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Measuring and Managing Risk, Return and Incentive Compensation at apg. Stefan Lundbergh, Head of Innovation Centre, APG Investments Onno Steenbeek, Head Corporate ALM and Risk Policy, APG. ICPM meeting Toronto, 3 June 2008. Agenda. APG: new kid on the block
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Measuring and Managing Risk, Return and Incentive Compensation at apg Stefan Lundbergh, Head of Innovation Centre, APG Investments Onno Steenbeek, Head Corporate ALM and Risk Policy, APG ICPM meeting Toronto, 3 June 2008
Agenda • APG: new kid on the block • Starting point: financial strategy • Risk management • New Portfolio structure (LHP-ROP) • Innovation • Challenges
Top 10 assets pension investors 1.000 Source: P&I/Watson Wyatt World PF 300, 2007. For APG combined figures for government, education and construction sector pension fund assets.
2. Starting point for clients: financial strategy Step 1: pension deal Step 2: expected cash flows (liabilities) Step 3: utility function Board of Trustees Step 4: financial strategy Step 5: strategic investment plan Step 6: current asset mix
Expectation Current position Probabilityunderfunding in 12 months < 2,5% Crucial tool: ALM 5
2. Risk management at the fund level Most important tools: • Conditional indexation • Diversification • Duration extension • New portfolio structure: LHP-ROP
2a. Conditional indexation Example: 130% 105%
2d. LHP - ROPStrategy derived with participants in mind • Pension Investor ≠ General Asset Manager • Risk free Dutch linker with 17 years to maturity • Objective High and stable long-term real returns • Restrictions Mismatch risk • Horizon Client (15+ years, real) • Regulator (1 year, nominal)
Theory – Finance 1.1 Aggressive Investor Expected return Stocks Moderate risk averse investor Best Mix of Stocks, Bonds and other assets (ROP) Bonds Conservative Investor LHP (ILB+…) Risk
Innovation@apginvestments.nl • Idea generators our 450+ professionals • Decision body Innovation Committee • Operational body Innovation Centre • Innovation process stepwise with low entry hurdle • Capital allocation 2 percent of assets • Continuation safe environment, opportunity
Example 1: First investment Global Solidarity Forestry Fund
Challenges • Culture and Attitude • Competitive remuneration • Organizational focus on investment RETURN • ALM as integrated part of pension fund investing • Augment collective pension solutions
Concluding remarks • Pension Investor ≠ General Asset Manager • Our approach is based on our situation • We explore our unique advantages • Open to innovate with peers and likeminded Complex + challenging + difficult = interesting