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Issues Surrounding The Separation of Quebec

Issues Surrounding The Separation of Quebec. What Will Happen to R.O.C.? Labrador Border Allocation of Assets & Liabilities e.g., proportion of national debt; valuation date of assets Partition of Quebec Itself - esp. aboriginal people Who Will Negotiate for Canada if PM is from Quebec?

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Issues Surrounding The Separation of Quebec

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  1. Issues Surrounding The Separation of Quebec • What Will Happen to R.O.C.? • Labrador Border • Allocation of Assets & Liabilities e.g., proportion of national debt; valuation date of assets • Partition of Quebec Itself - esp. aboriginal people • Who Will Negotiate for Canada if PM is from Quebec? • Free-trade - Quebec-Canada; Quebec-USA • Ill-will • “Once things start to unravel, they’ll move very quickly in ways we cannot foresee. No one can predict the outcome.” (Gordon Richie)

  2. The Rise of a New Force in Quebec: Action Democratique du Quebec • Elections of Realignment(e.g. 1936, 1970)a “third party” moves above 20% of votes • Formation of the ADQdissident Liberals in midst of Charlottetown negotiations in 1992 • Distribution of Voter Support in Quebec Elections Polls 199419982001 2002 Parti Quebecois 44 44 34 25 Liberals 42 45 40 30 ADQ 7 12 18 40

  3. Causes of theRise of the ADQ • Leadership • Scandal • Strategic Impasse • Desire for Political Stability • Belief that The Current Model of Government in Quebec is Not Sustainable

  4. What Would an ADQ Victory Mean to Canada? • Quebec will be more involved in alliances with other provincial governments • Fading of the BQ from the federal political scene • Intergenerational Conflict - Leading cadre of ADQ is in early 30s. They want the baby boom generation to “pay its fair share”. - ADQ is strongest among age 18-28 year olds, but is 1st or 2nd in every age group.

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