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Weather Product Development

Weather Product Development. Tom Fahey Manager - Meteorology Northwest Airlines. A Northwest Airlines Perspective. Shared Goals. Wx Product Development. Improved Safety Increased Efficiency Reduced Costs The Challenge: No two Airlines Define them the same. Turbulence Encounter Costs.

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Weather Product Development

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  1. Weather Product Development Tom Fahey Manager - Meteorology Northwest Airlines A Northwest Airlines Perspective

  2. Shared Goals Wx Product Development • Improved Safety • Increased Efficiency • Reduced Costs The Challenge: No two Airlines Define them the same

  3. Turbulence Encounter Costs • Costs * • Minor Injury - $38 K • Serious Injury - $518 K • Death - $2.7 Million • * Source: U.S. Federal Government Office of Management and Budget (OMB)

  4. NWA’s Implemented Initiatives Wx Product Development • Turbulence Plot System (TPS) • Convective Wind Shear Alerts • Strategic Planning Team (SPT) • Collaborative Convective Fcst Prod (CCFP)

  5. Convective Wind Shear Alerts • Source • FAA TWIP System • Distribution Methods • Pilot Request • Unsolicited Uplink (Send/Cancel Msgs) Pt: Addressed Varied Operating Philosophies

  6. TWIP Airports

  7. Bogus Alerts Convective Wind Shear Alerts • NWA Study Jan-May 2000 • 72 Bogus Alerts - No Storms within 15nm (25 ranged 50-95kts) (22 ranged 30-50 kts due gusty winds) • 100’s Bogus Alerts - No Storms within 15nm (100’s ranged 20-25kts due gusty winds)

  8. Support, Resources and Gaps Convective Wind Shear Alerts • Real time Quality Control • Conceptual Models • Convection Induced Shear • “No Storms within 15nm” Induced Shear • Training

  9. CCFP Wx Product Development • Excellent Example • “Rapid Development” • “User Driven”

  10. CCFP Rapid Development • 1997 • 1998 • 1999 • 2000

  11. CCFP Support, Resourcesand Gaps • NWA Role • Industry Perception • AWC Issues • Meteorologist Role • CWSU’s • Airline Meteorology Offices • FAA and SPT Role

  12. Summary Wx Product Development • Design Requirement • Adaptable to varied users • Recipe for Success • User Driven Specs • Potential for Failure • Lack of on going quality control • No Conceptual Model Updating • No Recurrent Training

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