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BRA Presentation. Outperforming Your Competition Mitch Kummetz, CFA Senior Research Analyst Retail Team Leader D.A. Davison & Co. mkummetz@dadco.com. Who am I? . Author of Mitch’s Boardsport Report. Research Analyst covering Apparel, Footwear and Specialty Retail Stocks. Who am I? .
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BRA Presentation Outperforming Your Competition Mitch Kummetz, CFA Senior Research Analyst Retail Team Leader D.A. Davison & Co. mkummetz@dadco.com
Who am I? • Author of Mitch’s Boardsport Report
Research Analyst covering Apparel, Footwear and Specialty Retail Stocks Who am I?
Who is your competition? • Inside the pond…other surf/skate/snow shops
Who is your competition? • Inside the pond…other surf/skate/snow shops • Outside the pond…specialty stores, department stores, sporting goods stores, vendor-owned retail
Specialty Retail • 550 new stores in the next 3 years
Fun Facts! • Zumiez currently has 5 stores in CA and believes it can ultimately grow to 70 stores in this market
Fun Facts! • Zumiez currently has 5 stores in CA and believe it can ultimately grow to 70 stores in this market • These new stores represent roughly $90 million
Specialty Retail • 550 new stores in the next 3 years • 2.5 million new square feet in the next 3 years
Specialty Retail • 550 new stores in the next 3 years • 2.5 million new square feet in the next 3 years • $1 billion in the next 3 years
Where will that $1 bil come from? • New business
Where will that $1 bil come from? • New business • From A&F, AE, Aeropostal, etc.
Where will that $1 bil come from? • New business • From A&F, AE, Aeropostal, etc. • From inside the pond
Competing outside the pond • Know your competition
Competing outside the pond • Know your competition • Emulate their strengths
Competing outside the pond • Know your competition • Emulate their strengths • Expose their weaknesses
Outside Competition…strengths • Purchasing Power
Outside Competition…strengths • Purchasing Power • Infrastructure
Outside Competition…strengths • Purchasing Power • Infrastructure • Private Label
Fun Facts! • Private label represented 30% of Pac Sun’s sales in 2004
Fun Facts! • Private label represented 30% of Pac Sun’s sales in 2004 • Private label represented 13% of Zumiez’ sales in 2004
Outside Competition…strengths • Purchasing Power • Infrastructure • Private Label • Marketing Budget
Outside Competition…strengths • Purchasing Power • Infrastructure • Private Label • Marketing Budget • Web Presence
Fun Facts! • ANF had direct-to-consumer sales of $110.6 million in 2004
Outside Competition…strengths • Purchasing Power • Infrastructure • Private Label • Marketing Budget • Web Presence • Gift Cards
Fun Facts! • Consumers spent roughly 11.5% of their holiday budgets on gift cards this season according to the NRF
Outside Competition…weaknesses • Limited access to brands
Outside Competition…weaknesses • Limited access to brands • Minimal hardgoods exposure
Outside Competition…weaknesses • Limited access to brands • Minimal hardgoods exposure • Rigid real estate model…mostly mall based and inland
Outside Competition…weaknesses • Limited access to brands • Minimal hardgoods exposure • Rigid real estate model…mostly mall based and inland • Lack authenticity
Objective • Retain the kid living by the beach.
Objective • Retain the kid living by the beach • Capture the kid visiting the beach
Exposing Weaknesses • Brands
Top Brands • Independents…Volcom, Billabong and Quiksilver
Top Brands • Independents…Volcom, Billabong and Quiksilver • Pac Sun…Quiksilver, Billabong and Volcom
Fun Facts! • Quiksilver accounted for 10.9% of Pac Sun’s sales in 2004
Fun Facts! • Quiksilver accounted for 10.9% of Pac Sun’s sales in 2004 • Billabong accounted for 9.4% of Pac Sun’s sales in 2004
Need to Focus on • Smaller, less-distributed brands
Need to Focus on • Smaller, less-distributed brands • Derivatives of larger brands…POVD
Use BRA muscle to convince vendors to focus on • Incubating new brands
Use BRA muscle to convince vendors to focus on • Incubating new brands • Funding small struggling brands
Use BRA muscle to convince vendors to focus on • Incubating new brands • Funding small struggling brands • Developing derivative brands
Exposing Weaknesses • Brands • Hardgoods
Hardgoods • Drives customer loyalty
Hardgoods • Drives customer loyalty • Emphasize softgoods side of surf hardgoods
Hardgoods • Drives customer loyalty • Emphasize softgoods side of surf hardgoods • Skate/snow hardgoods brands (Independent, Element, Burton, etc.) are national, while surf hardgoods tend to be local…this can be a point of differentiation
Exposing Weaknesses • Brands • Hardgoods • Location
Location • Surf shops have a captive audience in the summer