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GROWTHPOINT PROPERTIES LIMITED PROPERTY SHOW CASE RMB MORGAN STANLEY 21 May 2013. Agenda. South African Real Estate Global Context South Africa is entering the REITs Era Introduction to Growthpoint Operational Overview and Operating Environment RSA V&A GOZ
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GROWTHPOINT PROPERTIES LIMITED PROPERTY SHOW CASE RMB MORGAN STANLEY 21 May 2013
Agenda • South African Real Estate • Global Context • South Africa is entering the REITs Era • Introduction to Growthpoint • Operational Overview and Operating Environment • RSA • V&A • GOZ • Sector consolidation and acquisition • Acquisitions, Disposals, Developments and Commitments • Prospects • Investment Case differentiator
SOUTH AFRICAN REAL ESTATE • The South African listed property sector has experienced significant growth over the past 10 years Capital Management • South Africa’s listed largest property company, Growthpoint, now has a market capitalisation of R54,5 billion compared to R30 million in 2001 Source: INET Bridge
SOUTH AFRICAN REAL ESTATE(cont’D) • The sector is dominated by a few large entities, with the biggest 10 accounting for approximately 80% of the sector market capitalisation • 26 listed property entities • Sector market capitalisation of c.R239 billion Source: INET Bridge
SOUTH AFRICAN REAL ESTATE (cont’d) • Attractiveness of the sector keeps improving: • Attracting new listings to the sector • Equity raising well supported by local institutions • Increase in interest from offshore investors • Increase in liquidity and tradability Source: INET Bridge
SOUTH AFRICAN REAL ESTATE (cont’d) • The escalating nature of leases underpins income growth • Income growth of 1% - 9% can be expected annually Source: Avior Research
The global context • The South African listed property sector outperformed REITs from the developed world over the past 10 years. They are currently trading at all time highs Source: Bloomberg
South Africa is entering a new reit era • Currently 75% of South Africa’s listed property companies are not technically REITs • These companies have synthetically created rental flow through the Property Loan Stock structure – share stapled to debentures • South Africa’s weighting in the global REIT indices could potentially quadruple • South Africa will be the 8th largest REIT market globally • South Africa’s largest listed property company, Growthpoint Properties Limited (“GRT”) is set to become the 40th largest REIT globally by market capitalisation • Excluding the US REITs, GRT will become the 15th largest REIT globally by market capitalisation - the largest in emerging markets
Regulation • Objective: - Provide investor protection • Ensure prudent management without unnecessarily removing flexibility • Transparency and good governance • Regulator: JSE • Regulatory Rules: Listings Requirement Section 13 • Responsibility: Board of Directors • Annual confirmation to be submitted in Certificate in Compliance • No prescribed management model: internal or external • No prescribed property sector investment requirement
INTRODUCTION TO GROWTHPOINT • The largest listed property company on the JSE with property assets valued at R55,7 billion including100% of Growthpoint Properties Australia (“GOZ”) and 50% of the V&A Waterfront in Cape Town • Market capitalisation of R43,3 billion at 31 Dec 2012 (R24.50 per linked unit) (now R54,5 billion) • Diversified property portfolio comprising 390 properties in RSA, 43 properties in Australia which is 65.3% owned and a 50% interest in the properties of the V&A Waterfront in Cape Town Retail Office Industrial Australia V&A Waterfront Industrial Office • R13,5 billion • R14,8 billion • R7,5 billion R14,8 billion AUD1,7 billion • R5,1 billion • Fully integrated internally managed property company employing 457 staff
GrowthpointrSA - retail • Growth in centre turnovers are slowing down, tracking major retailer sales performance. However, retailer occupancy cost-to-turnover ratios remain well within acceptable industry norms • RSA retailer expansion of international brands within existing operations (Edcon & Foschini) and interest from European and Australian international retailers creating demand at prime centres • Vacancies are at historical average and vacancy level at top 10 centres is below 1.5% if areas under development are excluded • Second tier shopping centre performance under pressure in terms of tenant retention, renewal rental levels and arrears • Cost containment remains difficult - especially labour intensive services and administration costs. Implementation of new municipal valuation roll in 2013 could impact rental affordability levels • Redevelopments/Refurbishments/Extensions progressing well with extensions to Brooklyn Mall, Kolonnade, Walmer Park, Waterfall Mall and Northgate expected to open for trade from Q3/2013 to Q3/2014
GrowthpointrSA - OFFICE • The ongoing challenging economic conditions resulted in the loss of several major tenants in the first half. Vacancies increased to 7.1% but significantly outperformed the national average for Q4/2012 of 10.6% • New letting totalled 45 588m² and 70 454m² of leases expiring in the first half were renewed. The declining renewal success rate of 65.3% further emphasising the tough market conditions. The renewal growth rate remains under pressure but is now positive, a turnaround from (4.4%) reported last year • Arrears have been kept under control through continued proactive credit control, ending the first half at 6.9% of collectables. The bad debt provision increased to R7,1 million due to Government arrears at the end of Dec 2012. These have subsequently been collected • The second half will remain challenging with vacancies under pressure. Five new developments and major redevelopments, totalling 36 067m², of which 20 469m² has been let, will be completed before Jun 2013. It is anticipated that a further 2 developments will achieve GBCSA certification, bringing the total to 4
