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Towards 2008 SNA: The South African experience. Need to touch base on …. Joint responsibility Benchmark and rebasing cycle 08SNA Project plan Related matters. Joint responsibility. Stats SA – official statistics GDP production and income approaches Supply and Use tables
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Need to touch base on … Joint responsibility Benchmark and rebasing cycle 08SNA Project plan Related matters
Joint responsibility • Stats SA – official statistics • GDP production and income approaches • Supply and Use tables • Input-output tables • Social Accounting Matrices • Environmental-Economic Accounts, e.g. Minerals, Energy, Water, Fisheries • Satellite Accounts, e.g. Tourism, ICT, NPI • South African Reserve Bank • GDP expenditure approach • Institutional Sector Accounts • Balance of Payments • Financial Sector • South African Revenue Service • Merchandise trade statistics • Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries • Quarterly data on Agriculture
Benchmark and rebasing cycle • Why? • Keep relative weights current (5 year cycle) • Incorporate infrequent datasets • Introduce new classifications or methodological changes • June 1999 • 93SNA introduced • Base 1995 • Nov 2004 • Taxation based register for source statistics • Introduce sub-national estimates • Develop base year in supply and use framework • Base 2000 • Nov 2009 • Refine 93SNA e.g. Non-observed economy • Consolidate approach of annual SUT • Double deflation • CPC v.2 • Base 2005
08 SNA project plan (1) • Embedded in organisational strategy • Stats SA forward work program (Minister, Council, Parliament) • Economic statistics strategy • Divisional operation plans • Individual performance agreements • Implications of 08SNA • Discussion document • 6 of 37 recommendations impact on GDP • Refined FISM calculation • Capitalisation of military expenditure • Stock options as compensation of employees • Capitalisation of R&D • Valuation of output for own final use to include return to capital • Changes in recording of pension entitlements • Amendments to basic surveys e.g. new/rephrased questions
08 SNA project plan (2) • Project team • Stats SA and SARB • Quarterly high-level meetings • Technical as required • Involve DAFF and SARS more frequently in t-12months • Detailed timelines • Revision policy • Agreement on timelines • Finalise structures of SUT base year: Dec ’13 • Finalise 2010 base year: Mar ’14 • Preliminary nominal 2006-2011: Apr ’14 • Preliminary real estimates 2006-2011: May ’14 • Final annual estimates 2006-2011: June ’14 • Final quarterly estimates 2006-2011: Aug ’14 • Preliminary annual 2012-2013: Sept ’14 • Final annual and quarters 2012-2013: 15 Oct ’14 • 3 quarters of 2014: 18 Nov ’14 • Publish: 25 Nov ‘14
Related matters • User involvement • Minister • Statistics Council • Key users seminar • Opinion pieces, web articles • Other international standards • Balance of Payments Manual 6 • ISIC Rev 4 • Local version (SIC 7 completed) • Dual coded register (census of business?) Unfunded • Parallel surveys • Revised national accounts (benchmark 2019?) • Comparability of statistics • ICP (periodic Global vs annual African) • BRICS • OECD and major trading partners • SDDS requirements
Thank you • Joe de Beer • Deputy Director-General: Economic Statistics • Statistics South Africa • joedb@statssa.gov.za • +27 (12) 3108024