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Treatment and Control Groups in Clinical Trials. ICH Guidance on Investigational Treatment (Pertains to Drugs). Name of product, dosing, dosing schedules, route of administration, treatment duration Medications permitted, including rescue medication Procedures for monitoring compliance. .
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ICH Guidance on Investigational Treatment (Pertains to Drugs) • Name of product, dosing, dosing schedules, route of administration, treatment duration • Medications permitted, including rescue medication • Procedures for monitoring compliance.
Broader Issues – What is the Question? • Explanatory or pragmatic (practical) trial • Comparison of treatment strategies or policies • Lifestyle interventions (e.g., MRFIT) • Timing of use of treatment (e.g., ART, dialysis) • Immediate versus deferred treatment (e.g., home care following MI and hospital care if needed, aggressive versus less aggressive treatment for glaucoma)
Control Group: Definition • The reference group or standard treatment against which a new treatment is compared • The basis for comparison in a clinical trial • Anchor for comparison Trial reports should have many phrases like “as compared to…”, “versus”, “different than”, “similar to” – all with reference to the control group.
Types of Controls • Concurrent • Randomized • Placebo (in lieu of treatment or on top of standard of care) • No treatment • Deferral of active treatment • Active • Single treatment (could be a different dose of same drug) • Investigator/patient’s choice of treatment • Optimized management or standard of care • Dynamic treatment regime • Usual care • In some situations multiple control groups are of interest (e.g., multiple active arms or an active arm and a placebo arm) • Non-Randomized • Historical (e.g., patient registry) • Combination of randomized and non-randomized (concurrent or historical)
One of Muench’s Postulate “Nothing improves the performance of therapy like the weakness of controls in its appraisal.”
Some Recent Examples • Cox 2 Inhibitor Studies • VIGOR – rofecoxib (Vioxx) versus naproxen • APPROVe – rofecoxib (Vioxx) versus placebo • MEDAL – etoricoxib versus diclofenac (should the comparator have been naproxen?) • Vitamin K Antagonists for Patients Atrial Fibrillation • Dabigatran was found to be superior to wafarin. Should other new agents be compared against dabigatran N Eng J Med, January 25, 2007 and October 27, 2011
Review of Industry Sponsored Studies • 577 trials • 187 placebo controlled • 285 active controlled • 105 dose comparisons • 82% with single industry sponsor • 18 head-to-head comparison trials of active interventions owned by different companies. Lathyris D et al, Eur J Clin Invest 2010
Placebos Placebo (def.) - A medication prescribed more for the mental relief of the patient than for its actual effect on the disorder; something tending to soothe (Webster’s Dictionary) Note: Definition pertains to drug studies but use of “placebos” is not confined to drug trials (e.g., acupuncture study) A pharmacologically inactive agent to maintain blinding in a clinical trial (no specific action on the patient’s symptoms or disease)
Angina Pectorisand the Placebo Effect (Benson, H., NEJM, 1979) Subjective improvement for five 82.4 ± 9.7%inactive treatments used prior to1960 (13 studies, 1187 patients) • Other findings: • Increased exercise tolerance • Reduced nitroglycerin usage • Improved ECG results
Treatment of Mild Hypertension Trial • Selected self-reported side-effects (placebo versus active treatment) • Weakness 18% versus 16% • Headaches 34% versus 22% • Muscle pain 33% versus 26% Arch Intern Med 1991; 151: 1413-1423.
Example Effect of Antihistamine on Colds Under One Day Duration. Br Med J, 1950. After 2nd day of treatment: Cured/ CuredImproved Antihistamine 13.4% 68.2%
Second Day of Treatment: Cured/ CuredImproved Antihistamine 13.4% 68.2% Placebo 13.9% 64.7%
Example illustrates that placebos control for: 1) Suggestion (placebo effect) • Changes in course of disease The latter, but not the former, could be controlled for with an open-label randomized study with a no-treatment control.
Main Reasons for Using Placebos • Facilitates blinding • Controls for the placebo effect
Placebo Effect Subjective changes as well as objective physiological changes (beneficial and toxic) produced by placebo (not limited to psychological responses) See Beecher HK, JAMA 1955.
