1 / 9

SEEM Phase II Calibration for Manufactured Homes

SEEM Phase II Calibration for Manufactured Homes. Regional Technical Forum August 12, 2014. Phase II general approach. Phase I gave us total heating energy estimates for homes with clear VBDD signatures. RTF measure savings needs average electric energy savings for all program homes.

ilori
Download Presentation

SEEM Phase II Calibration for Manufactured Homes

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. SEEM Phase II Calibration for Manufactured Homes Regional Technical Forum August 12, 2014

  2. Phase II general approach • Phase I gave us total heating energy estimates for homes with clear VBDD signatures. • RTF measure savings needs average electric energy savings for all program homes. • Phase II uses regression to find out how the presence of non-electric fuels affects electric heating energy. • Regression focuses on TMY-normalized (VBDD) estimates derived from electric billing data.

  3. Phase II data filters, part 1 Sites excluded from Phase-II regression for a few reasons… Note: We don’t remove sites with non-electric heating fuels since our goal is to estimate those features’ effects.

  4. Phase II data filters, part 2 By the numbers….

  5. Phase II regression model All else equal, VBDD-electric in homes with feature differ from that of homes without feature by a factor of . Hence, feature associated with adjustment to VBDD kWh.

  6. What about poor VBDD fits? Non-electric fuels account for 23.7% - 5.7% = 18% gap between good-VBDD and poor-VBDD sites. That’s more than the 14% figure we got from annualized energy. Propose to accept 18% figure and make no additional VBDD adjustment. (So non-electric fuels account for differences between good-VBDD and bad-VBDD sites, and they differ by 18%).

  7. Proposed Phase II Calibration

  8. Phase II Calculation Example 0.0% of Phase I kWh 7.9% of Phase I kWh 92.1% of Phase I kWh

  9. Decision I, ________, move that the RTF adopt the phase II calibration for manufactured homes as described above and summarized below.

More Related