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Mathematics in Finance. Introduction to financial markets. spend it car gifts holiday. invest it savings book bonds shares derivatives real estate. What to do with money?. I Savings book. Lending K€, getting K(1+r)€ after a year bank hopes to earn a higher return on K than r
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Mathematics in Finance Introduction to financial markets
spend it car gifts holiday ... invest it savings book bonds shares derivatives real estate ... What to do with money?
ISavings book • Lending K€, getting K(1+r)€ after a year • bank hopes to earn a higher return on K than r • (for example by lending it) • practically no risk
Risk free interest rate r • can be obtained by investing with no risk • USA: often interest which the government pays • Europe: EURIBOR (European Interbank Offered Rate) • positive. • discount factor • 100 today 100(1+r) in one year • 100 in one year 100/(1+r) today
II Bonds An IOU from a government or company. In exchange for lending them money they issue a bond that promises to pay you back in the future plus interest. • (IOU = investor owned utilities) • Fixed-interest bonds • Floating bonds • Zero bonds
III Shares Certificate representing one unit of ownership in a company. • Shareholder = owner • Particular part of nominal capital • Traded on stock exchange • No fixed payments Earnings per share:EPS = +
IV Derivatives A derivated financing tool. Its value is derivated from an underlying. • Underlyings: shares, bonds, weather, pork bellies, football scores, ... • Different derivatives: • Forwards • Futures • Options
IV Derivatives - Forwards Agreement to buy or sell an asset at a certain future time for a certain price. Not normally traded on exchange. • Over the counter (OTC) • Value at begin: Zero • Agree to buy long position • Agree to sell short position
IV Derivatives - Futures Agreement to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in future for a certain price. Normally traded on exchange. • Standardized features • Agree to buy long position • Agree to sell short position • Exchanges: CBOT, CME, ...
IV Derivatives - Options Give the holder the right to buy or sell the underlying at a certain date for a certain price. (European options) • Right to buy call option • Right to sell put option • Payoff function • Cash settlement • Exchanges: AMEX, CBOT, Eurex, LIFFE, EOE, ...
IV Derivatives - Options Denotations: • Strike you can buy or sell for that price • Maturity date when the option expires • Buy option long position (holder) • Sell option short position (writer) Exercising ... ... only at maturity possible European ... at any date up to maturity possible American
IV Derivatives - Options Example 1: Long Call on stock S with strike K=32, maturity T, price P=2. Payoff function: f(S) = max(0,S(T) – K)
IV Derivatives - Options Example 2 (how to use options): 1.1.: 100 shares of S, each 80 € 30.6: must pay 7500€ (by selling the shares) Problem: price of shares could fall under 75€ Solution: buy 100 puts with strike 77 each option costs 2 Result: S(T) > 77 you have > 7700€ -200€ S(T) < 77 you have = 7700€ -200€
IV Derivatives - Options Example 3 (how to use options): Situation: You think the prices of S will raise & want to profit from that. One share costs 100€. You have 10000€. Solution 1: you buy 100 shares. Solution 2: you buy calls (10€) with strike 100. Result if the prices raise to 120: Case 1: your profit 100*20€ = 2000€ Case 2: your profit 1000*20€-1000*10€ = 10000€
IV Derivatives - Options Example 4 (how to use options): Call with strike 105 costs 2€ each Put with strike 110 costs 2€ each (same maturity) Action: Buy 100 calls and 100 puts. Result at T: Costs 200*2€ = 400€ Income (110€-105€)*100 = 500€ Riskless profit (arbitrage)
IV Derivatives - Options Other options: • Spreads f(S)=max(0,K-S)+max(0,S-K) • Strangles f(S)=max(0,K-S)+max(0,S-L) • Pathdependant options: • Floating rate options F(S) = max(0,S(T)-mean(S)) • ... • Options on options • ...
underlying maturity strike volatility Option value Interest rate dividends
Summary Assets: • Savings book (risk free) • Bonds • Shares • Derivatives Futures Forwards Options
Problem: How can options be priced? • Modelling • Black-Scholes • Solving partial differential equations • Monte-Carlo simulation • ...