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Deciphering the present and future of software by mining developer communities and code. Donnie Berkholz, Ph.D. IT Industry Analyst @dberkholz. Thesis : Technology adoption is increasingly bottom-up. u. Core philosophy. Data : Garbage in, garbage out (GIGO)
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Deciphering the present and future of software by mining developer communities and code Donnie Berkholz, Ph.D.IT Industry Analyst@dberkholz
Core philosophy • Data: Garbage in, garbage out (GIGO) • Methods: Keep it simple, stupid (KISS) • Analysis: Don't overinterpret
Zend Developer Pulse, summer 2012 Zend Developer Pulse, summer 2012
Using the right data redmonk.com StatCounter US
r Using the right data
Assholes removed Ubuntu launches Proto-assholes start receiving complaints Proving the problem: Gentoo Ohloh
Proving the problem: Glibc Move to Git Drepper leaves Ohloh
Take-home points • Data: Use the right sample (GIGO) • Methods: Use the boring methods (KISS) • Analysis: Clarity over cleverness