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End of PC’s?

INFORMATION SOCIETY. End of PC’s?. New world of information society! Integra tion of the two worlds. ELECTRONIC WORLD. Collapse of time, space. Possibilities. E-business. Information growth. Information Society – the major issue.

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End of PC’s?

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  1. INFORMATION SOCIETY End of PC’s?

  2. New world of information society!Integration of the two worlds. ELECTRONIC WORLD Collapse of time, space.

  3. Possibilities

  4. E-business

  5. Information growth

  6. Information Society – the major issue "Study: Net Fueling Global Job Boom" E-Commerce Times (08/29/00); Enos, Lori   Jobs created by the Internet economy in the United States and six European countries will exceed 10 million by 2002, concludes a new study, "Internet Enabled Job Creation and the Digital Revolution," from Andersen Consulting. The study reports that the Internet will be the cause of 3 million jobs in Spain, Italy, France, Germany, Ireland, and the United Kingdom, and 5.8 million jobs in the United States by 2002. Internet-related industries will create an additional 2 million jobs. http://www.ecommercetimes.com/news/articles2000/000829-1.shtml Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore this week on his Web site released an economic plan to create 10 million new high-tech jobs over the next 10 years by focusing on IT training initiatives. Under Gore's plan companies would receive a $6,000 tax credit per worker for IT training. The plan also calls for a tax credit of as much as $2,800 for expenses related to higher education. Gore says his job plan would encourage favorable policies for the high-tech and e-commerce industries. Noting that the IT market has accounted for almost a third of U.S. economic growth in recent years, Gore says the government and private industry should both strive to "make the Internet as common as the telephone."

  7. "Greenspan Upbeat on Technology" Washington Post (08/26/00) P. E1; Berry, John M.  Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, cited technology as the main reason for the continued growth of productivity in the United States. Greenspan said, "The most recent wave of technology has engendered a pronounced rise in American rates of return on high-tech investments, which has led to a stepped-up pace of capital [spending] and increased productivity growth." He also noted that technology has improved trade and the integration of the world's economies. … 6 percent for the 12-month period ended this June. This growth continues to amaze economists, who did not expect to see such prolonged growth without an accompanying rise in inflation. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A27424-2000Aug25.html Economy – IS one of major issues

  8. · "San Francisco Chronicle (06/01/03) P. I1; Zuckerman, Sam; Kirby, Carrie: The attraction of transferring technology operations overseas where labor is cheaper, and is transforming Silicon Valley and eroding its role as a low-end software developer. Forrester reckons that 3.3 million service-sector positions--approximately 473,000 computer industry jobs among them--will migrate to nations such as India, the Philippines, China, and Russia by 2015. Marc Hebert of Sierra Atlantic predicts that in several years' time 50% of all Silicon Valley software firms will keep only 20% of their technical personnel in the United States, while the 80% that account for software support and maintenance will move offshore. Although saving money is the primary reason companies are moving tech projects overseas, another major lure is the increasing proficiency and productivity of foreign computer scientists and engineers. … is "a serious economic threat to American workers," while advocates counter that outsourcing is an inevitable consequence of the global economy, one that gives American businesses room to expand both inside and outside the United States. Overseas Tech Jobs ProliferateIS one of major promoters of progress

  9. Needs for IT Workers

  10. USA Visas for IT Workers Table 1: USA visas 1990 66,000 1998 115,000 2000 200,000

  11. BASIC I.S. LAWS • Moore’s law (exponential growth ) • Metcalf’s law: value(network) = square(no. of nodes) • Sidgemor’s law (exponential growth of net traffic) • Andreesen … net capitalism = frictionless economy

  12. ZAKONI INFORMACIJSKE DRUŽBE mMetcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes Put on the Internet all your information and information activities The Internet is the major source of knowledge (Google, databases, information sources) The cyber-world doubles fortune Side effects of information society include information overload and unemployment Information society demands intensive information knowledge for successful leadership Information society belongs to all of us The Internet is the most democratic and free media in the world The Internet and information society are our hope for the future

  13. Background - Information Society • new breed/generation • new technology, old thinking • nothing new last year? • predicting the future

  14. What is new? • Info <> material • 1 page of bits?No smell, no mass papers • Trillions of bits travel daily • Generation gaps • TCP/IP 1 mail – many peacesdistributed, very robust • Everybody has access to the whole world in both directions • Multimedia – speech, NLU • Law – pornography • E-moneyorder through Web • Privacy? Viruses (2000 emails), worms, spying http://izum.izum.si/scripts/br?lang=win • Kids help grand.. • Owning the Web

  15. Trends of progress • Information society:quick changes,from local to global, non-determined world, • Infosphere:handling information

  16. Which info to handle? • Mass media – daily papers, weekly journals … (paper) • Scientific/popular journals • Books, manuals …------------- paper --------------- • TV, teletext, interactive TV • Computer (Intranet, Extranet, Internet, local connections)-------------- electronic --------- • Human comm. • Examples of mass deceptions: - politicians- boxing- p. games

  17. 1876: telephones are useless In 1950: by 2000 super-intelligent computer(much faster HW) 1950: the whole world needs 10 computers In 1960: by 1980 home robots 1977: there will be no home computers Average human will live to 100 y. Predicting the future

  18. Intelligent house int. housekeeping int. carservices ... business TV-computer Media/speech/understanding Napster, movies Internet guides local-global Education – MIT Encyclopedia Games – through the Internet New products

  19. Another Saturation Soon! Computer Generations

  20. Human Generations

  21. IS Impact on Humans (Lewis)

  22. Human Saturation Info clock << biological clock • Terminal velocity • Conflict between biological and information clock • Humans can’t cope with information overflow • Solution: WE NEED INTELLIGENT ASSISTANTS

  23. Computer Generations

  24. Major problems Table 1: USA visas lack of true intelligence trust unemployment

  25. Discussion • Information society – a great opportunity for IT educated technological, human, social • Intelligent assistants - SW generation with some degree of freedom when executing tasks • We need information society to progress – and not to lag behind • Personally – a great decision!

  26. Possibilities

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