GrowthpointrSA - industrial • Challenging trading conditions, echoed by negative factory output data • Continued increases in input costs, specifically electricity, is negatively affecting the manufacturing sector. Implied pressure on renewal growth and lease periods • Continued demand for warehousing and distribution facilities (>10,000m²). Increasing consolidation is evident • Vacancy levels have stabilised. Expected to remain at ±3% level for the near future • Arrears have remained stable • New development enquiries remain positive • Acquisition growth remains limited due to high demand and sellers expectations • Strategy: • Key focus areas are vacancies, arrears and renewals • Unlock value from existing portfolio • Pursue new development and acquisition opportunities if financially viable
V&A Waterfront (50%) • RETAIL • Strong retail sales growth up by 18.4% for the rolling 12 months • Voids at a record low of 1.2% with Victoria Wharf and Clocktower retail space fully let • Total and trading retail debtors at a level of 12% and 5% respectively • Footfall continued to grow year on year, despite the impact of the food court development. Figures peaked in Dec with footfall figures on 31st Dec reaching 185 000 • New openings include Market on the Wharf, Moyo, Bodyworlds Exhibitions and the redeveloped Food Court which is performing very well • Shimmy Beach Club with a GLA of 3 555m² opened during Dec and by all accounts has traded well • OFFICE • Drop in office vacancies to 2.4% with key space being let. Just over 2 000m² remaining vacant, of which key void space under offer • Trade debtors at a positive level of 8% • Total debtors are being continually managed while focus remains on closing off historic legal arrears
V&A Waterfront (50%) (cont’d) • HOTEL • Hotel occupancy levels and revenue per room have marginally improved year on year and it is believed these have bottomed out • FISHING AND INDUSTRIAL • Fishing and industrial revenue continues to be strong with no vacancies • Marina activity for the period is high, with the extension of A-spines in the Marina providing additional berthing facilities • DEVELOPMENT AND LEASING UPDATE • Allan Gray development progressing to plan for completion in Jul 2013 • Development of Portswood Ridge into residential units for rental will commence in Sep 2013. A small residential development adjacent to Allan Gray office development to be launched in Mar 2013 • Topshop on track for trading in late Apr 2013 • A new mall development to be created between the Link Mall and Post Office Mall anchored by Edgars to commence in autumn for a summer opening. This will open up additional retail space within Victoria Wharf • Development is underway for a new generation, flagship Pick ’n Pay store, expected to open in Dec 2013. The new store at over 6 000m² will be significantly larger than the current one at 2 600m² and will offer vastly improved access to parking
OVERVIEW - Goz HY 2013 results in line with guidance • Distributable profit: AUD36,8 million; a 47.6% increase from HY2012 • 9.0 cps distribution; 3.4% above HY2012 (before withholding tax of 0.38 cps payable by international investors - Growthpoint RSA) • 24.1% total return for calendar year to 31 Dec 2012 (Aus$1.60 at recapitalisation) • 9.3 cps distribution forecast for 6 months (before withholding tax of 0.39 cps payable by international investors – Growthpoint RSA) to 30 Jun 2013 taking total FY2013 distribution to 18.3 cps (4.0% growth) • Distribution declared equates to 95% of distributable profit • Net Tangible Assets (“NTA”) unchanged at AUD1.93 • Management Expense Ratio consistent at 0.4% • Small gearing increase (45.6% to 46.9%) but 18.3% rise in Interest Cover Ratio to 2.5 times Capital management
Overview – goz (cont’d) • Two DRIPs raised approximately AUD48,9 million, well above NTA • 20.4% per annum total return over 3 year period • Continued significant increase in market capitalisation (close to AUD1 billion) and free float (AUD300 million) Equity • 2.9% increase in like-for-like property income • 0.8% increase in property valuations; after writing off previous acquisition costs and allowing for straight-line leasing adjustments, a decrease of 0.1% • Completion of two fund through developments during the period • Acquisition of well located and well tenanted, high yielding assets have improved portfolio Quality investment property portfolio • Diversified property portfolio valued at AUD1,7 billion • Quality tenants with long WALE (7.0 years) and growing rental income • 98% occupied with minimal short term lease expiries providing a secure income • GOZ will seek to continue the strong growth it has experienced Summary
Sector consolidation and acquisition • New listings to continue • Consolidation amongst smaller and ne listed funds to get critical mass • For Growthpoint there is a limited number but large in scale opportunities available • Continuous efforts to improve quality of portfolio • Focus on optimising portfolio weighting between retail, office and industrial • Redevelopments continue to add quality to the portfolio.
