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Presentation to New York State Public Service Commission May 15, 2014 Technical Conference. Michael B. Mager, Esq. Partner, Couch White, LLP Counsel to Multiple Intervenors. Technical Conference Presentation. Topics
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Presentation to New York State Public Service Commission May 15, 2014 Technical Conference Michael B. Mager, Esq. Partner, Couch White, LLP Counsel to Multiple Intervenors
Technical Conference Presentation • Topics • Impact of Winter Gas Supply and Electric and Gas Pricing on Multiple Intervenors Members • Selected Recommendations for Addressing High Energy Prices
Technical Conference Presentation • Gas Supply Issues Had a Tremendous Impact on Multiple Intervenors Members • Customers with Interruptible Transportation Experienced Frequent, Prolonged Interruptions • Led to Unusually-High Reliance on Alternate Fuels • In Some Instances, Facilities Were Required to Shut-Down Operations • Customers with Firm Transportation Also Experienced Interruptions Due to Local System Constraints • Gas Prices in the Spot Market Were Astronomical
Technical Conference Presentation • Gas Issues Resulted in Historically-High Electricity Prices During the First Three Months of 2014 • Many Customers Experienced Unprecedented Costs That Obliterated Annual Energy Budgets • One Energy-Intensive Member Reported That Electricity Costs in January, 2014 Were Responsible for the Company’s New York Division Losing Money in the First Quarter of 2014 • Even Largely-Hedged Customers Experienced Abnormal Cost Increases That Impacted Budgets
Technical Conference Presentation • Representative Impacts on Multiple Intervenors Members • Annual Energy Budgets Were Exceeded in the First Quarter of the Year • Companies That Were 80-85% Hedged Still Experienced Enormous Budget Cost Overruns • Capital Projects Were Postponed or Canceled • In Some Cases, Internal Investments Targeted for New York Were Shifted to Other Regions
Technical Conference Presentation • Multiple Intervenors’ Recommendations • There is a Pressing Need to: • Increase Interstate Gas Pipeline Capacity in New York • Improve Customer Participation In – and the Effectiveness of – Demand Response Programs • Significantly Reduce Surcharges to Large, High-Load Factor Customers
Technical Conference Presentation • Increasing Interstate Gas Pipeline Capacity • Gas Appears to be the Most Economic Fuel for Energy for the Foreseeable Future • Increasing Reliance on Gas for Electric Generation • Base Load Generation Developed Recently Has Been Gas-Fired • Future Base Load Generation is Likely to Be Gas-Fired • Increased Deployment of Distributed Resources Likely Will Include a Significant Portion of Gas-Fired Generation • Gas-Fired Generators Set the Marginal Price for Energy Most Hours of the Year
Technical Conference Presentation • Increasing Interstate Gas Pipeline Capacity • Gas Problems This Past Winter Were Related Primarily (If Not Exclusively) to Shortages in Capacity, Not Supply • The State (and the Northeast) Lacks Sufficient Interstate Gas Pipeline Capacity • Commission Efforts to Expand the State’s Gas Distribution System May Exacerbate Problems Unless the Gas Transmission System is Expanded Contemporaneously • Absent Affirmative Action by the State, New Capacity May Be Built Through New York but for Benefit of Other States
Technical Conference Presentation • Increasing Interstate Gas Pipeline Capacity • Interstate Pipelines Will Not Expand in New York Absent Long-Term Contractual Commitments • Customers Generally Are Not in Position to Make Such Commitments • Marketers Generally Are Not in Position to Make Such Commitments • Generators Generally Are Not in Position to Make Such Commitments • Mandating That Generators Procure Firm Transportation Capacity Likely Would Increase Electricity Prices Significantly and Result in Inefficient Use of the Gas System
