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UCAS : Everything you need to know now. Amy Smith Senior Policy Executive. Five things you (probably) didn’t know about UCAS. UCAS was formed 26 years ago when UCCA and PCAS merged. UCCA was established in 1961 and PCAS in 1986, making us 58 years old this year!
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UCAS: Everything you need to know now Amy Smith Senior Policy Executive Security marking: PUBLIC
Five things you (probably) didn’t know about UCAS UCAS was formed 26 years ago when UCCA and PCAS merged. UCCA was established in 1961 and PCAS in 1986, making us 58 years old this year! We moved into our Rosehill location 20 years ago. Rosehill is licenced to hold marriages. The building has the same aerial footprint as the White House. Security marking: PUBLIC
What is UCAS? Security marking: PUBLIC
UCAS: a journey back in time … Dec 2007 June 2000 Dec 1998 Security marking: PUBLIC
UCAS: where we are now Security marking: PUBLIC
New adviser and agent portal March 2019 Check the newsletter for training opportunities and support, including the twilight sessions, user guides and online guidance Security marking: PUBLIC
Widening access and participation The changing landscape Careers strategy TE(SO)F Teacher recruitment issues Tuition fees and funding Qualification reform Transparency agenda Brexit Vocational qualifications/T Levels Apprenticeships Security marking: PUBLIC
UCASEnd of Cycle 2018 data Security marking: PUBLIC/INTERNAL USE ONLY/CONFIDENTIAL
Admissions themes for the 2018 cycle Entry rate for UK 18 year olds rises, but fewer acceptances. Record numbers through Clearing. 533k Return to growth for EU demand. placed No progress in widening participation and access since 2014. Rise in unconditional offer-making. Security marking: PUBLIC
End of cycle data – Welsh domiciled applicants UK domiciled acceptances fell by 0.8% to 459,285. Welsh domiciled acceptances saw a 3.1% drop (-635) on 2017 – the largest decline seen in all UK countries. Welsh applicants are the most likely to study outside their home country – 40.4% were accepted to providers elsewhere in the UK. Security marking: PUBLIC
End of cycle data – UK entry rates Entry rates by UK country (2016 – 2018) • Overall figures have been affected by the declining 18 year old population. • Entry rates rose in all four countries of the UK. • Wales saw an entry rate of 29.6%, similar to 2016 levels. Security marking: PUBLIC
End of cycle data – Welsh providers Acceptances to providers in Wales by domicile (2006 – 2018) • 71,455 people applied to at least one Welsh provider – a fall of 6.3%, and the second consecutive year of declining numbers. • Wales is also the only UK country with a drop in total acceptances from 2017 to 2018, with a fall of 5.7% to 25,000. • Welsh domiciled acceptances fell 3.5%, RUK 6%, EU 20.8%, and non-EU 6.5%. • Welsh applicants account for 47.8% of acceptances. Security marking: PUBLIC
End of cycle data – acceptances (gender) • In Wales, the gender gap remained constant on 2017 figures. • All UK domiciles show a trend of a widening gender gap across the twelve year period from 2006 to 2018. Security marking: PUBLIC
End of cycle data – acceptances (POLAR4) UK domiciled 18 year old entry rate by POLAR4 quintile • The 18 year old entry rate increased across all POLAR4 quintiles, except Q3. • Greatest increases seen in the most disadvantaged areas – the entry rate for Q1 increased by 1.8% proportionally, and 2.3% proportionally in Q2. • The entry rate for Q5 saw the smallest increase, rising by just 0.8% proportionally. • Wales was the only UK country where the entry rate gap increased, due to a combination of an increase in the Q5 entry rate, and a fall in the Q1 entry rate. Security marking: PUBLIC
Who is applying direct to Clearing? UK-based 2.5% of all UK acceptances used this route 70% aged 20 and over 91% English domiciled acceptances Business and admin Most popular subjects Nursing Made up almost half of Group B DTC acceptances Close to home 60% at providers under 45 mins away from home Lower tariff 4% of all acceptances to these providers were DTC London Almost ¼ from London Security marking: PUBLIC
Unconditional offer-making: definitions Security marking: PUBLIC
Unconditional offer-making Use of unconditional offers is becoming increasingly popular – a third of applicants received an offer with an unconditional component in 2018. Trends have been towards a diversification of grade profiles – applicants predicted 11 A level points (BBC) proportionately receive the most unconditional offers. Students are more likely to miss their predicted grades than their peers with conditional offers. Sentiment towards conditional unconditional offers is generally positive among applicants. Security marking: PUBLIC
15 October deadline data Security marking: PUBLIC
2019 cycle so far: October deadline +7% Increase in medical school places a driver? increase in applicants to 15 October courses – up to 61,440, the highest on record 7,770 +6% Number of 18 year old English applicants to medicine courses (+16%) increase in the number of EU applicants Security marking: PUBLIC
Applications at the 15 October deadline (UK) • Applications to courses with a 15 October deadline increased: • 1,510Welsh domiciled applicants to UK courses (up 5% on the same point last year) • 580 of these applications were to Welsh providers Security marking: PUBLIC
Four key messages • ͏Disadvantaged groups increasingly likely to enter HE, but the gap remains between advantaged and disadvantaged students. • UK HE remains attractive to EU and internationalmarkets. • ͏No material change in numbers placed through UCAS compared to last year – buoyancy this year driven by direct entry routes. • Entry into HE for UK 18 year olds continues to increase, but growth has slowed in Wales. Security marking: PUBLIC
Supporting emerging cohorts Security marking: PUBLIC
AMS: new questions Questions already live in postgraduate AMS Security marking: PUBLIC
Student mental health and wellbeing We are working closely with Student Minds to support students with concerns or queries about mental health and wellbeing. If you would like to provide feedback, please let us know. • We are also gathering feedback from providers about: • what additional services they and the HE sector could provide to support student mental health and wellbeing; • Whether UCAS should review how and how we offer applicants the chance to declare a mental health condition. Security marking: PUBLIC
How UCAS is supporting students with identified support needs New and improved questions in the UCAS application to flag support needs Collaboration with stakeholders: charities, expert organisations and sector bodies Development of good practice resources to support providers Liaising with providers, including admissions and student support Updating our information and advice – moving towards greater personalisation Social media and comms (#BelongatUni Twitter campaign) Blogs, case studies, stories Security marking: PUBLIC
Any questions? Security marking: PUBLIC