2012 Air Quality Management Plan & A Vision for Clean Air

1. 2012 Air Quality Management Plan & A Vision for Clean Air Henry HogoSouth Coast Air Quality Management District Southern California Energy Summit 2012Palm Springs, CAOctober 4, 2012

2. Key Air Quality Challenges Multiple Targets Ozone, Fine Particulates Air Toxic Exposure Climate Change New Health Studies Time and Resources

3. Top NOx Sources in the South Coast Air Basin in 2023 NOx (tons/day) * Oceangoing vessels = 32 tons/day **RECLAIM: 320 largest stationary sources, including all refineries and power plants Source: (SCAQMD, 2012 Revised Draft Air Quality Management Plan)

4. Air Quality Progress With GrowthKey Reason: Technology • South Coast AQMD Policy Generally Growth Accommodating • Sources Generally Controlled over 90% • Technical Challenges Increasing • Increasing Marginal Control Costs . . . Diminishing Marginal Returns

5. Air Quality Attainment Dates/Climate Goals

6. Draft 2012 AQMP • 24-Hr PM2.5 Attainment Demonstration • Projected to Attain by 2014 • 2 Additional Measures - Wood Burning Curtailment; Agricultural Burn Curtailment • Identified Actions to Reduce Ozone Black Box

7. Integrated Solutions

8. Vision for Clean Air:Framework for Air Quality and Climate Planning • Follow-up to “Powering the Future” • Short-, Mid-, and Long-Term Visioning to Integrate Multi-Pollutant, Multi-Deadline Air Quality Planning • Resource Document for • SIP (PM2.5 & Ozone) • Targets (2023, 2032 – Ozone) • AB32 Scoping Plan Update • Targets (2020, 2050 - GHG) • CARB Freight Transport Plan • Air Toxic Reduction - Co-Benefits Air Quality Standards Climate Goals Transportation/ Freight Movement Energy South Coast Air Quality Management District 5

9. Key Sectors Investigated • Passenger Transportation • Freight Movement • Off-road • Agriculture (San Joaquin) • Energy

10. Examples Illustrating Process Heavy-Duty Truck Scenario – South Coast NOx Emissions ● 2023 Ozone Target ● 2032 Ozone Target

11. Technology Transformation(South Coast Heavy-Duty Trucks)

12. Technology Transformation(South Coast Passenger Cars)

13. Coordinated Air Quality and Climate Planning: Key Concepts • Technology Transformation • Early Action • Cleaner Combustion • Multiple Strategies • Federal Action • Efficiency Gains • Energy Transformation

14. Proposed Actions • Focus on Key Mobile Source Sectors • Identify Zero- and Near-Zero Emission Technologies, Where Appropriate • Identify Cleaner Combustion Technologies, Where Appropriate

15. Illustration of Total Combined Estimated Fuel Usage Source: Draft Vision for Clean Air (2012)

16. Illustration of Energy Supply Sources/Capacity Growth Source: Draft Vision for Clean Air (2012)

17. Transformation of the Energy Sector • Planning and Investments in Energy Infrastructure Should Consider: • Reliability • Reduction in Criteria Pollutants, Air Toxics, and Greenhouse Gases • Provide Energy Security • Energy Cost Certainty • Start with Coordinated Planning Efforts and Scheduling for Infrastructure and Technology Needs

18. Summary • Technological Solutions Needed to Attain Air Quality Standards • Greater Reliance on Renewables and Alternative Fuels (Transportation & Energy Supply) • Need to Modernize Energy Infrastructure Our Progress Dictates Their Future!!