Technical Conference Presentation • Increasing Interstate Gas Pipeline Capacity • Recommendations for Further Consideration • Require Gas Utilities to Contract for Capacity and Then Release Excess • Potential to Develop Economic Development Programs to Leverage Capacity to Spur Investment and Retention in New York • The State (e.g., NYSERDA, New York Green Bank) Could Contract for Capacity and Then Release Excess • Efforts Could Be Undertaken to Increase Gas Storage Capacity in the State; Shares of New Storage Assets Could Be Leased to Marketers and/or Customers • Facilitate Efforts by Third Parties (e.g., Shale Gas Developers) to Expedite Construction of In-State Pipeline Capacity and Provide for Releases of Capacity for Use in New York
Technical Conference Presentation • The Need to Improve Demand Response Programs • The Level of Surplus Capacity in the State Has Declined Considerably in Recent Years • During 2010-2013 Period, More Than 3,700 MW of Generation Capacity Located in New York Exited the Market • The Need for Successful Demand Response Programs Has Grown; the NYISO Depends on Such Programs to a Much-Larger Extent • Demand Response Programs Provide End-Use Customers with the Means to Influence Energy and Capacity Prices • Successful Programs Would Reduce Demand During High-Peak Periods, Resulting in Lower Prices and Improved Reliability
Technical Conference Presentation Sources: NYISO Special Case Resources Monthly Reports and NYISO Spot Market Auction Results, as posted on the NYISO Website. Change in Price = +1,900% Change in SCR Enrollment = -50%
Technical Conference Presentation Sources: NYISO Special Case Resources Monthly Reports and NYISO Spot Market Auction Results, as posted on the NYISO Website. Change in Price = +93% Change in SCR Enrollment = -17% Change in Price = +2,359% Change in SCR Enrollment = -42%
Technical Conference Presentation • The Future of Demand Response Programs • The Reasons for Decline in Enrollment are Numerous and Beyond the Scope of this Technical Conference • Multiple Intervenors Participates Actively in the NYISO’s Stakeholder Process on Demand Response Issues • Promoting Demand Response Programs at the Retail Level Could Offset Some or All of the Failings of Current Wholesale Level Programs and Lead to Increased Customer Participation • Multiple Intervenors Looks Forward to Addressing Demand Response Issues as Part of the REV Proceeding
Technical Conference Presentation • The Need to Reduce Customer Surcharges • The SBC, EEPS and RPS Surcharges Have Grown Tremendously Over Time • For Large, High-Load Factor Customers, Those Surcharges Exceed the Cost of “Traditional” Delivery Service (Customer Charge + Demand Charge) • Huge Impacts for Large Non-Residential Customers • Costs Exceed Economic Benefits, Making New York Operations Less Competitive with External and Internal Competitors
Technical Conference Presentation • The Need to Reduce Customer Surcharges • Example #1 – Niagara Mohawk S.C. 3-A Transmission Customer with 20 MW Demand and 85% Load Factor • Annual Cost of “Traditional” Delivery Service: $709,200 • Annual Cost of SBC, EEPS and RPS Surcharges: $1,178,106.12 • Example #2 – Central Hudson S.C. 13 Transmission Customer with 40 MW Demand and 90% Load Factor • Annual Cost of “Traditional” Delivery Service: $1,768,920 • Annual Cost of SBC, EEPS and RPS Surcharges: $2,431,425.60 • Additional Examples Available Upon Request • The New Clean Energy Fund Proceeding May Lead to Steps in the Right Direction, But Relief is Needed Now
Technical Conference Presentation • Multiple Intervenors’ Concerns Regarding Surcharges • Magnitude of Surcharges to Large, High-Load Factor Customers are Exorbitant and Reduce Competitiveness • Large Non-Residential Customers Appear to be Subsidizing EEPS Programs Targeted Primarily at Small Non-Residential Customers • Customer Funds Targeted at, Among Other Things, Reducing Demand, Increasing Renewable Generation Capacity, and Market Transformation Initiatives Should Not Be Recovered on a Per kWh Basis • Methodology Has Disparate and Inequitable Impacts on Large, High-Load-Factor Customers (Who Typically are the Most Efficient Energy Consumers) • Many Other States Have Enacted Limitations on Percentage Impacts of Surcharges and/or Amounts That Can be Recovered From Individual Customers, and Offer Customer Opt-Out or Self-Directed Programs • A Sizeable Surplus Exists That Would Allow For Meaningful Rate Relief