Activity Cluster Analysis of the 2005 CLRP

1. Activity Cluster Analysis of the 2005 CLRP TPB Technical Committee October 7, 2005

2. 2005 CLRP Solicitation Document: Priority Area #3 • Identify how projects or proposals support the regional core and regional activity centers, as stated in Goal 2, Strategy 4 of the Vision: “Give high priority to regional planning and funding for transportation facilities that serve the regional core and regional activity centers, including expanded rail service and transit centers where passengers can switch easily from one transportation mode to another.”

3. Regional Activity Centers Focal points for jobs and housing, and nodes for transportation linkages. Core activity centers Suburban activity centers

4. Regional Activity Clusters Centers are grouped into clusters along major transportation corridors Core activity clusters Suburban activity clusters

5. Planned Highway Improvements

6. Planned Transit and HOV Improvements

7. In 2002, only 11 out of 24 activity clusters had Metrorail stations Activity clusters with no Metrorail station 2002 Metrorail stations

8. In 2030, 16 out of 24 activity clusters will have Metrorail or light rail stations Activity clusters with no Metrorail or light rail station 2030 Metrorail stations 2030 Light rail stations

9. Not all rail stations are located in activity clusters In 2002: • 64 out of 83 Metrorail stations were located in clusters 2002 Metrorail stations inside clusters 2002 Metrorail stations outside clusters

10. Most new rail stations will be located in activity clusters In 2030: • 78 out of 97 Metrorail stations will be located inclusters • 16 out of 21 light rail stations will be located in clusters 2030 Metrorail stations inside clusters 2030 Metrorail stations outside clusters 2030 light rail stations inside clusters 2030 light rail stations outside clusters

11. Percent of households inside activity clusters is increasing Households 60% 62% 28% 25% 12% 13% 500 new households 2002-2030

12. Percent of jobs inside activity clusters is remaining steady Jobs 30% 30% 44% 41% 26% 29% 500 new jobs 2002-2030

13. Percent of motorized commute trips to activity clusters is decreasing Motorized Commute Trips (Auto and Transit) 31% 29% 43% 40% 26% 31%

14. Percent of non-motorized commute trips to activity clusters is increasing Non-motorized Commute Trips 38% 41% 33% 26% 29% 33%

15. Most transit commute trips are to activity clusters Transit Commute Trips 8% 23% 7% 17% 69% 76%

16. Transit commute mode share is increasing in activity clusters Transit Commute Mode Share (Motorized Trips)

17. Major FindingsForecast Changes 2002-2030 • Transportation Infrastructure • Number of activity clusters with rail stations increases • Most new rail stations will be located in activity clusters • Land Use • Percent of households in activity clusters increases • Percent of jobs in activity clusters holds steady • Although jobs and households increase in core clusters, the regional share decreases

18. Major FindingsForecast Changes 2002-2030 • Travel Patterns • Percent of all motorized commute trips that go to activity clusters decreases • Percent of all non-motorized commute trips that go to activity clusters increases • More than 90% of transit commute trips are to activity clusters

19. Major FindingsForecast Changes 2002-2030 • Travel Patterns, cont. • Transit commute mode share increases in activity clusters • 2030 transit commute mode share in core clusters (43%) is nearly 5 times greater than in suburban clusters (9%) • Regional transit commute mode share holds steady at 16%