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London’s Migration across the Recession

London’s Migration across the Recession. LSE London 22 nd March 2011. Outline. Internal Migration Rest of UK and adjacent regions Age patterns Long-Term International Migration London numbers UK details Overall Migration Other Evidence NHS Flag 4s National Insurance Conclusions?.

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London’s Migration across the Recession

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  1. London’s Migration across the Recession LSE London 22nd March 2011

  2. Outline • Internal Migration • Rest of UK and adjacent regions • Age patterns • Long-Term International Migration • London numbers • UK details • Overall Migration • Other Evidence • NHS Flag 4s • National Insurance • Conclusions?

  3. London: Internal Migration Trends

  4. London: Adjacent Regions (thousands)

  5. London: Net Moves in ‘South East’ (thousands)

  6. London: Net Moves with Rest of UK

  7. London Moves with Rest of UK: 2007 Q2

  8. London Moves with Rest of UK: 2009 Q3

  9. London - Rest of UK: % Change 07Q2-09Q3

  10. ‘South East’: % Changes: 2006-07 to 2009-10

  11. London: International Trends (LTIM)

  12. UK: International Trends (LTIM)

  13. London: International Flows: Percentage of UK

  14. UK: Net Flow by Citizenship (ONSCD Chart)

  15. UK: Gross Flows by Citizenship (ONSCD Chart)

  16. UK: Gross Flows by Reason (ONSCD Chart)

  17. UK: IPS Trends (thousands)

  18. UK: A8 Migration Trends (IPS)

  19. London: Total Migration Flows

  20. NHS Flag 4s: London and E&W

  21. NINos: London and UK

  22. London ‘Inflow’ Comparisons

  23. Conclusions? • Recession impact seen with internal migration • Record inflows • Net inflows from beyond ‘South East/East’ • Triple whammy on Reception class demand • Retirement moves collapse • International migration – London going its own way • Declining inflow – rising outflow – reduced net inflow • Consistency of data sources?

  24. Contact John Hollis John.hollis@london.gov.uk O20 7983 4604

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