Can the Placebo be the Cure?Science, April 9, 1999 “Merck was struck by the curse of the placebo effect…patients who had received a dummy pill had done unexpectedly well. …it highlights a chronic problem for psychopharmacology – the placebo effect”
Example of Impact of Placebo Responderson Results of a Trial A Crossover Experiment of Four Treatments Period 1 2 3 4 A B C D B A D C C D A B D C B A Treatment Order
Reference: Jellinek, Biometrics Bulletin A = a + b + c B = a + c C = a + b D = placebo Response variable = fraction of headaches relieved A 0.84 B 0.80 C 0.80 D 0.52
A Comparison of Response to Treatments A, B and C by the Response to D (Placebo) A 0.82 B 0.87 C 0.82 120/199 Subjects Patients WhoWhile on Placebo Received Some Relief
Patients WhoWhile on Placebo Received No Relief A 0.88 B 0.67 C 0.77 79/199 Subjects
Placebo Effect Summary 1. Placebos can be very effective particularly as judged by subjective response variables • Placebos control both for suggestion and spontaneous changes in course of disease – usually difficult to disentangle • The placebo effect can be short-lasting (angina studies) • Removal of “placebo responders” before randomization (more later on such enriched designs) • May make it easier to detect treatment differences; and • Impacts generalizability (sacrifice some external validity)
Considerations in Using aNo Treatment/Placebo Control • No standard therapy with established efficacy • Cost/availability of standard therapy • Size/clarity of results • Toxicity of test treatment • Risk to patients • Informed consent
Considerations for Use of Placebo Controls Is there effective treatment? Placebo control acceptable No Yes Is active control equivalencestudy informative? No Yes Active control acceptable Does treatment affect survivalor irreversible morbidity in population to be studied? Placebo control acceptable No Yes Can add-on study provideinformation? No Yes Add-on study Can short-term study that isethically acceptable provideneeded evidence? Short-term placebo-controlled study No Yes Is effective treatment accepteduniformly as standard treatment? Placebo-controlled trialwhere doubts exist No Yes Might new treatment provesuperior to active control? Yes Active control (superiority) study From: Ellenberg and Temple, Annals Int Med, 2000;133:464-70.
International Conference on Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Registration of Pharmaceuticals for Human Use Advantages of placebo-controlled trials • Ability to demonstrate efficacy credibly • Measures “absolute” effectiveness and safety • Efficiency • Minimizes effect of subject and investigator expectations EID: Choice of control group in clinical trials http://www.itpma.org/ich1.html
Controversial Issues Concerning Use of Placebos • Use of placebo in short-term studies for conditions where there are established treatments with known long-term benefits, e.g., what is short-term? how much risk is tolerable? • Withdrawal of active treatment and random assignment to new drug or placebo, e.g., psychiatric trials • Definition of “standard of care” varies from country to country.
Perinatal Transmission of HIV • PACTG 076 established that efficacy of zidovudine (AZT) in preventing transmission from mother to child (67.5% relative reduction) • AZT – antepartum (oral), intrapartum (IV), plus AZT for newborn • Are placebo controlled trials of simpler, less costly regimens in other countries ethical?
In many active controlled trials, placebos are used to facilitate blinding. New Treatment + Optimal Medical Management versus Placebo for New Treatment + Optimal Medical Management
Treatment of Mild Hypertension Study (TOMHS) Weight Loss + Na Reduction + Alcohol Reduction and (1) (2) (3) Placebo Acebutolol Amlodipine (400 mg) (5 mg) (4) (5) (6) Chlorthalidone Doxazosin Enalapril (15 mg) (2 mg) (5 mg)
“Add On” Study AZT AZT + + 3TC vs. 3TC + + Indinavir Placebo Hammer et al., NEJM 1997; 337:725-33. There are a large number of trials like this – new treatment added to “optimal” background.