Acquisitions, Disposals, developments AND COMMITMENTS • RSA properties (excl V&A) where amounts in excess of R30,0 million were spent on development during the period include: • Brooklyn/Design Square (75%) Retail R36,9m • Lakeside 3 Office R46,4m • Grand Central Office Park Office R38,6m • Meadowbrook Estate Industrial R37,5m • Growthpoint RSA has capital commitments for various acquisitions and development projects of R1,1 billion with the major ones being: • Waterfall Mall Retail R215,8m • Menlyn Corner Office R213,0m • Deloitte & Touche Office R113,4m • Hatfield Festival Office R129,7m • GOZ has capital commitments for acquisitions and development projects of R397,5 million with the major one being: • 27 – 49 Lenore Drive Industrial R393,6m
developmentS • Waterfall Mall Extension • Current GLA of 49 287 m² • Development GLA of 9 818 m² • Completion Apr 2014 • Project value amounting to R216 million • Project yield of 8.5% • Grand Central Office Park: • 7 108m² development in Midrand, opposite Gautrain Station • Completion Apr 2013 • 4 600m² let , including 3 000m² to Gautrain Management Agency • GBCSA certification: application for Four Star Green Star Design Rating • Project value amounting to R111 million • Project yield of 10.0%
Developments (cont’d) • Menlyn Corner: • 10 047m² development in Menlyn ,Pretoria • Completion early 2013 • 3 600m² let to Liberty Group • Significant Green components • Project value amounting to R213 million • Project yield of 9.3% • Lakeside 3: • 6 152m² development in Centurion, opposite Gautrain Station • Completion early 2013 • Actively marketing space • GBCSA certification: application for Four Star Green Star Design Rating • Project value amounting to R92 million • Project yield of 9.2%
PROSPECTS • RSA • SA economy remains sluggish, negatively impacted by labour unrest and job losses • Consumer spending coming under pressure, impacting retail sales • Demand for office space remains weak • Property fundamentals however remain stable • Overall vacancies at 4.1% • Property expense ratio at 23.9% • Access to capital, debt and equity remains good • Interest rates projected to remain at current low levels for the next 12 to 18 months • Good investment opportunities are hard to find • REIT legislation now promulgated, with PLS’s able to convert on or after 1 May 2013. Growthpoint intends to convert to a REIT effective 1 July 2013 and will adopt a new MOI • Distribution growth of between 7.0% and 7.5% projected for the year to 30 June 2013
PROSPECTS (cont’d) • V&A • Ongoing improvements being made to the development masterplan • Significant improvements in letting of major vacancies • Exciting new redevelopment opportunities in the Victoria Wharf Shopping Centre • Allan Gray on target for completion in Jul 2013 and lease commencement in Sep 2013 • V&A on target to deliver budgeted distribution growth of circa 7%
Growthpoint Investment case differentiator • Unparrallelled diversification (sectorial and geographical) • Internal management (own and manage) with a track record • Access to South Africa’s premier office, retail and industry • Access to GOZ and V & A • Most traded and liquid property share
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