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Local Employment Dynamics (LED) & OnTheMap

Local Employment Dynamics (LED) & OnTheMap. Nick Beleiciks Oregon Census State Data Center Meeting April 14, 2009. What is LED?. Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) Program within the U.S. Census Bureau Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Partnership between the states and Census

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Local Employment Dynamics (LED) & OnTheMap

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  1. Local Employment Dynamics (LED)&OnTheMap Nick Beleiciks Oregon Census State Data Center Meeting April 14, 2009

  2. What is LED? • Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) • Program within the U.S. Census Bureau • Local Employment Dynamics (LED) • Partnership between the states and Census • Creates new information about the labor market • Low cost • No additional respondent burden • Protects confidentiality

  3. How To Describe LED? • “A Census – State Partnership” The folks at LEHD • “Sexy” OnTheMap user during a Webinar • “LED is a thousand answers looking for a thousand questions” Tom Tveidt of SYNEVA Economics LLC

  4. http://lehd.did.census.gov/led/

  5. The Products… • Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) • 30 Indicators • QWI Online • 8 Indicators – Easy to access and use • OnTheMap • Maps and much more! • Industry Focus • Ranks industries by the 8 Indicators • Older Worker Profiles • “Old” data

  6. How It Works… • States provide quarterly administrative data • Employer locations, number of employees, payroll • Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) • Individual earnings and employers • Unemployment Insurance “Wage File” • LEHD matches state employment data with demographic (age & gender) and residency information about individual workers • Social Security Administration records

  7. Who’s Involved?

  8. What Workers Are Included In LED? • Workers covered under Oregon’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) program • About 1.7 million • Who is not covered? • Federal employees • Railroad workers • Some agricultural workers • Student workers

  9. The FUZZ(data police) • LED maintains confidentiality about workers and employers • They “fuzz” some data to ensure confidentiality • Unsure how the folks at LEHD do this • This leads to some hesitation for some new users • Fuzz information available for QWI

  10. Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) • Available from the Cornell VirtualRDC website http://www.vrdc.cornell.edu/news/ • 30 employment and earnings indicators • Year – Oregon goes back to 1991 • Quarter – Partial information for 2q2008 • Gender – male, female, or both • Age – 14-99, 14-18, 19-21, 22-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-99 • Geography – County and Metro and Micro Areas • Industry – 4-digit NAICS level

  11. Types of Fuzz Codes

  12. Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) Example

  13. QWI Online • 8 Employment Indicators: • Available for same groups as regular QWI • Easy to use online tool at LEHD Website: http://lehd.did.census.gov/led/datatools/qwiapp.html

  14. QWI OnlineExample

  15. OnTheMap – Version 3 • Adds GIS capability to LED data • Fewer indicators – more geographic detail • Years – 2002 – 2006 • Quarter – 2nd Quarter only • Age – 30 or younger, 31 to 54, 55 or older • Wages – < $1,200, $1,201 to $3,400, > $3,400 • Geography – Down to Census Block Groups • Industry – 2-digit NAICS level • Industry Groups • Goods producing • Trade, transportation and utilities • Other services

  16. OnTheMap – Version 3http://lehdmap3.did.census.gov/themap3/

  17. OnTheMap – Version 3Example (1 of 4)

  18. OnTheMap – Version 3

  19. OnTheMap – Version 3Example (2 of 4)

  20. OnTheMap – Version 3Example (3 of 4)

  21. OnTheMap – Version 3

  22. OnTheMap – Version 3Example (4 of 4)

  23. Other Uses of OnTheMap • Natural disasters – tornados, floods, etc. • Employment impact • Estimate unemployment insurance payouts • Commute patterns • Economic development • Housing studies • Affordable housing

  24. Industry Focus • Quick way to look at QWI indicators by industry • Ranks industries by any of the 8 QWI Indicators • Uses a four quarter average

  25. Industry FocusExample

  26. Older Worker Profiles • LEHD produces this series of reports for 30 states • The Geographic Distribution and Characteristics of Older Workers: 2004 • The data is “old” – 2004 when we now have 2007 • “Easily” replicable

  27. Portion of County Workforce Age 55 and Older 2007 Census LEHD data 15.0% to 18.0% 18.1% to 21.1% 21.2% to 24.2% 33.5% Older Worker Profiles

  28. Average Monthly EarningsAge 55 and Older

  29. Average Monthly Earnings of Workers 55 and Older, by Industry Metropolitan Areas Highest-paying: Financial Activities ($4,821) Lowest-paying: Leisure and Hospitality ($1,723) Non-Metropolitan Areas Highest-paying: Resources and Mining ($4,293) Lowest-paying: Leisure and Hospitality ($1,492)

  30. Increase in Number of Workers Age 55 and Older 2002-2007, Census LEHD data 14.5% to 26.9% 27.0% to 39.9% 40.0% to 52.9% 53.0% to 66.2% MAP: Increase in number of older workers, 2002-2007

  31. What Can LED Tell Us About the Recession? • Not much – yet • Are Baby Boomers retiring? • Previous recession: • Stable separations went down while stable hires went up • Largest drop off was in workers 55-64 • Youth employment came back for girls after recession, but not for boys

  32. Thank you for your time. Questions or comments? Nick.J.Beleiciks@state.or.us (541) 947-1267

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