D1.4.3 - SEAMLESS-IF final version main features

1. D1.4.3 - SEAMLESS-IF final version main features Press ESC Prepared by WP1

2. Main features of SEAMLESS-IF Triple I of SEAMLESS Examples of applications Integrated framework for impact assessment (IA) Applications Infrastructure software Individual components Home

3. Main features of SEAMLESS-IF Assessment Procedure

4. Main features of SEAMLESS-IF Applications • Regional: Sustainable water and nitrogen management, Nitrate directive in the Midi-Pyrenees region in France • European: Trade Liberalisation applied in Europe Baseline of SEAMLESS-IF (hard coded, common for both/all applications)

5. G20 (TC1) - scenario description Simplified representation of actual modalities Export subsidies EU set to zero Simulated tariff reductions: G20 proposal of December 2005 (G20) December 6th 2008 agricultural modalities (WTO) Applications

6. Applications Trade liberalisation Non-agricultural global indicators GTAP Global CGE Data of Nuts-2 and EU NUTS-2 and EU indicators Agriculture EU SEAMCAP Extrapolate farm to EU EXPAMOD Farm and regional indicators Data of activities in 13 regions (out of 300 regions) FSSIM-MP Bio-economic farm model FSSIM-AM APES Agricultural production & externalities

7. Applications WTO proposal Change in agricultural income (%) • Income declines in all E27 regions but Malta • Losses vary between 0.8 and -16.1%, with an average decline of -5.2% (excluding Aaland)

8. Applications WTO proposal Price change by product group (%)

9. Applications WTO proposal Change in farm income per region (%)

10. Implementation of nitrate directive varies by regions: Results for simulations in Midi-Pyrénées, similar analyses done for other regions for which detailed data are available: Auvergne (FR), Zachodniopomorskie (PL), Sikasso and Koutiala (Mali) Nitrate directive in Midi-Pyrénées: Improved management of nitrogen fertilization (alternative tech.) Cross-compliance: 3% cut in premiums if technologies not used Only these two policy elements are implemented in FSSIM Limit to nitrogen in animal effluents to 170 kg/ha/year Restriction of period for nitrogen application Restricting fertilization near surface waters Minimum quantity of vegetation in rainy periods Other policy elements can be implemented in FSSIM Applications Nitrate directive (TC2) – scenario description

11. Applications Nitrate directive Data of baseline (prices, premiums) from SEAMCAP (& GTAP) Regional indicators Detailed data on activities in 4 regions Farm indicators FSSIM-MP Bio-economic farm model FSSIM-AM Agricultural production & externalities APES

12. Applications Nitrate directive, example Midi Pyrenees

13. Applications Nitrate directive, example Midi Pyrenees, effects on labour use (h)

14. Applications Nitrate directive, example Midi Pyrenees, effects on yield (t/ha)

15. Applications Specifications of baseline • Describes situation in 2013 starting from 2003 data • Changes in general economic environment derived from projections of others (inflation; population growth; trends in supply, demand and prices for EU (DG-Agri) and rest of world (FAPRI, FAO)) • Trade: Uruguay, ACP and EBA, plus updates of regional agreements like NAFTA • Domestic policy: CAP reform 2003 accounting for national differences in decoupling • Can adjust standard baseline through running experiment and using this as reference point

16. Main features of SEAMLESS-IF Individual components Models and chains Data base Not yet integrated • Weather • Soil • Crops • Farms • Farm activities • Typologies • Indicators • Policies • Stand-alone models SEAMCAP • PICA EXPAMOD FSSIM-MP Indicators FSSIM-AM • Framework • Library • Factsheets APES

17. Individual components Model chains Examples of applications Integrated model Stand alone model

18. Individual components APES

19. Individual components FSSIM (bio-economic farm model)

20. Individual components Capri (agricultural sector model)

21. Individual components EXPAMOD (upscaling farm-market)

22. Individual components Database • Weather • Soil • Crops • Farms • Farm activities • Typologies • Indicators • Policies • Administrative regions • Climate zones • Agri-environmental zones stores Links to

23. Individual components Database • Database management withPgAdmin

24. Individual components Indicator framework Examples of applications

25. Individual components Indicator framework Home

26. Individual components Indicator library

27. Individual components Indicator factsheets

28. Infrastructure software Ontology SeamFrame SeamFrame SeamGUI Requests Servlets Core Domain Manager Code Generation Requests Processing Environment Hibernate Database OpenMI Model Wrappers Models Replication SeamDB WMS

29. Infrastructure software SeamFrame Model linking

30. Infrastructure software SeamPRES Visualiation of results • Tables • Diagrams (Line, bar, column, area, plot, pie) • Maps • …

31. Infrastructure software SeamPRES SeamPRES work flow Open Get Data Restart Make Selection Save View Adjust Change Selection View

32. D1.4.3 - SEAMLESS-IF final version main features End of presentation Press ESC