Optimal Medical Care (or Management) Control Mitral Regurgitation Warranting Mitral Valve Repair (MVR) Yes No CorCap + OMC* MVR + OMC* CorCap + MVR + OMC* OMC* *optimal medical care J Card Fail, 2004 Jun; 10(3):185-92
CONVINCE Clinical Trial Hypertension Trial with Active Control that was Patient/Clinician Choice Randomization Verapamil+Placebo for control (either hydrochlorothiazide or atenolol) Hydrochlorothiazide/ Atenolol (Clinician’s choice; pre-specified)+Placebo forVerapamil
Once Daily versus Twice Daily Treatment A = slow release A = conventional tablet (200 mg) (100 mg) B = placebo B = conventional tablet (100 mg) Once Daily Treatment Twice Daily Treatment
“Take Away” or Withdrawal Studies Patients infected with HIV taking prophylaxis for M. Avium with high CD4+ counts – Randomize: Withdraw OI vs. Continue Prophylaxis Prophylaxis (Placebo) e.g., Azithromycin vs. Placebo for M. Avium Complex (see N Engl J Med 2000; 342:1085-1092)
Focus of Comparison:Treatment vs Regimen vs Strategy • Treatment – comparison of a specific treatment at a specific dose for a specific duration (e.g., many pivotal trials done for approval) • Regimen – comparison of one or more treatments as part of a regimen where dose can be varied and/or components of the regimen varied • Strategy – includes plans for “second-line” and auxiliary treatments 2010 National Research Council report: The Prevention and Treatment of Missing Data in Clinical Trials
INSIGHT START Study: Treatment Strategy Trial HIV-infected individuals who are ART-naïve with CD4+ count > 500 cells/mm3 Early ART Group Initiate ART immediately following randomization N=2,300 Deferred ART Group Defer ART until the CD4+ count declines to < 350 cells/mm3,r AIDS develops, or other conditions according to local guidelines. N=2,300 Primary endpoint: AIDS, serious non-AIDS or death from any cause. Target: 213 primary events of which about 25% will be due to AIDS.
Immediate Versus Deferred Treatment: Concorde Study Randomization AZT Placebo If AIDS/ARC or CD4+ declines to<500 cells/mm3 Open-labelAZT Open-labelAZT Lancet 1994; 343:871-881.
Dynamic Treatment Regimes • New treatments are added/subtracted based on the history of response to past treatments • Examples: • ddI versus ddC “switchover” • Invasive versus conservative (deferred catheterization, angiography and revascularization) rmanagement of MI (VANQUISH) • STAR*D for the management of depression (multiple randomizations with ability to opt out) (see N Engl J Med 2006;354:1211-1242. Lavori P, Cont Clin Trials 2004; 1:9-20
Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial(MRFIT): Usual Care Control Randomization Special Intervention (SI) aimed at lowering blood cholesterol and blood pressure and smoking cessation Usual Care (UC) What is usual care (considering variations in clinical practice, temporal trends,…? JAMA 1982; 248:1465-1477
In MRFIT “Usual Care” Was Pretty Good! ∆ DBP (mm Hg) -10.5 -7.4 ∆ cholesterol (mg/dl) -12.3 -6.4 % quitting smoking 46 29 Risk Factor Changes After 6 Years SI UC
MRFIT Illustrates Challenges Defining“Usual Care” • Tension between control over experimental conditions versus relevance to clinical care – how strictly should control treatment be specified? (explanatory versus pragmatic approach) • Best practices may be under-utilized in the “real-world” • Evidence base to guide usual care may not be optimal and may change over a long-term study. See also Dawson L et al, PloS Med 2009;6:e1000111
Dose Comparison/Escalation Low vs. Intermediate vs. High Dose vs. Placebo or Low Dose vs. Placebo Int. Dose (If “Poor” response to Low Dose) Hi Dose (If “Poor” response to Int. Dose)
Circular Motion(Bradford Hill) Cannot compare dose levels from a trial designed to compare two forms of management. If dose is determined by response of patient, then responses of patients at different dose levels cannot be compared. N Engl J Med 1953; 247:113-119.
Often Cited Reasonsfor Uncontrolled Studies 1. Unnecessary for large effects 2. Controlled studies are more difficult to implement 3. Availability of patients 4. Ethical reasons– no control treatment available– untreated patients at high risk of death or serious illness 5. Historical data for comparison is available
Historical Controls Could Result in An Effective Treatment Being Abandoned: REMATCH Trial in Advanced HF Design assumptions 75% 50% Results of trial 92% 77% NEJM 2001 15:1435-1443. Control Medical Treatment Treated LVAD 2- Year DeathRate (%) 2-Year DeathRate (%)
SummaryConsiderations in Choice of Experimental and Control Treatments • Acceptability by patients and clinicians • Indifference/doubt concerning relative efficacy/safety • Some basis for thinking that there could be a difference of clinical/public health importance
Meinert gives the following requirements for experimental and control treatments: • Must be distinguishable • Medically justifiable • Ethically OK • Both must be acceptable to patients and investigators • Reasonable doubt concerning efficacy • Should be reason to believe benefits outweigh risks • Method of administration should be as similar as possible to real-world use Ref. Clinical Trials: Design, Conduct and Analysis