520 likes | 1.41k Views
New Value-Added Products from Soybeans. Opportunities for North American Soybeans. “The stone age did not end because we ran out of stones.” -Unknown. 1996 Anything you can make out of petroleum, you can make out of soybeans…. except money. 2006 Well maybe….
E N D
New Value-Added Products from Soybeans Opportunities for North American Soybeans Un8ited Soybean Board
“The stone age did not end because we ran out of stones.” -Unknown Un8ited Soybean Board
1996 Anything you can make out of petroleum, you can make out of soybeans… exceptmoney 2006 Well maybe… Omni Tech International
World Soy Production 1990100.5 Million Metric Tons Omni Tech International
World Soy Production 2005 217 Million Metric Tons Omni Tech International
North American Production & Utilization 2005 Marketing Year • Whole Soybean production 3.5 Billion Bushels • Soybean crush 2 billion bushels • Soybean Exports 0.9 billion bushels • Carryover and other 0.6 billion bushels Omni Tech International
What is in a Soybean? Omni Tech International
North American Soy Crushing • NA crushes 1.8-2 billion bushels or 54-60 million tons • 20-22 billion lbs of oil or about 2.8 billion gallons (10.6 billion liters.) • 43-48 million tons of soybean meal. Omni Tech International
What About Value • Old value ratios (typical) • If whole beans were worth X, then oil was worth 2.0-2.2 X and meal is worth 0.9-1.0X. Example if beans are worth $6/bu ($0.10/lb) then oil is worth $0.22/lb and meal is worth $180/ton ($0.09/lb) • Oil value= $2.42 (35%) • Meal value= $4.41 (65%) • Return to crusher= $6.83/bu • Meal set demand, but oil made the margin. Omni Tech International
What About Value • Recent value ratios (Summer 2006) • If whole beans are worth X, then oil is worth 2.6-2.8 X and meal is worth 0.8 X. Example if beans are worth $5.40/bu ($0.09/lb) then oil is worth $0.26/lb and meal is worth $150/ton ($0.075/lb) • Oil value= $2.86 (44%) • Meal value= $3.68 (56%) • Return to crusher= $6.54/bu • Oil is now determining value and driving demand Omni Tech International
NA Soybean Oil Consumption Omni Tech International
Soybean Oil Demand Drivers • Food demand flat to down, due to lost share (corn, canola), transfatty acid issue. • Feed use is incidental, up slightly with increased crush. • Industrial use is small compared to food use, but increasing rapidly due to biodiesel, plastics and other industrial uses. Omni Tech International
Soybean Meal Consumption Omni Tech International
Soybean Meal Demand Drivers • Food demand is increasing significantly due to soy dairy substitutes and concentrated proteins, still relatively small compared to feed. • Feed use is flat with increased crush. • Industrial use (coatings, adhesives) is increasing but remains very small percentage of total. Omni Tech International
New Industrial Uses • Biodiesel • Plastics • Lubricants • Paints, Coatings & Inks • Solvents • Adhesives Omni Tech International
Price Changes – 1990 thru 200512/1/05- Soy Oil 21¢/lb. Crude $58.42/barrel Gas $13.03/MMBTU6/16/06- Soy Oil 24.9¢/lb. Crude $70.20/barrel Gas $7.46/MMBTU Omni Tech International
Biodiesel • Tax incentives and mandates in the US should drive biodiesel production to 240 million gallons (912 million liters) in 2006 • Up 320% from 2005 • Equal to almost 9% of NA soybean oil production. Omni Tech International
Biodiesel EconomicsPer gallon Feedstock cost @$0.27/lb= $2.025 Other production 0.400 Plant gate $2.425 Less federal incentives -1.100 Before freight $1.325 Local spot petrodiesel* 2.055 Gross margin $0.730 *Energy Management Institute 5/17/06 Memphis TN Omni Tech International
PLASTICS/PLASTIC COMPOSITES Market segments Current • Polyols for Polyurethane foams, films, molded parts • Plastic Composites Emerging • Thermoplastics Omni Tech International
