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Selected New Data for Rhode Island Higher Education

Selected New Data for Rhode Island Higher Education. Presented on March 4, 2004. National Collaborative on Postsecondary Education. Population Growth from 1990 to 2000. 50,000. 45,068. 44,855. 40,000. 30,000. 20,000. 10,000. 0. -213. Total Population. Hispanic. -5,000. Non-Hispanic.

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Selected New Data for Rhode Island Higher Education

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  1. Selected New Data for Rhode Island Higher Education Presented on March 4, 2004 National Collaborative on Postsecondary Education

  2. Population Growth from 1990 to 2000 50,000 45,068 44,855 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 -213 Total Population Hispanic -5,000 Non-Hispanic Source: US Census Bureau, Brookings Institute

  3. Foreign Born Other 100% 80% 74.7% 80.4% 60% 86.5% 40% 20% 25.3% 19.6% 13.5% 0% 1980 1990 2000 Percent of Population Foreign Born Source: US Census Bureau, Brookings Institute

  4. 40% 38.4 30 20 14.7 10 5.4 0.6 0 Ohio Iowa Utah Illinois Idaho Maine Texas Florida Nation Hawaii Alaska Indiana Virginia Oregon Arizona Georgia Kansas Nevada Missouri Michigan Colorado Vermont Montana Alabama Louisiana Wyoming Maryland California Kentucky Arkansas Nebraska Wisconsin Oklahoma Delaware Mississippi Minnesota New York Tennessee Washington Connecticut Pennsylvania New Jersey Rhode Island West Virginia New Mexico South Dakota North Dakota South Carolina North Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Source: US Census Bureau Projected Change in the Population 2000 to 2020

  5. Projected Rhode Island Population Growth Number Change from 2000 to 2010 – By Race White Black Hispanic Other 50,000 46,868 13,873 10,941 8,453 7,207 5,858 5,265 3,417 3,244 2,898 2,992 2,309 1,760 1,409 1,070 328 82 0 0 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 and Older -7,680 -21,233 -50,000 -48,438 Source: US Census Bureau

  6. Projected Rhode Island Population Growth Number Change from 2000 to 2020 – By Race White Black Hispanic Other 50,000 35,347 24,274 22,021 17,754 16,888 10,044 9,656 9,001 6,251 6,114 5,303 5,256 4,273 3,525 3,113 1,909 1,806 1,637 0 0 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 and Older -26,577 -50,000 -50,059 Source: US Census Bureau

  7. Total African-American Population, 2000 Rhode Island = 46,908 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  8. Total Hispanic Population, 2000 Rhode Island = 90,820 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  9. 18 to 24 Year Olds with a 6 81.3% HS Diploma 25 to 64 Year Olds with a 33 83.8% HS Diploma 24 to 64 Year Olds with an 15 8.4% Associates Degree 25 to 64 Year Olds with a 13 Bachelor's Degree or 28.9% Higher 25 to 64 Year Olds with a 9 Graduate or Professional 10.8% Degree 50 40 30 20 10 0 State Ranking Educational Attainment Rhode Island Attainment and US Rank - 2000 Source: US Census Bureau

  10. Educational Attainment by Race White Asian African American Hispanic Other 100% 86.8% 84.5% 82.8% 80% 74.1% 73.5% 71.3% 60% 57.2% 56.5% 52.2% 50.3% 37.6% 40% 30.8% 17.6% 20% 8.7% 7.3% 0% 18 to 24 Year Olds with a HS 25 to 64 Year Olds with a HS 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Diploma Diploma Bachelor's Degree or Higher Source: US Census Bureau

  11. Projections of High School Graduates by Race/Ethnicity from 2000-01 to 2017-18 15,000 AI/ AK Native (33 to 120) Asian/PI (273 to 335) Black (547 to 1,240) 12,000 Hispanic (771 to 2,713) White (6,988 to 5,828) 9,000 6,000 3,000 0 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education

  12. Selected Data by School District

  13. Number of 18-24 Year Olds with No High School Diploma, 2000 Rhode Island = 19,886 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  14. Population Under 18 Years of Age Living in Poverty, 1999 Rhode Island = 41,162 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  15. Per Capita Personal Income, 1999 Rhode Island = $21,688 Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  16. Percent of 10th Graders Meeting or Exceeding the Rhode Island English Language Arts Assessment Standard, 2003 Rhode Island = 42.7% Source: Rhode Island Department of Elementary & Secondary Education

  17. Percent of 10th Graders Meeting or Exceeding the Rhode Island Mathematics Assessment Standard, 2003 Rhode Island = 34.1% Source: Rhode Island Department of Elementary & Secondary Education

  18. High School Graduation Rates – 2002 Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders 4 Years Earlier Rhode Island = 68.8% Source: NCES, Common Core Data.

