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2 0 0 8 M E T R O G R E E N J O B S R E P O R T

2 0 0 8 M E T R O G R E E N J O B S R E P O R T. CURRENT AND POTENTIAL GREEN JOBS. IN THE U.S. ECONOMY. LUKE A. TILLEY SENIOR ECONOMIST U.S. REGIONAL SERVICE GLOBAL INSIGHT (USA). 2 OCTOBER 2008. THE UNITED STATES CONFERENCE OF MAYORS CLIMATE PROTECTION CENTER.

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2 0 0 8 M E T R O G R E E N J O B S R E P O R T

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  1. 2 0 0 8 M E T R O G R E E N J O B S R E P O R T CURRENT AND POTENTIAL GREEN JOBS IN THE U.S. ECONOMY LUKE A. TILLEY SENIOR ECONOMIST U.S. REGIONAL SERVICE GLOBAL INSIGHT (USA) 2 OCTOBER 2008 THE UNITED STATES CONFERENCE OF MAYORS CLIMATE PROTECTION CENTER

  2. In 2006, the U.S. economy had about 750,000 green jobs RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION 127,246 AGRICULTURE & FORESTRY 57,546 CONSTRUCTION & SYSTEMS INSTALLATION 8,741 MANUFACTURING 60,699 EQUIPMENT DEALERS & WHOLESALERS 6,205 ENGINEERING, LEGAL, RESEARCH, & CONSULTING 418,715 GOVERNMENT ADMINISTRATION 71,900 TOTAL 751,051

  3. By 2038, more than 4.2 million green jobs will be created by the economy—a five-fold increase 2018 2028 2038 RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION 407,200 802,000 1,236,800 RESIDENTIAL, COMMERCIAL RETROFITTING 81,000 81,000 81,000 RENEWABLE TRANSPORTATION FUELS 1,205,700 1,437,700 1,492,000 ENGINEERING, LEGAL, RESEARCH, & CONSULTING 846,900 1,160,300 1,404,900 TOTAL 2,540,800 3,481,000 4,214,700

  4. GLOBAL INSIGHT 2038 FORECAST 4.2 million green jobs forecast is based on achieving three goals by 2038 40% 35% 30% of electricity from alternative sources reduction in energy use (residential and commercial buildings) of gas/diesel demand replaced by ethanol/ biodiesel

  5. ELEMENTS OF THE FORECAST RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION WIND SOLAR HYDROPOWER GEOTHERMAL BIOMASS ENERGY EFFICIENCY RENEWABLE TRANSPORT FUELS RESIDENTIAL RETROFITS COMMERCIAL RETROFITS ETHANOL BIODIESEL

  6. Under these scenarios, Global Insight projects green jobs could contribute 10% of new jobs through 2038.

  7. NEW YORK 25,021 WASHINGTON, DC 24,287 HOUSTON 21,250 LOS ANGELES 20,136 BOSTON 19,799 TOP FIVE METROS FOR GREEN JOBS

  8. In 2006, 85% of all green jobs were in U.S. metro areas.

  9. NEW YORK 1 13 25,021 197,971 DALLAS 8,851 70,029 WASHINGTON 2 14 24,287 192,965 TRENTON 8,788 69,535 HOUSTON 3 15 21,250 168,136 SACRAMENTO 8,236 65,162 LOS ANGELES 4 16 20,136 159,321 HARTFORD 8,019 63,448 BOSTON 5 17 19,799 156,660 ATLANTA 7,354 58,186 CHICAGO 6 18 16,120 127,545 KNOXVILLE 6,755 53,450 PHILADELPHIA 7 19 14,379 113,772 MIAMI 6,717 53,145 SAN FRANCISCO 8 20 13,848 113,772 PORTLAND 6,714 53,122 SAN DIEGO 9 21 11,663 92,285 DENVER 6,644 52,568 PITTSBURGH 10 22 9,627 76,174 SEATTLE 6,257 49,510 ALBANY 11 23 9,567 75,694 AUSTIN 6,059 47,937 INDIANAPOLIS 12 24 8,909 70,491 BALTIMORE 5,910 46,763 25 DURHAM 5,645 44,663 TOP 25 METROS FOR GREEN JOBS 2006 2038 2006 2038

  10. CONCLUSION Metro green jobs forecast for 2038, based on share of 2006 green jobs. Future is about how cities and metro areas position themselves for a larger share of the growth in green jobs.

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