paid Number of shares outstanding Key Measures of Performance Earnings per Share (EPS) - amount of net income earned by a share of common stock
Key Measures of Performance βeta– indicates stock’s price volatility relative to the market • The market, as a performance benchmark, is assigned a βeta = 1 • If βeta < 1 then stock less volatile • If βeta > 1 then more volatile
Types of Common Stock Blue-Chip - large, well established companies Usually pay dividends which lends price stability Returns are considered more dependable and less risky
Types of Common Stock Growth above average growth rates in operations and earnings Usually low or no dividends May experience more price volatility Tech companies in technology sector Mostly growth or speculative stocks Some are blue-chip stocks
Types of Common Stock Income fairly stable earnings stream pay high dividends attractive to those seeking current income Speculative high risk companies company, products, or industry may be new or unproven stock prices may be highly volatile
Types of Common Stock Cyclical stock prices move in same direction as business cycle often found in basic industries have a positive βeta Defensive stock prices are stable in economic downturns provide basic needs, consumer goods βetas are low or negative
Types of Common Stock Mid-Cap market caps of $2-10 billion greater returns than larger firms and less volatile than small caps Small-Caps market caps of $2 billion or less prices can be volatile due to high risk exposure Large-Cap • market caps over $10 billion
Foreign stock - issued by firms in other countries provide portfolio diversity international mutual funds and American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are convenient ways to invest in foreign securities currency exchange rates can impact returns Market Globalization and Foreign Stock
Investing in Common Stock Advantages Potential returns Actively traded and highly liquid Involve no direct management Disadvantages Risk Timing of sales and purchases Uncertainty of dividends
Making the Investment Decision Putting a value on stock Plow back earnings Dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)
Investing in Bonds Fixed income security Interest rates and bond prices move in opposite directions Versatile Preservation and long-term accumulation of capital Lower risk and return than stock
Bond Issue Characteristics Like a loan- bondholder lends money to issuer Interest - usually paid every 6 months Coupon - annual interest rate paid by issuer Maturity date - when loan ends issuer repays principal to bondholder
Par value – principal amount repaid at maturity usually $1000 on a corporate bond regardless of purchase price Selling before maturity may generate capital gains or losses Discount bond = market price < par Premium bond = market price > par Bond Issue Characteristics
Collateral Senior or Secured Bonds - backed by a legal claim on specific property Liquidated to pay bondholders if issuer defaults Mortgage bonds, Equipment trust certificates Junior or Unsecured Bonds - backed only by issuer’s promise Debentures Bond Issue Characteristics
Sinking Fund Annual repayment schedule detailing used to pay off the issue Call Feature Bond provisions must state if bond can be called prior to maturity Freely callable Noncallable Deferred call Bond Issue Characteristics
The Bond Market Treasury Bonds Agency and Mortgage-Backed Bonds Municipal Bonds Corporate Bonds Convertible Bonds
The Bond Market U.S. Treasury long term debt pays semi-annual interest, sold via auctions Notes: 2, 3, 5, 10 year maturities Bonds: 20, 30 year maturities
The Bond Market Treasury Bonds – 20 or 30 year maturities Treasury Notes – 2, 3, 5, 10 year maturities TIPS– Treasury security with principal payments adjusted for inflation Note: Exempt from state and local taxes
The Bond Market Agency Bonds Issued by subdivisions of the government Not obligations of US Treasury Yields above Treasuries Mortgage-backed Securities include Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
The Bond Market Municipal Bonds Issued by state and local governments Considered “tax-free bonds” since interest usually free from federal income tax
The Bond Market • Municipal bonds • Serial obligations – different maturities and coupon rates • Revenue bonds – serviced from income generated by specific project • General obligation bonds – backed by full faith and credit of issuer
The Bond Market Corporate Bond segments Industrials Public utilities Rail and transportation Financial issues
The Bond Market Convertible Bond - Debenture that may be converted into a certain number of company’s common stock Conversion privilege Conversion ratio Conversion value Conversion premiums
Bond Ratings Letter grade designates quality the higher the coupon rate which must be offered the lower the rating the greater the risk of default
Bond Prices and Yields Bond price is a function of its coupon, length of maturity, and movement of market interest rates Inverse relationship between price and interest rates Premium bond > $1,000 Discount bond < $1,000
Bond Yields Yieldis rate of return earned if bond is held the bond for stated time period Most common bond yields are current yield yield to maturity
Amount of annual interest income the bond provides relative to current market price Current Yield
Yield to Maturity (YTM) Annual rate of return if bond is held until maturity Measures annual interest income recovery of principal
Yield to Maturity (YTM) If bond is purchased at face value YTM = coupon rate If bond purchased at a discount YTM > coupon rate If bond purchased at a premiumYTM < coupon rate