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CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON

CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON. Jim Weyman Director/Meteorologist in Charge Central Pacific Hurricane Center/WFO Honolulu. Central North Pacific 2006 Season Summary. 5 Tropical Cyclones Hurricane Daniel (24-26 July) moved in from the Eastern Pacific

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CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON

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  1. CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON Jim Weyman Director/Meteorologist in Charge Central Pacific Hurricane Center/WFO Honolulu

  2. Central North Pacific2006 Season Summary • 5 Tropical Cyclones • Hurricane Daniel (24-26 July) moved in from the Eastern Pacific • Remnants brought gusty winds and enhanced showers to Maui and the Big Island • Hurricane Ioke (20-27 August) • First named storm to form in the Central Pacific since 2003 • Rapid Intensification • Record-breaking intensity and longevity

  3. Central North Pacific2006 Season Summary • Three Tropical Depressions formed in the Central Pacific • TD Two-C – Lifetime of 48 hours (19-20 Sept) • TD Three-C – Lifetime of 12 hours (26-27 Sept) • TD Four-C – Lifetime of 18 hours (13-14 Oct) Remnants fueled heavy rain and flooding over the Big Island 3 days later

  4. Hurricane Ioke • Rapid Intensification to Hurricane in 24 hours • 5th Category 5 storm recorded in the Central Pacific • Category 4 or higher intensity for 9 days • Estimated 920 mb lowest pressure on record for Central Pacific storms • Significant impact to Johnston and Midway Islands

  5. 2006 Season Highlights • CPHC activated for 13 days • Track Forecast Errors • 48 hr error of 89.6 nm well below 111nm GPRA Goal • 2006 5 year running mean at 48, 72, 96, and 120 hr was 16, 27, 20, 10% respectively below 2004 • Track and error cone graphics • Also producing graphics for WFO Guam webpage for Western Pacific tropical systems

  6. Versus “Best” Models

  7. Other Items of Interest • Re-besting Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Updating Climatology for Central Pacific • Working with Dr. Pao-Shin Chu • Publication Pending • NCDC Data Rescue Project for CPHC archives • List-Serv notification for 2007 season • Requirement for Storm Surge Modeling for Hawaii – Working with U of Hawaii for funding

  8. Good News – Bad News • Deputy Director CPHC/Director of Operations Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Andy Nash – Selected for Meteorologist in Charge (MIC), Burlington VT • Warning Coordination Meteorologist of CPHC/WFO Honolulu Nezette Rydell – Selected as MIC WFO Brownsville TX • Great opportunities for motivated people

  9. Questions ?

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