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Project Planning (2). PERT. Non Deterministic Optimistic Mode Pessimistic ( a ) (m) (b). Parameter. Beta Distribution Expected Time: TE = (a + 4m +b)/6 Standard Deviation : S = (b-a)/6. Project Completion.
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Project Planning (2) Senator Nur Bahagia@
PERT Non Deterministic Optimistic Mode Pessimistic ( a ) (m) (b) Senator Nur Bahagia@
Parameter • Beta Distribution • Expected Time: TE = (a + 4m +b)/6 • Standard Deviation : S = (b-a)/6 Senator Nur Bahagia@
Project Completion Normal Distributed P(T<=Td) = P(z<=(Td-Te)/S) Where: • Td : Specified deadline • Te : Expected project duration • S : Standar deviation Senator Nur Bahagia@
Shorter Time Crashing Fast Track Senator Nur Bahagia@
Crashing Activity Precedence Duration Cost Normal Crash Normal Crash A - 3 2 40 80 B A 2 1 20 80 C A 2 2 20 20 D A 4 1 30 120 E B 3 1 10 80 Senator Nur Bahagia@
Crashing Rule • Subject to Critical Activities • Choose the least crashing ratio activity • Do crashing untill due date target Senator Nur Bahagia@
Crashing Ratio (R) R = Crash Cost - Normal Cost Crash Time - Normal Time Activity R A 40/-1=-40 B 60/-1=-60 C - D 90/-3=-30 E 70/2 =-35 Senator Nur Bahagia@
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 B E A C Normal Schedule 8 Days, $120 D B E A C Crash Schedule 7 Days, $155 D E Crash Schedule 6 Days, $190 B A C D Senator Nur Bahagia@
1 2 3 4 5 8 E B Crash Schedule 5 Days, $230 A C D E B Crash Schedule 4 Days, $320 C A D Senator Nur Bahagia@
Fast Track Design Construction Changes Senator Nur Bahagia@
Project Budget Direct Indirect Senator Nur Bahagia@
Project Budget • Direct Project Budget • Related directly to the project • Direct Labor • Direct Material • Overhead • Indirect Project Budget • Related not directly to the project • Warranty and penalty cost • Service charges and commissions • Financing Cost • etc Senator Nur Bahagia@
Cost Estimate • Man • Material • Machine • Overhead Activity Cost Senator Nur Bahagia@
Project Funding Plan Plan indicate the working or invested capital required to be provided by the unit each period of time in support of the project Project Budget Master Schedule Senator Nur Bahagia@
Project Funding Plan ActivitiesSchedule Budget 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 (Juta Rp) A 5 5 10 B 20 20 C 9 918 D 6 612 E 25 25 F 1515 Rp Penyerapan 5 5 29 9 6 6 25 15 % Penyerapan 5 5 29 9 6 6 25 15 % Kumulatif 5 10 39 48 54 60 85 100 Senator Nur Bahagia@
Project Profit & Loss • Revenue • Project Cost • Gross Margin • Marketing Expenses • General and Administration Expenses • Profit Before Interest & Taxes • Financial Expenses • Profit Before Taxes • Taxes • Net Profit Senator Nur Bahagia@