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Migration: A Source Country Perspective

Migration: A Source Country Perspective. Alana Fook SIS 600 – Quantitative Analysis in International Relations Research Project November 17 th , 2010. Agenda. Research interest Approach and methodology Perspectives from existing research State hypothesis and expected results

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Migration: A Source Country Perspective

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  1. Migration: A Source Country Perspective Alana Fook SIS 600 – Quantitative Analysis in International Relations Research Project November 17th, 2010

  2. Agenda • Research interest • Approach and methodology • Perspectives from existing research • State hypothesis and expected results • Understand the sample population • Investigate relationships between variables • Findings and conclusion

  3. Research Interest • To assess the existence of brain drain and measure its impact on economic growth in the Caribbean

  4. Approach and methodology:Perspectives from existing research Prachi Mishra (2007) “Emigration and Brain Drain: Evidence from the Caribbean”, The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy: Vol. 7: Iss. 1 (Topics), Article 24. • Attempts to measure the magnitude and nature of migration flows from the Caribbean (12% of labor force, highest in the world) • Concludes that migration is particularly damaging to the Caribbean because of the loss of highly skilled labor • Concludes that migration has a net negative impact on economic growth (emigration losses > official remittances)

  5. Approach and methodology:Perspectives from existing research Michel Beine, Frederic Docquier, Hillel Rapoport(2001), “Brain drain and economic growth: theory and evidence”, The Journal of Development Economics: Vol. 64, 274-289. • Explores the relationship between educational attainment, brain drain and economic growth • Sought to explore the existence of “ex ante” and “ex post” brain effects • Uses data from 37 developing countries • Suggests the existence of Beneficial Brain Drain when “ex ante” effects > “ex post” effects

  6. Approach and methodology:Hypothesis and expected results • There are 197,400 migrants from Trinidad and Tobago (includes citizens and non-citizens) living in the US1 • Trinidad & Tobago accounts for approximately 12% of the US migrant population2 • Stock of migrants from Trinidad and Tobago in the US increased 71% in a single decade (1990 vs. 2000)1 1 Source: US Census, 2000 2 Source: United Nations, 2003

  7. Approach and methodology:Hypothesis and expected results Hypothesis • Return on investment in education is a key factor driving migration from Trinidad and Tobago to the US • H0 = There is no relationship between educational attainment of migrants and income earned in the US • H1 = Educational attainment of migrants impacts income earned in the US Expected Results • I expect a strong correlation between educational attainment of migrants from Trinidad and Tobago and income they earn working in the US

  8. Understanding the sample population:Descriptive statistics Key Information Source: US census 2000 Sample size (N): 3,661 Gender: All male Nativity: All foreign born (Trinidad and Tobago) Citizenship Status: All US citizens

  9. Investigating relationships between variables: Bivariate analysis N = 3,661 **= Correlation is significant at 0.01 confidence level (2-tailed test)

  10. Investigating relationships between variables: Regression analysis

  11. Findings and conclusion • Reject the null hypothesis and conclude that educational attainment (SCHL) has the biggest impact on earnings power of the variables tested • Best model still does not completely explain income • Areas for future research • Regarding factors that drive migration • Gender of migrant • Family ties in source and destination country • Regarding economic growth • Source of education • Age of migrant • Remittances

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