  19. Number of First-Time First Year Degree-Seeking Students Attending In-State & Out-of-State Institutions, Fall 2002 6000 81% of Students Staying In-State Attend Public Institutions 4,871 5000 4000 2,947 3000 2000 1,151 1000 0 In-State Public In-State Private Out-of-State Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Enrollments, Residency & Migration File.

  20. Colleges that More than 30 RI Residents Attended (as First-Time Freshmen)in Fall 2002 Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Enrollments, Residency & Migration File.

  21. Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Institution, Fall 2001 Rhode Island = 39.1% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education.

  22. Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Public 4-Year Institution, Fall 2001 Rhode Island = 13.7% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education.

  23. Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Public 2-Year Institution, Fall 2001 Rhode Island = 11.9% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education.

  24. Percent of 2001 High School Graduates Going “Directly” to a Rhode Island Private Institution, Fall 2001 Rhode Island = 13.5% Source: Rhode Island Department of Education. Rhode Island Board of Governors for Higher Education.

  25. Imported First-Time Freshmen as a Percent of All First-Time Freshmen Source: NCES-IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey

  26. Measures for Affordability from the 2000 to 2002 Measuring Up Report Cards (Grade – F)

  27. Trends in Affordability (2001-02 to 2002-03) • Tuition at public two-year institutions increased 9% (from $1,854 to $2,014) • Tuition at public four-year institutions increased 7% (from $3,521 to $3,671). • Per capita income increased 4% (from $30,071 to $31,361). • Total state appropriations decreased 3% ($174 million to $169 million) • Total state grant for students decreased 20% (from $6.1 million to $4.9 million) Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, College Affordability in Jeopardy, Winter 2003

  28. Rhode Island Public Graduation Rates Within 150% of Program Time, 2002 UNIVERSITY OF RHODE 57.6 ISLAND RHODE ISLAND COLLEGE 44.2 COMMUNITY COLLEGE OF 12.1 RHODE ISLAND 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Source: NCES, IPEDS 2002 Graduation Rate File.

  29. Rhode Island Private 4-Year Graduation Rates Within 150% of Normal Time, 2002 100.0 RHODE ISLAND SCHOOL OF DESIGN 94.6 BROWN UNIVERSITY 85.1 PROVIDENCE COLLEGE 64.3 BRYANT COLLEGE NEW ENGLAND INSTITUTE OF 63.8 TECHNOLOGY 59.0 SALVE REGINA UNIVERSITY 56.8 JOHNSON & WALES UNIVERSITY 48.7 ZION BIBLE INSTITUTE 48.5 ROGER WILLIAMS UNIVERSITY 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Source: NCES, IPEDS 2002 Graduation Rate File.

  30. African-American Hispanic 11.6% 12% 9% 8.4% 6.1% 5.8% 6% 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 3.9% 3% 0% 18 Year Olds High School First-Time College All Other Credentials and Graduates Freshmen Undergraduates Degrees Awarded Percent of African-Americans and Hispanics at Each Stage of the Education Pipeline Sources: US Census Bureau, NCES-Common Core Data, NCES-IPEDS Enrollment and Completions Surveys

  31. 1990 2000 Nation in 2000 30% 30% 22% 21% 20% 20% 20% 19% 20% 16% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%  Agriculture,  Mining  Construction  Manufacturing  Transportation  Wholesale trade  Retail trade  F.I.R.E.  Services  Government forest., fish & utilities RI Change in Gross State Product and Comparison to the US Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

  32. 45% Rhode Island US 38.5% 38.3% 30% 21.7% 21.1% 16.6% 15.0% 15% 11.0% 10.1% 7.4% 6.9% 6.4% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0% Natural Factory Low-Skilled Healthcare Education, Public Office High Tech Resources Service Service Employment by Job Type (1998-2001) Source: Tony Carnevale, Donna Deroschers (ETS)