North American Polyurethane Demand(millions lbs.)* 2000A 2002 2004* PUR 6482 6393 6888 Polyol 3007 2956 3610 *2004 API End Use Survey Omni Tech International
Polyols & Intermediate Prices 2001 – December, 2005 Cents per Pound Omni Tech International
Soy Polyols • At least five different chemical modification approaches • Range of costs and uses • Molded foam • Slab foam • Carpet backing • RIM and SMC parts UTT Carpet Mill- Dalton GA Omni Tech International
Flexible Foam Seating Cargill supplying Woodbridge in Ontario for use by Ford Omni Tech International
Target Area:PLASTIC COMPOSITES • Soy-based thermoset resin • Polyester resin with fiberglass filler • Use by Ag Equipment manufacturers • Testing by auto makers • Polyurethanes • Testing pultrusion of parts • Testing molding techniques and different fillers Omni Tech International
Polyester Intermediate Prices 2001 – December, 2005 Cents per Pound Omni Tech International
LubricantsSoy Oil versus Petroleum Basestocks Soy Oil Advantages • Better lubricity • Lower volatility • Better viscosity index Soy Oil Disadvantages • Poor oxidative stability • Poor low temperature properties Omni Tech International
Lubricant Basestock Prices 2001 thru October, 2005 Cents per Pound Omni Tech International
LUBRICANTS &HYDRAULIC FLUIDS Current • Total loss applications • 2-cycle engine oil • Some hydraulic fluids • Transformer fluids • Metal working • Mold release and other industrial Omni Tech International
LUBRICANTS &HYDRAULIC FLUIDS Researching • Crankcase oil development at Valvoline • Hydraulic fluid formulation at Afton (Ethyl Corporation) Omni Tech International
Paints, Coatings & Inks • Traditionally largest industrial market for soybean oil. • Alkyd resins declining with decline of oil based paint. • Soy ink growing as price is more competitive. Omni Tech International
Paints, Coatings & Inks Research • Water based (latex) paints • Powder coatings • UV cured inks. Omni Tech International
Latex Coatings Intermediate Prices 2001 – December, 2005 Cents per Pound Omni Tech International
Powder Coatings Intermediate Prices 2001 – December, 2005 Cents per Pound Omni Tech International
Solvents • Primarily Soy methyl esters • Same as biodiesel with slightly different standard. • New compounds in development. Omni Tech International
Solvent Prices 2001 thru October, 2005 Cents per Pound Omni Tech International
COMMERCIAL Parts cleaners & degreasers Hard surface cleaners Stainless steel equipment cleaners (Restaurants) Printing ink cleaners Paint strippers Adhesives removers Mastic removers Graffiti removers Asphalt cleaners & release agents Concrete & wood stains Hand cleaners Hand lotions Oil spill remediation Corrosion protectants Oil field equipment cleaners Plant floor cleaners SOLVENT MARKET APPLICATIONS Omni Tech International
SME: Plastic waste disposal & reuse Highway paving & patching materials Pesticide carriers (mosquito larvicides) Mold & mildewcides Paper pulp recycling Alkyd coating carriers Stationary engine fuels (hydrogen) Soy Oil: Bioremediation (soil & groundwater) Metalworking fluids Emollients (personal care products) APPLICATIONS IN DEVELOPMENT Omni Tech International
ADHESIVES • Primary market: Wood Adhesives • Based on soy flour or protein concentrates • Recently launched new use in interior grade plywood • Limited packaging adhesives based on soybean oil. Omni Tech International
Adhesives Intermediate Prices 2001 – December, 2005 Cents per Pound Omni Tech International
ADHESIVES Research • Improve water resistance to allow exterior plywood use • Lower viscosity to allow use in oriented strandboard Omni Tech International
Fermentation Research • Produce ethanol from carbohydrates in soybean meal • Real goal is a lower cost protein concentrate • 70% protein • No indigestible sugars/anti-nutritionals • Improved storage properties. Omni Tech International
Thank You Any Questions? www.omnitechintl.com Omni Tech International