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Making Sense of What we Read about Scleroderma Treatments. Kimberly Watkinson September 19, 2014. Objectives. E valuate medical information found on the internet. Understand some concepts of evidence-based medicine.
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Making Sense of What we Read about Scleroderma Treatments Kimberly Watkinson September 19, 2014
Objectives • Evaluate medical information found on the internet. • Understand some concepts of evidence-based medicine. • Be familiar with evidence behind scleroderma treatments, including stem cell transplantation. • Able to use knowledge to assist with making informed decisions.
Evaluating Medical Information on the Internet • Who runs the Web site? • What is the purpose of the site? • What is the original source of the info? • How is the info on the site documented? • How is info reviewed before it is posted? • Good sources: sites end in .gov; .edu; .org
Be wary of terminology such as “innovation”, “quick cure”, “miracle cure”, “exclusive product”, “new discovery”, “magical discovery”, “secret formula”, “suppressed by Government”
Evidence Based Medicine (EBM) What is EBM: • A decision-making framework that facilitates complex decisions. • Considers research and evidence. Concepts: • 1. Study design • 2. Sources of bias • 3. Sample size • 4. Measures of precision
1. Study design • Descriptive • Case study • Observational • Case-control (retrospective) • Follow- up (cohort, longitudinal, prospective) • Cross-sectional • Experimental • comparison groups, investigator • **Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)**
2. Sources of Bias • How was the study population selected? • How were patients allocated to groups? • Were the groups observed differently?
Controlling for bias • Randomization • Blinding • Single blind: when either the patient or investigator does not know • Double blind: neither the investigator nor patient knows which group patient was allocated to.
3. Sample size(number of patients in study) • There is uncertainty introduced by studying a “sample” of the population (random error). • The larger the sample size, the more confident that the benefit of a treatment found in the study represents the true effect.
4. Measures of precision P-values (P= ____) • The smaller the P value, the stronger the evidence against the result being a fluke. • P < 0.05 is considered “statistically significant”.
“Proven Therapies” for scleroderma • Interstitial Lung Disease (ILD) • Cyclophosphamide • Skin • Methotrexate • Cyclophosphamide
Scleroderma Lung Study II • 2- year course of mycophenolatemofetil compared to • 1- year course of oral cyclophosphamide
Autologous Bone Marrow Transplantation Rationale: • Intense immune suppression followed by an immune reset • Alter inflammation and autoimmune component
Autologous Stem Cell transplant Stem Cell Collection Thaw & reinfusion cryopreservation High Dose therapy Patient Mobilize stem cells Stem cell collection High Dose therapy Give back stem cells
Evidence 3 randomized clinical trials: • ASSIST • Single center study • Non-myeloablative conditioning regimen • Results: all ten patients allocated to transplant improved (P= 0.00001) • ASTIS • Trial ongoing • Multi-center study in Europe • Non-myeloablative conditioning regimen • SCOT • Trial ongoing • Multi-center study in North America • Myeloablative conditioning regimen (includes TBI)
SummaryStem cell transplantation • Most effective therapy shown to reverse skin fibrosis. • Awaiting results of ongoing trials. • Appears to change the natural course of scleroderma. • Not a cure. • Role in therapy likely for select patients: • early diffuse systemic sclerosis at risk of early mortality • exclusion of high-risk candidates.
Interpreting info • Is there scientific evidence (not just personal stories) to back up the statements? **** However promising experiments in animals or anecdotal clinical experience, or how widespread, such observations can not predict the results of appropriately designed RCT. ****
Antibiotic Protocol (AP) • Based on theory that disease caused by mycoplasma infections. • Many anecdotal reports of success What is the evidence?
Antibiotic Protocol (AP) • Open-label trial • n= 9 • Results at 1 year (Total skin score): • 4 pts had complete resolution of their skin disease • 2 patients no improvement • 1 patient improvement
Health Professional perspective • Evidence-Based Medicine background • Role to recommend therapies with well-established efficacy
Patient perspective • Don’t care about evidence • Importance of hope • Sense of control over life • Personal preference
Reality • A lot of research needed • Limited evidence for current therapies • Huge variability in disease course between patients • Right disease to be open minded