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GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK -4: Environment for Development Brown Bag Discussion UNEP, Nairobi

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK -4: Environment for Development Brown Bag Discussion UNEP, Nairobi 4 October 2006 Munyaradzi Chenje Head, GEO Section, DEWA. Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October 2006.

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GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK -4: Environment for Development Brown Bag Discussion UNEP, Nairobi

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  1. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK-4: Environment for Development Brown Bag Discussion UNEP, Nairobi 4 October 2006 Munyaradzi Chenje Head, GEO Section, DEWA

  2. Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October 2006 Keep under review the state of the global environment ... UNGA Res. 2997 (XXVII) 1972 Image Courtesy of NASA: SeaWiFs

  3. UNEP Mission Provide leadership and encourage partnership in caring for the environment by inspiring, informing, and enabling nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations

  4. DEWA Mission Provide the world community with improved access to meaningful environmental data and information, and increase the capacity of governments to use such information for decision-making and action for sustainable human development

  5. 3 May 2001 Science Interface Policy Assessments Indicators Early Warning Monitoring

  6. Global Environment Outlook • GEO is the UNEP flagship assessment which bridges science-policy processes • Has two main components – overall process and main • Consultative and participatory process, including capacity building • Main report and complementary products • Involves collaborating centres, UN agencies and other partners

  7. Global Environment Outlook • Analyses environmental change, causes and impacts, and policy responses • Communicates, raises awareness, provides policy options

  8. GEO answers the following questions • What is happening to the environment and why? • What are the consequences for the environment and humanity? • What is being done and how effective is it? • Where are we heading? • What actions could be taken for a more sustainable future?

  9. GEO assessment IEA: • links environmental state-and-trends with policy responses • integrates environmental analysis with social and economic trends and policies • incorporates global and sub-global perspectives • incorporates historical and future perspectives • involves diverse environment-socio-economic expertise

  10. GEO assessment • Support for multi-scale assessment and reporting Local Sub-national National Content Sub-regional Regional Global Context/Scale

  11. Target audiences • UNEP Governing Bodies • Policy advisors in relevant government ministries • UN • IGOs, NGOs, civil society • Scientific/Academic community • Private sector • General public, media

  12. SUB-GLOBAL PRODUCTS

  13. GEO Targeted Products • GEO for Youth Pachamama (Arabic, Chinese, Danish, English, French, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Spanish and Thai) • Training ManualCapacity Building for Integrated Environmental Assessment and Reporting (Chinese, English, French and Spanish) • Technical reports

  14. GEO-4 mandates • GC.22/1IB (2003) - keep under review the world environmental situation by ... preparing the comprehensive Global Environment Outlook report series, following the full participatory and consultative GEO approach, every five years, with the next report for 2007 • GC.23/6 (2005) calls for a GEO-4 process which involves governments and builds upon national, subregional and regional information, assessments and experiences ... and strengthens subregional and regional capacities

  15. GEO-4 assessment objectives • Show how the environment is key to sustainable development, human well-being, conflict prevention, prosperity and poverty alleviation • Identify the direct and indirect drivers of environmental change and their impacts on the environment, and human well-being • Show the impacts of policy responses since the Brundtland Commission report – Our Common Future – in 1987 in terms of addressing the environmental challenges of today

  16. GEO-4 assessment objectives • Analyse progress and barriers towards meeting commitments under MEAs; and effectiveness of policy responses • Identify emerging issues at global and regional levels that may impact human well-being • Use global and regional scenarios to show the impact of different policy interventions • Highlight the need for immediate action at different levels to mitigate and adapt to negative environmental change from human actions and enhance well-being

  17. GEO-4 Outline • SECTION A: OVERVIEW • Introduction : GEO process, scope etc • Chapter 1: Environment for Development • SECTION B: STATE AND TRENDS OF THE ENVIRONMENT: 1987-2007 • Chapter 2: Atmosphere • Chapter 3: Land • Chapter 4: Water • Chapter 5: Biodiversity • Chapter 6: Regional Perspectives