  33. $60,000 Rhode Island US $51,201 $49,689 $50,000 $41,097 $40,807 $39,705 $39,701 $40,000 $33,630 $33,221 $33,015 $31,153 $28,853 $30,000 $27,709 $20,765 $20,000 $17,802 $17,517 $17,177 $10,000 $0 Natural Factory Low-Skilled Healthcare Education, Office High Tech All Jobs Resources Service Public Service Earnings by Job Type (1998-2001) Source: Tony Carnevale, Donna Deroschers (ETS)

  34. Annual Degree Production in Selected Fields vs. Average Annual Job Openings Degrees Awarded Annually (2001-02) Average Annual Openings (2000 to 2010) 700 662 637 600 527 500 439 428 381 400 318 314 314 300 250 248 200 172 101 90 100 0 Engineering Engineering Nursing Health Tech Comp. Sci - Comp. Sci - Education Tech Bachelors Associates Sources: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey (2001-02) and the Rhode Island Department of Labor and Training

  35. Rhode Island Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group (1995 to 2000) 22-29 Year Olds 30-64 Year Olds Less Than High Less Than High School School 2,812 4,565 High School High School 1,551 228 Some College Some College 2,141 433 Associates Associates 600 366 Bachelor's Bachelor's -2,804 746 Grad/Prof Grad/Prof -706 727 Total Total 3,594 7,065 -4,000 -3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000

  36. Postsecondary Teachers 701 Material Moving Workers 640 Food and Beverage Serving Workers 459 Other Personal Care and Service Workers 426 Assemblers and Fabricators 371 311 Other Production Occupations Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health Aides 308 Metal Workers and Plastic Workers 271 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers 217 Building Cleaning and Pest Control Workers 215 -151 Other Sales and Related Workers -227 Financial Specialists -236 Sales Representatives, Services -266 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners -273 Media and Communication Workers -342 Computer Specialists -356 Engineers -425 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -432 Supervisors, Sales Workers -445 Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 22 to 29 Year Olds Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000

  37. Postsecondary Teachers 419 Food and Beverage Serving Workers 168 Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health Aides 136 Construction Trades Workers 129 Other Teachers and Instructors 121 119 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers Law Enforcement Workers 107 Other Military Occupations 105 Vehicle and Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 99 Water Transportation Workers 71 -206 Financial Specialists -241 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners -253 Computer Specialists -296 Sales Representatives, Services -309 Engineers -315 Business Operations Specialists -321 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -336 Information and Record Clerks -343 Media and Communication Workers -384 Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 22 to 29 Year Olds with a College Degree Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000

  38. Other Production Occupations 534 Metal Workers and Plastic Workers 523 Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers 511 Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, and Distributing Workers 349 Health Technologists and Technicians 345 236 Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers Engineers 236 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians 234 Media and Communication Workers 222 Material Moving Workers 222 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing 221 -161 Top Executives -167 Information and Record Clerks -171 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers -242 Business Operations Specialists -270 Personal Appearance Workers -284 Financial Specialists -300 Other Management Occupations -333 Financial Clerks -362 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 30 to 64 Year Olds Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000

  39. Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers 272 Operations Specialties Managers 269 Engineers 215 Media and Communication Workers 208 Military Officer Special and Tactical Operations Leaders/Managers 204 159 Drafters, Engineering, and Mapping Technicians Postsecondary Teachers 159 Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners 143 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians 138 Other Personal Care and Service Workers 138 -92 First-Line Supervisors/Managers, Protective Service Workers -103 Information and Record Clerks -106 Computer Specialists -107 Architects, Surveyors, and Cartographers -115 Personal Appearance Workers -151 Business Operations Specialists -201 Financial Specialists -210 Supervisors, Food Preparation and Serving Workers -234 Other Management Occupations -282 Primary, Secondary, and Special Education School Teachers -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 Rhode Island Net Migration by Occupation (1995 to 2000) 30 to 64 Year Olds with a College Degree Source: US Census Public Use Microdata Samples, 2000

  40. $210 $205.9 140 $84.4 70 $62.0 $18.1 0 IL RI ID IN FL NJ HI IA SC SD MI TX CT WI US KS LA NE UT VT AL DE AZ TN GA AR PA MS NV KY ME CO OR NC CA OK MT NH VA AK NY ND OH MD MA NM MO MN WY WV WA Federal Research and Development Expenditures Per Capita (2000) Source: National Science Foundation, US Census Bureau

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