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Towards a new model for evaluating the merit of Italian academic scientists and their institutions. Mauro Degli Esposti. Ferrara, Jan 2011. A new analysis of Italian universities – the start. From The Times October 9, 2008 Whatever happened to the University of Bologna?
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Towards a new model for evaluating the merit of Italian academic scientists and their institutions Mauro Degli Esposti Ferrara, Jan 2011
A new analysis of Italian universities – the start From The Times October 9, 2008 • Whatever happened to the University of Bologna? • The University of Bologna, which received its charter from Frederick I Barbarossa in 1158, was probably the first university founded in the Western world. It became a renowned home to scholars of great distinction in both the sciences and the humanities. The Times Higher Education-QS World University Rankings survey was published this week. It rates the performance of universities according to the quality of their research, the employment rates of graduates and their international profile. • The University of Bologna does not feature in the top 100! Harvard = 1, Cambdrige = 3, Oxford = 4, UCL = 7... Manchester = 29 – now 26 M Degli Esposti, presented at the first conference of Via-academy, 21 September 2009 http://via-academy.org/Relazione_Prima_Conferenza_della_VIA_a_Manchester.aspx
Diritto di cronaca 12/10/2009 Un ateneo per scappare di FLAVIA AMABILE MERIT – a new approach to evaluation The members of the Via-academy network who work in UK have been selected on the basis of merit, but educated in Italy. The number of academic links of Via-members with Italian institution will be proportional to the relative teaching capacity of these institutions – i.e. they will be an output measure of their quality and relative standing. M Degli Esposti, presented at the first conference of Via-academy, 21 September 2009 http://via-academy.org/Relazione_Prima_Conferenza_della_VIA_a_Manchester.aspx
by Marco Geraci M Degli Esposti, presented at the first conference of Via-academy, 21 September 2009
VIA25 - cumulative ranking from 10 separate rankings October 2009 by Marco Geraci http://rpc264.cs.man.ac.uk/VIA/index.php/VIA25
M Degli Esposti, presented at the second conference of Via-academy, 18 September 2010
From ‘top Italian scientists’: ranking of Italian institutes La Stampa 30/8/10 400 TIS La Repubblica 5/1/2011 1230 TIS M Degli Esposti, December 31, 2010 – retrieved from: http://www.topitalianscientists.org/Top_italian_scientists_VIA-Academy.aspx
Italian biochemists and their h-index Note Valori di h-index sono stati calcolati cosi’: X, con Google Scholar add-standard, con iniziale, ristretto alle aree ‘chemistry’, ‘biology’ and ‘medicine’ Y, con ISI Web of Science, In genere ‘all years’ nei settori di bio-medicina (non clinici) e chimica (e.g. medicinal chemistry) mean for full professors = 19 Mauro Degli Esposti La Voce.it, 14-9-10 http://www.topitalianscientists.org/downloads/Manualetto_del_Ricercatore_Provetto_ver1.2.pdf
Home - in Italy (50) Abroad (50) >70 >70 Italian scientists: home and abroad TIS Reports 001 http://tisreports.com/fullreport/1-Top_100_-_home___abroad.aspx
Top Italian Scientists – towards the saturation of names? 83% of the top100 work in Bio-medicine! M Degli Esposti, December 31, 2010 – retrieved from: http://www.topitalianscientists.org/Top_italian_scientists_VIA-Academy.aspx
200 Top Italian scientists abroad (total = 363) 150 100 number 50 0 UK USA Spain France Austria Vatican Sweden Belgium Canada Germany Swizerland Other nations M Degli Esposti (2010), retrievedJanuary 3, 2011 from: http://www.topitalianscientists.org/Top_italian_scientists_VIA-Academy.aspx
Nel 2006 Italia = 93000 ricercatori Fonte : OCSE
500 450 top scienziati per discipline 400 350 300 numero di scienziati 250 200 150 100 50 0 fisica chimica biologia medicina economia astrofisica informatica technology matematica farmacologia Areas of relative excellence for Italy M Degli Esposti, December 31, 2010 – retrieved from: http://www.topitalianscientists.org/Top_italian_scientists_VIA-Academy.aspx
TIS Fonte : ISTAT
Ranking di universita’ statali e non – problems L’università italiana ha finito anche la frutta di Andrea Aparo IL Fatto Quotidiano, 12 Novembre 2010 Ricercatori italiani uguale fannulloni? di Pietro Greco Scienza in Rete (http://www.scienzainrete.it) 04/05/2009
Marco Geraci e Mauro Degli Esposti, unpublished results, October 2010 Ranking for Italian universities – various and different
In depth analysis of all ranking – recent advances GRAND VIA - a new meta-ranking combining 5 international and 4 national ones From co-variance patterns – principal componentsanalysis, PCA (Pearson, 1901) Marco Geraci e Mauro Degli Esposti, November 2010, in preparation
Vision Ranking of Italian universities: 2 principal components Principal component analysis of different rankings of Italian universities Grand VIA Top Italian Scientists National performance International impact and visibility Marco Geraci e Mauro Degli Esposti, November 2010 in preparation
Vision Ranking from ‘top Italian scientists’ – better than others! Computed over 4 different international rankings Marco Geraci e Mauro Degli Esposti, November 2010
Evaluation landscape of state Italian universities Marco Geraci e Mauro Degli Esposti, submitted
Landscape of state Italian universities - all Ferrara Marco Geraci e Mauro Degli Esposti 2010, submitted…
Ferrara university – ranking among top institutes in Italy:before15-12 and after systematic analysis 31-12 Total TIS = 15 + 11 new TIS = 26
and after systematic analysis Ranking = 10 + 12 new TIS = 27 M Degli Esposti, January 5, 2011 - retrieved from: http://www.topitalianscientists.org/Top_italian_scientists_VIA-Academy.aspx Ferrara university – ranking among state universities:before Ranking = 15 Total TIS = 15 M Degli Esposti, December 15, 2010 – retrieved from: http://www.topitalianscientists.org/Top_italian_scientists_VIA-Academy.aspx
NOT ISI WoS! M Degli Esposti, September, 2010 – retrieved from: Manueletto del Ricercatore Provetto Different Area – different impact(publications and citations) • Normalization? By which criteria? • Which database to use for reference?
