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Isabel DeLuca, IES-South Korea Project Coordinator U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

Moving Toward Results: U.S. EPA’s Integrated Environmental Strategies (IES) Program Better Air Quality December 2006. Isabel DeLuca, IES-South Korea Project Coordinator U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Monisha Shah, IES Technical Support National Renewable Energy Laboratory

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Isabel DeLuca, IES-South Korea Project Coordinator U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

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  1. Moving Toward Results: U.S. EPA’s Integrated Environmental Strategies (IES) ProgramBetter Air Quality December 2006 Isabel DeLuca, IES-South Korea Project Coordinator U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Monisha Shah, IES Technical Support National Renewable Energy Laboratory Republic of Korea data courtesy of: Dr. Yeora Chae, IES-South Korea Project Leader Korean Environment Institute

  2. co-benefits = policy measures U.S. EPA’s Integrated Environmental Strategies (IES)Co-benefits Approach • Co-benefits: Multiple (two or more) benefits that result from the same environmental measure or set of measures. Reduced emissions of global greenhouse gases Reduced emissions of local air pollutants + • IES co-benefits approach: focuses on measures that simultaneously improve local air quality and reduce global greenhouse gas emissions • IES analysis: evaluates environmental benefits, human health benefits, and economic benefits of environmental measures BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  3. IES Technical Analysis • Prepare baseline inventory to identify sources of AQ and GHG emissions. • Develop alternative, integrated scenarios of measures based on local objectives using energy/economic models. • Estimate concentrations of air pollution and exposure through AQ modeling. • Estimate air pollution public-health benefits. • Compare costs and benefits of alternative mitigation options and business as-usual scenarios. • Present results and seek feedback from policymakers/ stakeholders, fostering support for implementation. • Integrate results into planning processes. BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  4. Countries with IES Projects • Argentina • India • Mexico • Brazil • Chile • Philippines • China • Republic of Korea BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  5. The Republic of Korea’s IES Program • 1999: ICAP-Korea Study • Analyzed 3 hypothetical scenarios based on reduction in energy use and conversion of bus fleet to CNG buses • Health benefits and associated economic benefits were analyzed • Results: modest health and related economic benefits • 2004: Selection of appropriate health benefits model for future studies BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  6. Recent and Current Research • 2005: Co-benefits analysis of Seoul Air Quality Management Plan (SAQMP) • 2006/2007:Co-control measures analysis • Analyze specific measures for GHG and AP reduction • Assess the emissions reductions, costs, and health benefits of each measure • Develop rankings among the measures BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  7. Co-benefits analysis of SAQMP SAQMP Emission Reductions Air Quality Improvement Health Impacts Economic Values Source: Dr. Jeongim Park, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  8. Point Sources Emission trading for large sources Promotion of low-sulfur fuel Stricter standards for small industrial sources Monitoring and assisting voluntary emission reductions program Area Sources Promotion of low-sulfur fuel + natural gas Promotion of low-Nox boilers Eco-building certification Fugitive VOC regulation for industrial sources Analysis of SAQMP Selected Measures Included in Seoul Air Quality Management Plan • Vehicles (on- and off-road) • Stricter emissions standards and fuel standards • Promotion of public transportation • Promotion of electric and hybrid cars • Stricter vehicle fuel standards • Subsidy for DPF/DOC/SCR installation • Stricter emission standards for off-road vehicles Sources: Dr. Jeongim Park, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  9. Analysis of SAQMP Emission Reductions of local air pollutants through 2014 PollutantAmount reducedreduction from 2001 levels NOx 171,994 t/year~41% SOx 53,228 t/year~46% PM10 9,570 t/year ~47% VOCs 261,071 t/year ~45% Health Benefits of SAQMP • 5,570 premature deaths avoided in the Seoul Metropolitan Area through 2014 • Avoided health effects estimated $8 billion Source: Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  10. Analysis of SAQMP effects on Air Pollutants emission • Developing • IES Scenarios • - Prioritizing measures • by cost-effectiveness • Discovering • the most cost-effective • Integrated Env’l measures Analysis of GRP effects on Air Pollutants emission Analysis of SAQMP effects on GHG emission Analysis of GRP effects on GHG emission Cost analysis of SAQMP Cost analysis of GRP Air Quality Modeling Health Impact Assessment Cost-Benefit Analysis Current research: Co-control analysis Analysis on current and future trends of Air Pollutants and GHG emissions in Seoul Metropolitan Area Source: Dr. Jeongim Park and Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  11. Analysis of Individual SAQMP Measures NOX and PM10 reductions (kg/unit) of selected SAQMP technologies Source: Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  12. Analysis of Individual SAQMP Measures CO2 (kg/unit) of selected SAQMP technologies Source: Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  13. Co-control analysis:CO2 Reductions from AQ Measures Source: Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  14. Selected GHG Reduction Measures: Preliminary Results GHG Emission Reduction Potential, MT CO2 Source: Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  15. Control BAU MillionCO2ton 134.4 114.3 35.09 21.56 93.9 99.3 92.7 2003 2010 2015 year GHG Reduction Measures GHG Emission Reduction Potential, MT CO2 Source: Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  16. Next Phase: Scenario Analysis Research Question • What is the most cost-effective way to improve air quality and reduce GHG emissions? Goals • Analyze AQ emission reductions from GHG abatement measures selected by GHG Task Force • Estimate cost of each GHG reduction measure • Develop and compare emission scenarios: • BAU • Air Quality • GHG reduction • IES selection of co-control measures Source: Dr. Yeora Chae, KEI BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  17. Policy Implications of South Korean IES Analysis • Allow policy makers to assess current Air Quality Management Plan • Inform the development of future air quality plans • Influence policy considerations on GHG reduction measures BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

  18. Integrated Environmental Strategies (IES) Resources • Comprehensive web page • Journal articles • Country case studies • Workshop proceedings • IES Handbook • IES Training Modules • IES-South Korea Project Manager: Isabel DeLuca, deluca.isabel @epa.gov • IES Technical Support: Monisha Shah, monisha_shah@nrel.gov • EPA IES Web site: www.epa.gov/ies • Thank You ! BAQ 2006: IES Co-Benefits Program

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