  18. GEO-4 Outline • SECTION C: ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, HUMAN DIMENSIONS • Chapter 7: Interlinkages • Chapter 8: Challenges and Opportunities • SECTION D: THE OUTLOOK – TOWARDS 2015 AND BEYOND • Chapter 9: The Future Today • SECTION E: ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT: OUR COMMON FUTURE REVISITED • Chapter 10: Options for Action

  19. GEO-4 consultations • Intergovernmental consultation on strengthening the scientific base of UNEP - Jan 2004 • GEO-4 Initial Design Meeting - June 2004 • Regional Ad Hoc Expert Consultations - Sept-Oct 2004 • Expert and partner consultations - Sept 2004-Feb 2005 • GEO-4 Design Meeting - Nov 2004 • Global Intergovernmental and Multi-stakeholder Consultation on the scope and process of the fourth Global Environment Outlook (GIMC) - Feb 2005

  20. GEO-4 chapter development • GEO-4 1st Production and Authors’ Meeting - June 2005 • Set-up of GEO Fellowship programme – August 2005 • Lead Authors’ Meetings – October 2005 – Dec 2006 • Internal review of Draft 0 of GEO-4 – Jan-Feb 2006 • Human well-being meeting – Jan-Feb 2006 • GEO-4 2nd Production and Authors’ Meeting - March 2006 • Peer review of Draft 1 of GEO-4 – May-July 2006 • GEO-4 Regional Consultations – June-July 2006 • Revision into second draft – August-September 2006

  21. CAPACITY BUILDING GEO cities and national reports GEO report series GEO global and regional data GEO technical reports GEO regional reports UNEP Specialized inputs Policy insight Methodology & process Specialized inputs Data and information Individual experts, private sector, universities, networks Collaborating Centres, NGOs, private sector, youth Databases & UN organizations CEGs, science, data, scenarios Governments – GC/GMEF, MEAs, regional bodies GEO assessment GEO ASSESSMENT HLCG Task Force Chapter Coordinators Divisional FPs Chapter expert groups CLAs, CREs

  22. GEO-4 preliminary findings • Major advances made since 1987 in global governance regimes with the adoption of, inter alia, multilateral environmental agreements • Barriers to the realization of the vision of the Brundtland Commission persist because environmental challenges are complex and interwoven with the development challenges • Environmental concerns are still not fully integrated into development policy formulation and planning

  23. GEO-4 preliminary findings • Rapid growth in energy use, transport and consumption is resulting in unprecedented absolute growth in emissions causing climate change and air pollution • Climate change will continue and there is an increasing concern on severity of anticipated impacts • Land degradation is widespread and expanding. Land degradation in drylands (desertification) is at the centre of extreme environmental degradation and extreme poverty

  24. GEO-4 preliminary findings • All regions point to the threats of climate change, and concern about its potential impacts has grown in all regions over the past 20 years • The poor are more vulnerable to natural and human disasters. Economic growth has not been accompanied by environmental sustainability

  25. GEO-4 Schedule • Timetable for 2006 • 12 months left to GEO-4 launch in September 2007 • 3 months left to have final draft of GEO-4 report • May - July: Peer review of 1st Draft • June-July: Regional Consultations on GEO-4 • July-Sept: Revision and production of 2nd Draft • 19-20 Sept: High-level Consultative Group meeting • 9 Oct-7 Nov: Second review process • 13-17 Nov: Final Production and Authors’ Meeting • 30 Nov: Deadline for submission Final Drafts by CEGs • December 2006: Sign-off on final GEO-4 Draft by UNEP

  26. GEO-4 second review • Eight draft chapters will be available at dewa03.unep.org/geo/review. The following details provide access to the documents: • Username: Reviewer • Password: GEO4Draft2 • Comments should be sent to: • geo4.review@unep.org • Deadline: 7 November, 2006

  27. Thankyou

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