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WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?

WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?. A response with embedded benefits Raymond De Young Re-Imaging Our Economic System 2013 MSU CCED Institute 26 March 2013. Raymond De Young Re-Imagining our Economic System 2013 MSU CCED Institute 26 March 2013.

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WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?

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  1. WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE? A response with embedded benefits Raymond De YoungRe-Imaging Our Economic System 2013 MSU CCED Institute 26 March 2013 Raymond De Young Re-Imagining our Economic System 2013 MSU CCED Institute 26 March 2013 Source: Joel Pett, Cartoonist Group Image Number 41786

  2. Overview • Premise:End of cheap energy Rising defensive expenditures • Result:Business-as-usual disrupted • Response:Localization • Psychological aspects: • Simplifies behavior change • Pre-familiarization will ease the change • Embedded benefits within the change Pre-familiarization Embedded benefits Context Simplification

  3. Scenario analysis Scenarios Adapted from Holmgren (2009) Future Scenarios Pre-familiarization Embedded benefits Context Simplification

  4. Do we pick which scenario to pursue? • The scenario we end up on is notprimarily based on our choices • Largely due to biophysical realities driven by geology, biology and climate • Our choices are in crafting responses

  5. Jeff Rubin Canadian economist, author and former chief economist at CIBC World Markets Other authors, darker visions:The Long Descent The Revenge of Gaia The Long Emergency The Collapse of Complex Societies • One response: Sudden localism Random House, 2009

  6. Another response: Localization • A process of • Transitioning to place-based communities • Adapting goals, expectations and daily patterns to biophysical limits • Shifting our attention from • Centrifugal forces of industrialization toward(cheap and plentiful raw materials and energy, displaced wastes, consumerism, concentrated governance) • Centripetal forces of localization (sustainable use of local energy and materials, local production and provisioning, discursive governance )

  7. A process of rebuilding • With more focus on • Personal proficiency • Community self-reliance • Place-based social interactions • Locally provisioned goods & services

  8. Behavior change is simplified • No choice but to live simpler lives • Less need to persuade or motivate people • People will changebehavior • Without awaiting our interventions • Without seeking permission Pre-familiarization Embedded benefits Context Simplification

  9. Gaining experience beforehand • People notlimited by status quo • But they need to pre-familiarize Pre-familiarization Embedded benefits Context Simplification

  10. Benefits from process of localization • Intrinsic satisfactions derived from • Competence– learning skills • Frugality– being resourceful • Participation– helping others • Behavioral aesthetics Pre-familiarization Embedded benefits Context Simplification

  11. De Young & Princen (2012) The Localization Reader: Adapting to the Coming Downshift. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press Drawing source: Agricultural urbanism by DuanyPlater-Zyberk & Company, LLC at www.lindroth.cc/pdf/QuickReadAgf.pdf Raymond De Young Associate Professor of Environmental Psychology and Planning School of Natural Resources and Environment www-personal.umich.edu/~rdeyoung rdeyoung@umich.edu

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