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Measuring Regional Economic Development. Thomas G. Johnson October 6, 2006. Goal for this project. To develop an information system with which USDA Rural Development can assess its programs nation-wide. The new system must be:. Economically valid Precise and accurate Understandable
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Measuring Regional Economic Development Thomas G. Johnson October 6, 2006
Goal for this project • To develop an information system with which USDA Rural Development can assess its programs nation-wide
The new system must be: • Economically valid • Precise and accurate • Understandable • Broadly applicable • Not a burden on the agency’s clients • Inexpensive to develop and use • Integrated into current web-based systems • Expandable to allow application to other programs
We reviewed assessment systems used by • The Small Business Administration • Economic Development Administration • Other countries and international agencies We also reviewed the economics research literature
Previous Standards for Program Benefit Assessment • Most agencies (including Rural Development) traditionally measure jobs created or saved. • No indication of indirect jobs created • No indication of existing jobs displaced by the new jobs • No indication of quality of jobs • No indication of benefits
The Socio-Economic Benefit System (SEBAS) • A nation-wide, information system that estimates a variety of measures of economic change • A large regional economic database • A process for collecting and entering client level data • SEBAS is integrated into USDA’s web-based accounting system
SEBAS Features • Measures impacts of each loan or grant at the local, non-metro economy and state levels • Considers the current economic base in the region and state • Estimates the displacement effects at each level of geography • Calculates a number of new measures of economic development • Allows the monitoring of impacts over time
SEBAS Indicators • Direct Jobs • Net new full-time equivalent employment • Net Contribution to Gross Domestic Product • Contribution to local and state tax revenues • Job quality: New GDP per FTE
Why GDP and FTE • The goal of rural policy should be to increase the economic opportunities for rural residents • Full-time, well-paid jobs that complement the current economy bring more benefits to rural economies than part-time, seasonal, low paid jobs that compete with current employers • SEBAS measures the quality of economic development