Scientometrics 73 (2007) The normalization factor follows a ‘stretched exponential’; it becomes bigger by increasing the number of published articles For scientists with less than 50 published articles, the field-specific differences are small
h-index - discrepancies between different databases Note Valori di h-index sono stati calcolati cosi’: X, con Google Scholar add-standard, con iniziale, ristretto all’area ‘egineering and mathematics’ Y, con ISI Web of Science, all years, ristretto ai settori matematici Matematici con nomi Compositi (e.g. De Giorgi) sono esclusi - ISI non li trova! NOTA: usando Google Scholar si normalizza gia’ le citazioni dei matematici rispetto a quelle che si computano con ISI WoS. Questo risulta in una normalizzazione automatica di un fattore = 1.67, Simile al fattore di nromalizzatione proposto da Iglesias (2007) ca. = 1.83 Mauro Degli Esposti – Via-academy.org, 6-9-2010
25 ISI 20 Google Scholar 15 Average h-index Add-on PorP 10 ISI WoS 5 0 database Discrepancies between different databases for h-index: the problem with chemistry All chemists of Ferrara university Correlation factor = 1.38 Mauro Degli Esposti, 21-12-2010
average h-index Ferrara departments 40 y = 0.9086x 35 2 R = 0.9325 30 25 Add-On (full name) 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 PorP (initial) Average h-index Total citations Number of TIS Mauro Degli Esposti, 5-1-2011
Correlation, R2 = 0.72 6 4 Publications per year x 10-3 2 Relative disease burden (Log %) Biomedicine: area variation of publication rate Neoplasms %articles that are patent-associated[
Ordine alfabetico 5-1-2011
MERIT -evaluation Let’s the discussion begin!
Fondazione CRUI luglio 2010 CAF = Common Assessment Framework H-index, pagina 65 (su 85)
Evaluate university institutions and individuals:The VIA-Ferrara model A 3-step new evaluation model TIME FRAME: end of 2010, beginning of 2011 Mauro Degli Esposti, 6 December 2010
Evaluate university institutions and individuals:The Manchester model Total weight Publications = 40% of RQI Mauro Degli Esposti, 6 December 2010
Evaluate university institutions and individuals:The Manchester model Research Quality Indicator = RQI PROBLEMS: 1. Evaluation of Publication quality by Internal Committee – prone to politics! 2. No consideration of international standing and individual’s scientific impact, e.g. h-index Before RAE 2009: Category - weight Esteems 5 Publications 75 Environment* 25 *including research income Mauro Degli Esposti, 6 December 2010
Evaluate university institutions and individuals:The VIA-Ferrara model A 3-step new evaluation model • 2. Ferrara • All scientists to provide by e-mail: • a list with their top 4 papers in the last 2 years; • the number of Ph.D. and Master students supervised; • the total grant income obtained from external sources. • Via-academy • Quantitative evaluation of the scientific impact of all Ferrara scientists based on the systematic analysis of h-index. • Area-specific analysis of h-index using average values of top Italian scientists as reference TIME FRAME: end of 2010 3. Combine the analysis 1 with data in 2 to define the basic format (like in Manchester) and quantify individual profiles - with 1 at least counting for 50% Mauro Degli Esposti, 6 December 2010
Simple model for auto-evaluation in specific disciplines within a university Set a threshold of intrinsic (local) excellence by applying this formula: Threshold = average + SD + 1 (in absolute value of h-index) For example, Ferrara chemists: Threshold = 15.6 + 7.5 + 1 = 24 Questions?
Italian scientists: home and away Media dei valori di h-index per gruppi di scienziati ed accademici italiani che lavorano in Italia. I valori sono simili a quelli degli Italiani che lavorano all’estero. Nota: la barra corrisponde alla deviazione standard. Valore soglia per entrare in lista Mauro Degli Esposti – La Voce.it, 14-9-2010
Su un totale di 1188 scienziati nella TIS al 15-12-2010, Di cui 834 in Italia – escluso CNR ed INAF M Degli Esposti, December 15, 2010 – retrieved from: http://www.topitalianscientists.org/Top_italian_scientists_VIA-Academy.aspx